id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-000282-phepjf55	1	1	key	key	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	1	2	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	1	cord-000282-phepjf55	cord-000282-phepjf55	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	3	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	4	Hsieh	Hsieh	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	5	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	6	Ying	Ying	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	8	Hen	Hen	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	9	;	;	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	10	Fisman	Fisman	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	11	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	12	David	David	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	13	N	N	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	14	;	;	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	15	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	16	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	17	Jianhong	Jianhong	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	18	title	title	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	2	19	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	1	On	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	3	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	4	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	5	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	6	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	7	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	8	An	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	9	application	application	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	10	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	12	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	13	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	14	A	A	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	16	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	18	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	19	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	21	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	22	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	23	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	24	2010	2010	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	25	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	26	11	11	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	28	05	05	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	29	journal	journal	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	3	30	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	1	BMC	BMC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	2	Res	Res	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	3	Notes	Notes	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	4	DOI	doi	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	5	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	6	10.1186/1756	10.1186/1756	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	8	0500	0500	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	10	3	3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	11	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	12	283	283	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	13	sha	sha	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	14	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	15	23372fae9cc1e03d11351e3ddb52036e1d378c40	23372fae9cc1e03d11351e3ddb52036e1d378c40	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	16	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	17	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	18	282	282	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	19	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	20	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	21	phepjf55	phepjf55	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	22	BACKGROUND	background	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	4	23	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	1	Management	management	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	2	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	3	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	4	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	5	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	6	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	7	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	9	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	10	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	11	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	12	A	A	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	14	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	16	poses	pose	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	17	great	great	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	18	challenges	challenge	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	19	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	20	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	22	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	23	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	24	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	25	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	26	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	27	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	28	due	due	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	29	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	30	limited	limited	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	31	information	information	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	32	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	33	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	34	natural	natural	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	35	history	history	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	36	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	37	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	38	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	39	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	40	variation	variation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	41	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	42	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	43	course	course	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	44	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	45	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	46	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	47	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	48	changing	change	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	49	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	50	definitions	definition	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	51	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	52	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	53	practices	practice	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	5	54	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	6	1	FINDINGS	finding	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	6	2	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	2	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	3	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	4	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	5	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	6	variants	variant	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	7	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	8	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	9	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	10	fit	fit	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	12	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	14	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	15	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	16	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	18	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	19	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	20	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	22	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	24	infections	infection	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	25	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	26	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	28	made	make	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	29	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	30	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	31	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	32	Public	Public	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	33	Health	Health	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	34	Agency	Agency	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	35	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	36	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	38	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	7	40	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	2	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	4	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	5	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	6	obtain	obtain	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	7	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	8	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	9	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	10	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	13	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	15	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	17	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	18	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	19	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	21	R(0	R(0	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	25	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	26	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	27	expected	expect	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	28	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	29	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	30	size	size	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	31	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	33	absence	absence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	34	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	35	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	8	36	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	1	Confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	2	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	4	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	5	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	6	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	7	construct	construct	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	8	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	9	best	good	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	11	fit	fit	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	12	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	13	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	14	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	15	three	three	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	16	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	17	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	9	18	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	1	R(0	R(0	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	3	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	5	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	6	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	7	1.30	1.30	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	9	95	95	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	10	%	%	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	11	CI	CI	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	12	1.12	1.12	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	13	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	14	1.47	1.47	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	16	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	18	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	19	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	21	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	22	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	23	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	24	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	25	4	4	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	27	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	28	1.35	1.35	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	30	95	95	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	31	%	%	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	32	CI	CI	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	33	1.16	1.16	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	35	1.54	1.54	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	37	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	38	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	39	second	second	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	40	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	42	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	43	4	4	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	44	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	45	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	46	19	19	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	10	48	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	1	Hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	3	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	4	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	5	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	6	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	7	fit	fit	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	8	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	9	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	10	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	11	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	12	R(0	R(0	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	11	14	=	=	NFP
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	1	1.35	1.35	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	3	1.20	1.20	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	4	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	5	1.49	1.49	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	7	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	8	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	9	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	10	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	11	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	12	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	13	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	14	11	11	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	12	15	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	13	1	CONCLUSIONS	conclusion	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	13	2	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	1	Application	application	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	2	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	4	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	5	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	6	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	7	Canadian	Canadian	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	8	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	9	data	data	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	10	shows	show	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	11	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	12	detection	detection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	14	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	15	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	17	affected	affect	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	18	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	20	quality	quality	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	21	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	23	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	24	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	25	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	26	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	27	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	29	usage	usage	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	14	30	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	2	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	3	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	4	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	5	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	6	robust	robust	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	7	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	8	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	9	R(0	R(0	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	11	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	12	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	13	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	14	one	one	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	15	month	month	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	16	after	after	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	18	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	19	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	22	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	23	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	24	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	25	A	A	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	27	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	29	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	30	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	15	31	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	1	Epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	2	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	3	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	4	caused	cause	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	5	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	6	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	7	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	8	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	9	continue	continue	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	10	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	11	challenge	challenge	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	12	medical	medical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	13	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	14	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	15	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	16	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	16	17	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	1	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	2	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	3	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	4	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	5	requires	require	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	6	swift	swift	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	7	action	action	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	8	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	9	but	but	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	10	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	12	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	13	identification	identification	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	14	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	15	characterization	characterization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	16	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	17	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	18	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	19	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	21	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	17	23	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	1	Methods	method	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	2	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	3	needed	need	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	4	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	5	inform	inform	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	