id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-103711-tnw82hbm	Einian, Majid	Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic and Scenarios for Containment	2020-03-30		.txt	text/plain	3868	206	56	This note evaluates various scenarios, based on an estimation of number of identified and unidentified infected cases, and examines the effectiveness of different policy responses to contain this pandemic. Iran initially refused to quarantine the holy city of Qom, the source city of COVID-19 in Iran, and let the virus spread all over the country, and in a matter of a few weeks, all cities reported new cases of infected patients. Although the model is estimated for Iran, many countries are in similar stages of the pandemic or soon will be in the same stage and therefore, based on the results, extreme measures need to be adopted to save lives and stop further spread of the virus. is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint Figure 10 : Ending the shelter-in-place policy 30-days after the peak of scenario (v), assuming that intensive testing continues and social interaction diminishes by 25 percent.	./cache/cord-103711-tnw82hbm.txt	./txt/cord-103711-tnw82hbm.txt