id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-122594-0y34yxlb	Teles, Pedro	Predicting the evolution Of SARS-Covid-2 in Portugal using an adapted SIR Model previously used in South Korea for the MERS outbreak	2020-03-23		.txt	text/plain	3691	183	64	This allowed me to fit the curve of current active cases in Portugal with a model, which I then use, by implementing the control measure parameters predicted in the model to predict the future number of cases, in five different scenarios (the out-of-control scenario, a scenario in which measures were the same as in the original model (scenario 1), a scenario where government measures are 50% as effective as those in South Korea, and self-protective measures reduce the transmission rate by 50% (scenario 2), a similar scenario but in this case the transmission rate was only reduced to 70% (scenario 3), and a fourth scenario, similar to the two previous ones but in which the transmission rate was reduced to 80%. • Scenario where government measures are 50% as effective as those in South Korea, and self-protective measures reduce the transmission rate by 80% (scenario 4) 3.1 Fitting of parameters λ and δ (Italy).	./cache/cord-122594-0y34yxlb.txt	./txt/cord-122594-0y34yxlb.txt