6	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	8	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	9	decision	decision	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	10	making	make	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	11	through	through	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	12	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	13	characterization	characterization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	14	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	16	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	18	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	19	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	20	shortterm	shortterm	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	21	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	22	trends	trend	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	23	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	24	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	25	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	26	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	27	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	28	projected	project	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	29	impacts	impact	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	31	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	32	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	33	measures	measure	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	18	34	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	1	Real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	3	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	4	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	5	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	6	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	7	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	8	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	9	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	10	important	important	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	11	tools	tool	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	12	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	13	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	14	endeavors	endeavor	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	15	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	16	but	but	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	18	limited	limited	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	19	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	20	availability	availability	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	21	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	22	information	information	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	23	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	24	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	25	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	27	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	28	when	when	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	29	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	30	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	31	creates	create	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	32	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	33	crisis	crisis	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	34	environment	environment	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	36	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	37	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	38	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	40	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	41	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	42	any	any	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	43	novel	novel	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	44	pathogen	pathogen	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	45	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	46	present	present	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	47	obstacles	obstacle	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	48	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	49	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	50	creation	creation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	51	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	52	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	53	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	54	credible	credible	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	55	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	56	during	during	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	57	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	58	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	59	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	60	emergency	emergency	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	19	61	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	1	One	one	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	2	needs	need	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	3	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	4	look	look	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	5	no	no	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	6	further	far	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	7	than	than	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	9	2003	2003	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	10	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	11	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	12	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	13	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	14	ongoing	ongoing	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	15	concerns	concern	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	16	related	relate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	17	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	18	highly	highly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	19	pathogenic	pathogenic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	20	avian	avian	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	21	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	23	H5N1	H5N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	25	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	26	bioterrorism	bioterrorism	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	27	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	28	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	29	reminded	remind	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	31	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	32	need	need	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	33	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	34	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	35	difficulty	difficulty	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	36	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	37	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	38	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	39	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	40	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	20	41	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	2	emergence	emergence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	4	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	5	novel	novel	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	6	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	7	strain	strain	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	8	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	9	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	10	A	a	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	12	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	15	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	21	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	1	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	2	spring	spring	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	3	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	4	highlighted	highlight	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	5	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	6	difficulties	difficulty	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	22	7	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	1	Early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	2	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	4	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	5	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	6	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	7	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	8	subject	subject	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	9	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	10	substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	11	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	12	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	13	all	all	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	14	aspects	aspect	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	15	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	16	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	18	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	19	resulting	result	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	21	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	22	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	23	judging	judge	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	24	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	25	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	26	potential	potential	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	27	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	29	virus	virus	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	30	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	31	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	32	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	33	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	34	reactive	reactive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	35	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	36	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	37	responses	response	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	38	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	39	individual	individual	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	40	countries	country	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	42	Fraser	Fraser	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	43	et	et	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	44	al	al	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	23	45	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	24	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	24	2	2	2	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	24	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	24	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	24	5	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	1	Multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	2	introductions	introduction	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	4	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	5	novel	novel	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	6	virus	virus	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	7	into	into	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	9	community	community	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	10	early	early	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	14	could	could	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	15	further	further	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	16	distort	distort	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	18	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	19	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	20	creating	create	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	21	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	22	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	23	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	24	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	25	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	26	misattributed	misattribute	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	27	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	29	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	31	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	32	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	33	chain	chain	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	34	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	35	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	25	36	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	2	sought	seek	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	3	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	4	address	address	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	5	three	three	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	6	critical	critical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	7	issues	issue	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	8	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	9	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	10	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	12	modeling	model	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	13	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	14	newly	newly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	15	emerged	emerge	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	26	16	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	27	1	pH1N1	ph1n1	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	27	2	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	2	i	i	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	4	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	5	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	7	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	8	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	9	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	10	;	;	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	12	ii	ii	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	14	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	15	identify	identify	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	17	main	main	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	18	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	19	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	22	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	23	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	24	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	25	distinguish	distinguish	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	26	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	27	phases	phase	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	28	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	29	waves	wave	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	31	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	32	;	;	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	33	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	35	iii	iii	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	37	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	38	predict	predict	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	40	future	future	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	41	course	course	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	42	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	43	events	event	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	44	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	45	including	include	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	46	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	47	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	48	size	size	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	49	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	50	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	51	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	52	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	53	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	54	absence	absence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	55	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	56	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	28	57	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	2	make	make	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	3	use	use	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	4	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	5	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	6	simple	simple	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	7	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	8	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	9	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	10	namely	namely	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	12	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	13	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	14	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	15	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	16	illustrate	illustrate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	18	usefulness	usefulness	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	19	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	20	near	near	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	21	realtime	realtime	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	22	modeling	model	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	23	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	24	extracting	extract	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	25	valuable	valuable	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	26	information	information	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	27	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	29	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	30	directly	directly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	31	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	32	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	33	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	34	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	35	curves	curve	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	29	36	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	2	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	3	provide	provide	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	4	caveats	caveat	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	5	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	6	inherent	inherent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	7	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	8	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	9	modeling	model	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	10	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	11	incomplete	incomplete	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	12	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	30	14	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	2	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	4	any	any	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	5	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	7	highly	highly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	8	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	9	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	11	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	12	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	14	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	15	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	16	considered	consider	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	18	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	19	most	most	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	21	curves	curve	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	22	exhibit	exhibit	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	23	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	24	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	25	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	27	peaks	peak	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	28	