id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-347353-ll2pnl81	Saberi, M.	Accounting for underreporting in mathematical modelling of transmission and control of COVID-19 in Iran	2020-05-06		.txt	text/plain	4508	215	49	We use a mathematical epidemic model utilizing official confirmed data and estimates of underreporting to understand how transmission in Iran has been changing between February and April 2020. We estimate a reduction in the effective reproduction number during this period, from 1.73 (95% CI 1.60-1.87) on 1 March 2020 to 0.69 (95% CI 0.68-0.70) on 15 April 2020, due to various non-pharmaceutical interventions including school closures, a ban on public gatherings including sports and religious events, and full or partial closure of non-essential businesses. This study aims to understand the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Iran and to assess the effectiveness of the control measures that were put in place over time through estimation of the effective reproduction number ܴ ሺ ‫ݐ‬ ሻ defined as the average number of susceptible persons infected by an infected person during its infectious period at a given time in the course of the epidemic.	./cache/cord-347353-ll2pnl81.txt	./txt/cord-347353-ll2pnl81.txt