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	29	valleys	valley	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	31	during	during	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	33	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	34	stage	stage	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	35	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	36	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	37	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	31	38	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	1	While	while	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	2	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	3	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	4	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	5	due	due	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	6	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	7	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	9	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	10	random	random	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	11	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	13	variations	variation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	14	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	16	spread	spread	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	18	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	19	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	21	either	either	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	22	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	23	methods	method	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	24	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	25	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	26	definitions	definition	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	28	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	29	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	30	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	31	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	32	represent	represent	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	33	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	34	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	35	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	36	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	37	transition	transition	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	38	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	39	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	40	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	41	processes	process	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	42	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	43	processes	process	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	44	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	45	have	have	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	46	declining	decline	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	47	rates	rate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	48	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	49	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	50	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	51	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	52	thus	thus	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	53	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	54	identify	identify	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	55	effects	effect	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	56	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	57	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	58	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	59	programs	program	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	60	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	61	peaks	peak	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	62	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	63	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	64	waves	wave	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	65	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	66	infection	infection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	67	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	68	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	69	natural	natural	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	70	slowing	slowing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	71	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	72	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	73	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	74	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	75	infection	infection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	76	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	77	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	78	critical	critical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	79	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	80	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	81	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	82	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	32	83	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	2	every	every	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	3	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	4	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	5	there	there	EX
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	7	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	8	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	9	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	10	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	11	after	after	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	12	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	13	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	14	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	15	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	16	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	17	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	18	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	19	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	20	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	21	suitably	suitably	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	22	modeled	model	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	23	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	24	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	25	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	26	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	27	subsequent	subsequent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	28	phases	phase	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	29	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	30	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	31	anticipated	anticipate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	33	32	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	1	Detection	detection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	2	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	3	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	4	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	5	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	6	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	7	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	8	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	9	identification	identification	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	10	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	11	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	12	phases	phase	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	13	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	14	waves	wave	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	15	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	16	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	19	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	20	critical	critical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	21	importance	importance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	22	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	23	designing	design	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	24	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	25	evaluating	evaluate	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	26	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	27	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	28	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	34	29	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	1	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	3	3	3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	5	proposed	propose	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	7	following	following	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	8	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	9	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	10	study	study	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	12	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	14	biological	biological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	15	populations	population	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	35	16	,	,	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	1	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	2	C(t	C(t	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	6	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	7	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	8	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	10	reported	report	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	11	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	12	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	13	t	t	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	15	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	16	weeks	week	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	18	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	19	Here	here	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	20	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	21	prime	prime	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	22	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	23	′	′	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	24	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	25	denotes	denote	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	26	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	28	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	29	change	change	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	30	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	31	respect	respect	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	32	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	33	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	36	34	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	2	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	3	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	4	K	K	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	7	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	8	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	9	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	11	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	12	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	14	size	size	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	16	over	over	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	17	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	18	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	19	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	20	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	22	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	23	r	r	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	25	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	26	per	per	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	27	capita	capita	FW
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	28	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	29	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	31	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	32	infected	infected	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	33	population	population	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	34	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	35	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	36	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	38	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	39	exponent	exponent	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	40	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	41	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	37	42	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	2	solution	solution	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	5	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	6	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	7	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	8	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	9	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	10	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	12	terms	term	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	14	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	15	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	16	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	17	Using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	18	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	19	Richard	Richard	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	20	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	21	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	22	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	23	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	24	able	able	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	25	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	26	directly	directly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	27	fit	fit	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	28	empirical	empirical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	29	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	30	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	31	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	32	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	33	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	34	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	35	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	36	obtain	obtain	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	37	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	38	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	39	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	40	meaningful	meaningful	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	41	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	42	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	43	including	include	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	44	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	45	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	46	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	38	47	r.	r.	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	2	such	such	PDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	3	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	4	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	5	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	8	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	9	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	10	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	11	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	12	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	14	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	15	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	17	formula	formula	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	18	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	19	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	20	=	=	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	21	exp(rT	exp(rT	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	23	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	24	T	T	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	26	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	27	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	28	generation	generation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	29	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	30	defined	define	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	31	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	33	average	average	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	34	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	35	interval	interval	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	36	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	37	infection	infection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	38	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	39	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	40	individual	individual	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	41	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	42	infection	infection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	43	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	44	his	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	45	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	46	her	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	47	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	39	48	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	3	been	be	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	5	mathematically	mathematically	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	7	4	4	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	9	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	10	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	11	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	13	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	15	r	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	16	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	18	equation	equation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	19	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	20	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	21	=	=	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	22	exp(rT	exp(rT	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	24	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	25	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	26	upper	upper	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	27	bound	bind	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	28	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	29	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	30	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	31	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	32	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	33	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	34	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	35	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	36	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	37	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	38	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	39	generation	generation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	40	interval	interval	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	41	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	42	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	43	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	44	there	there	EX
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	45	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	46	little	little	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	47	pre	pre	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	48	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	49	existing	existing	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	50	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	51	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	52	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	53	pathogen	pathogen	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	54	under	under	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	55	consideration	consideration	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	40	56	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	1	Additional	additional	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	2	technical	technical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	3	details	detail	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	4	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	6	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	7	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	8	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	9	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	10	found	find	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	13	5	5	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	16	6	6	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	19	7	7	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	41	21	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	1	Unlike	unlike	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	2	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	3	better	well	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	5	known	know	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	6	deterministic	deterministic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	7	compartmental	compartmental	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	8	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	9	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	10	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	11	describe	describe	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	13	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	14	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	15	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	17	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	18	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	19	considers	consider	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	20	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	23	infected	infected	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	24	population	population	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	25	size	size	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	42	26	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	1	This	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	2	population	population	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	3	size	size	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	5	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	6	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	7	have	have	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	8	saturation	saturation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	9	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	10	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	11	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	14	progresses	progress	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	15	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	16	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	17	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	18	saturation	saturation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	19	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	20	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	21	caused	cause	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	22	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	23	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	25	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	26	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	27	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	28	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	29	measures	measure	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	30	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	31	other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	32	factors	factor	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	33	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	34	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	35	environmental	environmental	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	36	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	37	social	social	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	38	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	40	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	41	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	42	children	child	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	43	departing	depart	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	44	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	45	schools	school	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	46	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	47	summer	summer	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	48	holiday	holiday	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	43	50	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	2	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	3	premise	premise	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	4	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	6	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	7	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	9	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	11	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	12	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	14	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	15	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	16	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	17	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	18	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	19	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	21	consists	consist	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	22	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	23	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	24	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	25	peak	peak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	26	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	27	high	high	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	28	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	29	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	30	resulting	result	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	31	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	32	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	33	S	s	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	35	shaped	shape	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	36	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	37	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	38	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	39	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	40	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	41	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	42	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	43	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	44	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	45	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	46	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	44	47	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	2	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	3	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	4	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	5	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	6	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	8	defined	define	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	9	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	11	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	12	when	when	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	13	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	15	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	16	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	17	accumulation	accumulation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	18	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	19	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	20	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	21	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	22	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	24	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	25	vice	vice	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	26	versa	versa	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	28	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	29	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	30	easily	easily	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	31	pinpointed	pinpoint	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	32	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	33	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	34	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	35	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	36	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	37	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	38	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	39	change	change	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	40	transitions	transition	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	41	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	42	positive	positive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	43	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	44	negative	negative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	45	;	;	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	46	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	47	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	48	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	49	moment	moment	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	50	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	51	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	52	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	53	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	54	begins	begin	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	55	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	56	decline	decline	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	45	57	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	1	This	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	2	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	3	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	5	obvious	obvious	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	6	epidemiologic	epidemiologic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	7	importance	importance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	8	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	9	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	10	either	either	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	12	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	14	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	15	new	new	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	17	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	18	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	20	peak	peak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	21	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	22	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	23	current	current	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	25	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	46	26	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	2	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	3	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	4	two	two	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	5	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	6	more	more	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	7	phases	phase	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	8	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	9	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	10	variation	variation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	11	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	13	S	S	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	15	shaped	shape	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	16	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	17	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	19	been	be	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	20	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	22	6	6	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	47	24	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	1	This	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	2	multi	multi	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	3	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	4	staged	staged	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	5	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	6	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	7	distinguishes	distinguish	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	8	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	9	two	two	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	10	types	type	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	11	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	12	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	13	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	14	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	15	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	16	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	17	S	S	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	18	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	19	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	20	signifies	signify	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	22	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	23	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	24	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	25	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	26	ends	end	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	27	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	28	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	29	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	30	;	;	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	31	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	32	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	33	second	second	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	34	type	type	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	35	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	36	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	37	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	38	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	40	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	41	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	42	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	43	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	44	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	45	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	46	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	47	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	48	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	49	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	50	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	51	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	52	begins	begin	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	53	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	54	increase	increase	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	55	again	again	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	56	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	57	signifying	signify	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	58	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	59	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	60	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	61	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	62	next	next	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	63	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	64	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	48	65	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	1	This	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	2	variant	variant	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	4	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	5	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	6	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	7	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	8	systematic	systematic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	9	method	method	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	10	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	11	determining	determine	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	12	whether	whether	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	13	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	16	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	18	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	19	multi	multi	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	20	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	21	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	22	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	23	nature	nature	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	25	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	26	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	27	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	28	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	29	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	30	distinguish	distinguish	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	31	true	true	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	32	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	33	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	34	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	35	peaks	peak	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	36	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	37	valleys	valley	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	38	resulting	result	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	39	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	40	random	random	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	41	variability	variability	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	42	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	43	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	44	counts	count	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	49	45	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	1	More	More	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	2	details	detail	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	3	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	4	application	application	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	5	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	7	multi	multi	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	8	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	9	staged	staged	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	10	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	11	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	12	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	13	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	14	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	15	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	16	found	find	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	17	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	19	6	6	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	20	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	21	7	7	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	50	23	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	1	Readers	reader	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	2	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	3	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	4	referred	refer	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	5	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	7	8	8	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	8	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	9	9	9	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	11	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	12	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	13	applications	application	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	14	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	15	dengue	dengue	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	51	16	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	2	fit	fit	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	3	both	both	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	5	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	7	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	8	multi	multi	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	9	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	10	phase	phase	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	11	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	12	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	13	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	14	Canadian	canadian	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	15	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	16	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	17	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	18	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	19	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	21	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	22	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	23	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	24	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	25	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	26	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	27	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	28	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	29	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	30	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	31	Public	Public	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	32	Health	Health	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	33	Agency	Agency	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	34	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	35	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	37	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	39	website	website	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	41	10	10	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	42	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	43	11	11	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	44	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	52	45	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	1	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	3	represent	represent	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	4	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	5	central	central	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	6	repository	repository	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	7	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	8	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	9	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	10	reports	report	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	11	provided	provide	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	12	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	13	each	each	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	14	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	15	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	16	's	's	POS
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	17	provinces	province	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	18	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	19	territories	territory	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	53	20	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	1	Onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	2	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	3	represent	represent	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	4	best	good	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	5	local	local	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	6	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	8	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	9	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	10	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	11	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	12	differently	differently	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	13	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	14	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	15	jurisdictions	jurisdiction	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	54	16	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	2	example	example	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	5	province	province	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	6	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	7	Ontario	Ontario	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	8	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	9	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	10	comprises	comprise	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	11	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	12	1/3	1/3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	14	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	15	population	population	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	16	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	17	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	18	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	19	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	20	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	21	most	most	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	22	spring	spring	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	23	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	24	activity	activity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	25	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	26	concentrated	concentrate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	28	replaces	replace	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	29	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	30	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	31	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	32	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	33	hierarchical	hierarchical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	34	schema	schema	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	35	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	36	whereby	whereby	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	37	missing	miss	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	38	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	39	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	40	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	41	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	42	replaced	replace	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	43	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	44	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	45	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	46	specimen	specimen	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	47	collection	collection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	49	if	if	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	50	known	know	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	51	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	52	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	53	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	54	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	55	specimen	specimen	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	56	receipt	receipt	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	57	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	58	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	59	provincial	provincial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	60	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	61	system	system	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	62	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	63	if	if	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	64	both	both	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	65	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	66	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	67	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	68	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	69	specimen	specimen	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	70	collection	collection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	71	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	72	missing	miss	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	55	73	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	1	Data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	2	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	3	accessed	access	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	4	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	5	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	6	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	7	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	8	during	during	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	9	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	10	course	course	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	11	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	13	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	14	spring	spring	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	15	wave	wave	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	17	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	18	herald	herald	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	19	wave	wave	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	21	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	22	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	23	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	25	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	26	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	28	July	July	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	29	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	30	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	31	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	32	whenever	whenever	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	33	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	34	new	new	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	35	dataset	dataset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	36	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	37	made	make	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	38	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	39	online	online	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	40	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	41	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	42	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	56	43	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	1	By	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	2	sequentially	sequentially	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	3	considering	consider	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	4	successive	successive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	5	S	s	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	7	shaped	shape	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	8	segments	segment	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	12	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	13	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	15	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	17	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	18	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	19	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	21	K	K	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	23	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	24	locate	locate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	25	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	26	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	28	thus	thus	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	29	generating	generate	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	30	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	31	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	32	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	33	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	34	numbers	number	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	35	during	during	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	36	each	each	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	37	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	38	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	40	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	57	41	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	2	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	3	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	4	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	5	data	data	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	7	then	then	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	8	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	9	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	12	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	13	function	function	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	14	C(t	C(t	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	16	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	18	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	19	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	20	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	22	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	23	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	24	t	t	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	25	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	26	=	=	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	27	0	0	NFP
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	28	being	be	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	29	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	30	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	31	when	when	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	33	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	34	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	35	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	36	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	37	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	38	reported	report	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	39	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	40	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	41	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	42	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	43	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	44	C	c	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	45	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	46	=	=	NFP
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	47	C(0	C(0	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	58	49	=	=	NFP
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	1	1	1	LS
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	2	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	5	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	6	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	7	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	8	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	10	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	11	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	12	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	13	day	day	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	59	15	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	1	There	there	EX
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	2	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	3	some	some	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	4	differences	difference	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	5	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	6	sequential	sequential	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	8	curves	curve	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	9	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	10	assigned	assign	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	11	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	12	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	60	13	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	2	example	example	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	5	posted	post	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	6	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	7	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	8	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	9	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	10	20	20	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	11	indicated	indicate	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	12	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	13	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	14	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	15	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	16	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	17	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	18	13	13	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	19	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	20	but	but	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	21	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	22	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	23	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	24	3	3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	26	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	27	had	have	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	28	been	be	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	29	changed	change	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	30	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	31	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	32	12	12	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	33	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	34	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	35	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	36	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	37	revision	revision	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	38	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	40	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	41	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	42	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	43	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	44	result	result	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	45	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	46	additional	additional	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	47	information	information	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	61	48	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	1	Model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	3	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	4	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	5	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	7	explicit	explicit	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	8	solution	solution	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	9	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	10	earlier	early	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	11	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	12	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	13	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	14	easily	easily	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	15	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	16	efficiently	efficiently	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	17	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	18	any	any	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	19	standard	standard	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	20	software	software	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	21	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	22	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	23	least	least	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	25	squares	square	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	26	approximation	approximation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	27	tool	tool	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	28	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	29	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	30	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	31	SAS	SAS	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	32	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	33	Matlab	Matlab	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	62	34	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	1	Daily	daily	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	2	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	4	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	5	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	6	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	7	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	8	posted	post	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	9	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	10	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	11	until	until	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	12	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	13	26	26	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	14	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	15	after	after	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	16	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	17	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	18	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	20	daily	daily	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	21	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	22	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	23	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	25	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	26	hospitalized	hospitalize	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	28	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	29	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	30	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	31	posted	post	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	63	32	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	2	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	3	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	4	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	5	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	8	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	9	fit	fit	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	11	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	13	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	14	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	15	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	16	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	17	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	18	order	order	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	19	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	20	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	21	temporal	temporal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	22	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	23	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	24	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	25	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	26	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	27	severe	severe	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	29	hospitalized	hospitalize	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	32	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	33	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	34	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	35	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	36	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	37	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	38	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	39	proportional	proportional	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	40	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	41	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	42	total	total	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	43	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	44	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	64	45	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	2	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	3	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	4	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	6	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	7	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	8	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	9	work	work	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	10	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	11	provided	provide	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	12	online	online	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	13	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	14	Additional	additional	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	15	file	file	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	16	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	65	17	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	2	fit	fit	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	4	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	5	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	7	daily	daily	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	8	datasets	dataset	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	9	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	10	acquired	acquire	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	12	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	13	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	14	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	15	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	17	period	period	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	18	under	under	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	19	study	study	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	66	20	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	2	leastsquared	leastsquared	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	3	approximation	approximation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	4	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	6	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	7	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	8	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	9	could	could	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	10	converge	converge	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	11	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	12	either	either	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	13	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	14	single	single	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	16	phased	phase	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	17	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	18	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	19	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	20	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	21	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	67	22	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	2	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	3	sake	sake	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	4	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	5	brevity	brevity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	7	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	8	four	four	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	10	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	11	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	12	fits	fit	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	13	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	14	presented	present	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	15	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	16	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	17	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	18	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	19	demonstrate	demonstrate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	20	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	21	difference	difference	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	22	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	23	modeling	model	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	24	results	result	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	25	over	over	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	26	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	68	27	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	2	resulting	result	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	3	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	4	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	5	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	6	95	95	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	7	%	%	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	8	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	9	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	11	CI	CI	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	14	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	15	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	16	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	18	t	t	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	19	i	i	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	21	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	22	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	25	r	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	28	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	29	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	30	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	31	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	33	K	K	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	36	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	37	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	38	period	period	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	39	included	include	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	40	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	41	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	42	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	43	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	44	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	45	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	46	period	period	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	47	when	when	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	48	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	49	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	50	set	set	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	51	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	52	question	question	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	53	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	54	accessed	access	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	55	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	56	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	57	presented	present	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	58	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	59	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	60	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	69	61	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	1	Note	note	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	2	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	3	all	all	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	4	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	5	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	7	tables	table	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	8	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	9	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	10	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	11	month	month	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	12	/	/	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	13	day	day	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	70	14	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	2	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	3	note	note	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	4	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	6	CI	CI	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	7	's	's	POS
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	8	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	9	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	10	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	11	reflect	reflect	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	14	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	15	T	T	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	16	as	as	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	17	well	well	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	18	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	19	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	20	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	21	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	22	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	23	r	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	25	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	26	does	do	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	27	not	not	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	28	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	29	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	30	error	error	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	31	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	32	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	33	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	34	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	35	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	36	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	37	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	38	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	39	always	always	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	40	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	41	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	42	measure	measure	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	71	43	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	2	order	order	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	3	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	4	compare	compare	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	6	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	7	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	8	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	9	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	10	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	12	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	13	calculate	calculate	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	14	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	15	Akaike	Akaike	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	16	information	information	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	17	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	19	AIC	AIC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	22	12	12	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	24	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	25	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	26	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	28	third	third	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	29	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	30	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	31	fourth	fourth	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	32	sets	set	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	33	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	35	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	36	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	37	 	 	_SP
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	38	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	39	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	40	where	where	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	41	there	there	EX
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	42	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	43	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	44	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	45	fit	fit	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	46	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	47	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	48	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	49	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	72	50	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	2	results	result	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	4	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	5	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	6	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	7	2	2	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	8	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	9	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	10	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	11	whenever	whenever	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	12	there	there	EX
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	14	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	15	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	16	fit	fit	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	17	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	18	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	19	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	20	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	21	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	22	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	23	AIC	AIC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	24	value	value	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	26	always	always	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	27	lower	low	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	28	than	than	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	29	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	31	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	32	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	33	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	34	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	35	hence	hence	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	36	compares	compare	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	37	favorably	favorably	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	38	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	40	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	41	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	73	42	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	1	Parameter	parameter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	3	fluctuate	fluctuate	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	4	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	5	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	6	datasets	dataset	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	8	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	9	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	10	least	least	RBS
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	12	squared	squared	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	13	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	14	estimations	estimation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	15	diverge	diverge	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	16	within	within	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	17	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	18	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	19	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	20	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	21	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	22	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	23	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	24	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	25	manner	manner	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	26	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	27	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	28	likely	likely	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	29	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	30	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	31	artifact	artifact	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	74	32	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	2	particular	particular	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	4	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	6	earliest	early	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	7	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	8	fits	fit	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	9	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	10	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	12	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	13	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	14	13	13	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	15	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	16	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	17	15	15	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	18	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	20	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	21	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	22	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	23	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	24	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	25	second	second	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	26	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	27	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	28	far	far	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	29	larger	large	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	30	than	than	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	31	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	32	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	33	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	34	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	35	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	36	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	37	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	38	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	39	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	40	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	41	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	42	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	43	single	single	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	44	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	45	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	46	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	47	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	48	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	49	illustrating	illustrate	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	50	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	51	pitfalls	pitfall	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	52	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	53	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	54	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	55	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	56	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	57	limited	limited	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	58	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	59	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	60	early	early	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	61	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	62	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	63	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	75	64	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	1	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	2	stabilize	stabilize	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	3	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	5	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	6	progresses	progress	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	8	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	9	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	10	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	11	seen	see	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	12	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	13	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	14	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	15	data	data	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	16	sets	set	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	18	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	19	11	11	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	20	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	21	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	22	5	5	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	23	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	24	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	25	12	12	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	26	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	27	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	28	19	19	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	76	30	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	2	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	5	plot	plot	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	7	respective	respective	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	8	theoretical	theoretical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	10	curves	curve	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	11	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	12	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	13	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	14	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	15	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	16	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	18	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	19	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	20	described	describe	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	21	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	22	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	23	table	table	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	24	above	above	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	25	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	26	Figure	figure	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	27	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	77	28	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	1	As	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	2	noted	note	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	3	above	above	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	4	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	5	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	6	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	7	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	8	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	9	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	10	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	11	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	12	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	14	t	t	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	15	i	i	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	17	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	18	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	19	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	20	numbers	number	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	22	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	23	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	24	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	26	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	27	if	if	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	29	generation	generation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	30	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	31	T	T	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	33	know	know	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	78	34	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	2	used	use	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	3	T	t	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	4	=	=	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	5	1.91	1.91	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	6	days	day	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	8	95	95	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	9	%	%	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	10	CI	ci	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	11	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	12	1.30	1.30	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	13	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	14	2.71	2.71	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	16	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	17	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	18	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	19	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	21	2	2	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	23	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	24	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	25	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	26	age	age	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	27	stratified	stratify	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	28	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	29	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	30	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	31	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	32	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	33	recognized	recognize	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	34	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	35	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	36	A	a	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	38	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	40	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	41	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	42	La	La	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	43	Gloria	Gloria	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	44	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	45	Mexico	Mexico	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	79	46	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	1	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	2	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	3	presented	present	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	4	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	5	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	6	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	80	7	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	2	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	3	conducted	conduct	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	4	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	5	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	6	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	7	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	8	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	9	#	#	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	10	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	11	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	12	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	13	longer	long	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	14	generation	generation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	15	times	time	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	17	T	t	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	18	=	=	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	19	3.6	3.6	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	21	2.9	2.9	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	22	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	23	4.3	4.3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	26	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	27	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	28	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	29	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	31	13	13	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	34	see	see	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	35	last	last	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	36	column	column	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	37	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	38	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	39	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	81	41	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	1	Excluding	exclude	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	2	implausibly	implausibly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	3	high	high	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	4	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	5	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	6	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	7	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	8	generated	generate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	9	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	10	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	11	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	14	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	15	13	13	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	16	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	17	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	18	15	15	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	20	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	22	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	23	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	24	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	25	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	26	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	27	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	28	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	29	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	30	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	31	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	32	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	33	range	range	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	34	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	35	1.31	1.31	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	36	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	37	1.96	1.96	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	82	38	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	1	Inasmuch	Inasmuch	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	2	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	3	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	4	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	5	analyzes	analyze	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	7	general	general	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	8	trends	trend	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	10	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	13	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	14	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	15	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	16	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	18	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	19	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	20	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	21	etc	etc	FW
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	22	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	25	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	26	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	27	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	28	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	29	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	30	fit	fit	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	31	any	any	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	32	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	33	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	34	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	35	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	36	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	37	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	38	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	39	process	process	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	40	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	41	as	as	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	42	long	long	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	43	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	44	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	45	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	46	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	47	change	change	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	48	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	49	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	50	recorded	record	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	51	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	52	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	53	proportional	proportional	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	54	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	55	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	56	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	57	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	58	true	true	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	59	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	60	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	61	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	83	62	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	1	As	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	2	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	4	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	5	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	8	fit	fit	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	9	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	10	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	11	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	13	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	14	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	15	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	16	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	17	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	18	hospitalizations	hospitalization	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	19	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	20	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	21	posted	post	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	22	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	23	PHAC	PHAC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	24	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	25	July	July	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	26	15	15	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	27	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	28	11	11	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	29	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	31	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	32	last	last	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	33	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	34	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	35	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	36	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	37	made	make	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	38	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	41	Table	table	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	42	3	3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	84	44	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	1	This	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	2	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	3	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	4	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	5	easily	easily	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	6	fit	fit	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	7	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	8	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	9	one	one	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	11	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	12	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	14	Figure	figure	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	15	2	2	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	85	17	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	1	Further	further	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	2	examples	example	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	4	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	5	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	6	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	7	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	9	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	10	fit	fit	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	12	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	13	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	14	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	15	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	16	found	find	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	17	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	19	14	14	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	86	21	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	2	used	use	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	4	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	5	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	7	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	8	permits	permit	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	9	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	10	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	11	key	key	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	12	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	13	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	14	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	15	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	16	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	17	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	18	counts	count	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	19	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	20	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	21	study	study	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	22	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	23	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	24	wave	wave	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	25	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	26	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	27	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	28	A	a	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	30	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	33	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	34	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	87	35	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	2	most	most	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	3	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	4	fits	fit	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	5	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	6	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	7	28	28	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	8	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	9	29	29	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	10	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	11	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	12	4	4	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	13	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	14	7	7	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	15	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	16	identified	identify	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	17	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	18	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	19	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	20	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	21	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	22	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	23	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	25	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	26	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	27	third	third	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	28	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	29	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	30	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	31	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	32	around	around	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	33	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	34	3	3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	35	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	36	5	5	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	37	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	38	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	39	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	40	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	41	longer	long	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	42	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	43	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	88	44	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	1	Although	although	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	2	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	3	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	4	approach	approach	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	5	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	6	not	not	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	7	able	able	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	8	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	9	detect	detect	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	10	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	11	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	12	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	13	some	some	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	14	earlier	early	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	16	sets	set	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	18	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	19	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	20	those	those	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	21	limited	limit	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	22	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	23	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	24	period	period	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	25	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	26	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	27	12	12	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	28	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	29	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	30	27	27	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	32	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	33	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	34	general	general	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	35	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	36	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	37	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	38	identified	identify	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	39	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	40	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	41	across	across	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	42	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	43	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	44	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	45	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	46	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	89	47	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	1	Perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	2	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	3	most	most	RBS
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	4	important	important	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	5	divergence	divergence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	6	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	7	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	8	occurred	occur	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	9	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	10	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	11	detection	detection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	12	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	13	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	14	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	15	29	29	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	16	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	17	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	18	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	20	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	21	report	report	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	22	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	23	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	25	but	but	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	26	not	not	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	27	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	29	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	30	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	31	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	32	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	33	hospitalized	hospitalize	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	90	35	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	2	believe	believe	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	3	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	4	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	5	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	6	attributable	attributable	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	7	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	9	small	small	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	10	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	11	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	12	hospitalizations	hospitalization	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	13	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	14	relative	relative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	15	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	18	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	19	had	have	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	20	occurred	occur	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	21	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	22	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	23	date	date	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	24	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	25	as	as	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	26	well	well	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	27	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	29	fact	fact	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	30	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	31	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	32	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	33	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	34	became	become	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	35	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	36	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	37	April	April	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	38	18	18	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	91	39	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	2	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	3	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	4	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	5	correspond	correspond	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	6	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	8	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	9	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	10	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	12	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	13	activities	activity	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	14	take	take	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	15	effect	effect	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	17	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	18	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	20	rate	rate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	21	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	22	change	change	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	23	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	25	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	26	begins	begin	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	27	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	28	decline	decline	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	30	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	31	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	32	represent	represent	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	33	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	34	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	35	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	36	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	37	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	38	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	39	begins	begin	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	40	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	41	wane	wane	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	42	naturally	naturally	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	44	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	45	example	example	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	46	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	47	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	48	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	49	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	50	shifts	shift	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	51	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	52	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	53	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	54	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	55	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	56	having	have	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	57	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	58	exhausted	exhausted	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	59	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	60	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	61	supply	supply	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	62	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	63	susceptibles	susceptible	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	64	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	65	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	66	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	67	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	68	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	69	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	70	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	71	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	72	declines	decline	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	73	below	below	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	74	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	75	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	92	76	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	1	This	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	2	quantity	quantity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	4	direct	direct	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	5	policy	policy	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	6	relevance	relevance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	7	;	;	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	8	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	9	example	example	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	10	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	13	autumn	autumn	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	14	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	15	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	16	wave	wave	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	17	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	18	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	19	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	20	vaccination	vaccination	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	21	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	22	pH1N1	pH1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	23	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	24	initiated	initiate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	25	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	26	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	27	after	after	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	28	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	29	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	30	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	31	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	33	autumn	autumn	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	34	wave	wave	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	35	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	36	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	37	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	38	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	39	taken	take	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	40	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	41	produce	produce	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	42	vaccine	vaccine	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	43	;	;	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	44	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	45	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	46	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	47	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	48	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	49	natural	natural	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	50	decline	decline	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	51	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	52	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	53	point	point	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	54	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	55	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	56	impact	impact	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	57	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	58	vaccination	vaccination	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	59	has	have	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	60	subsequently	subsequently	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	61	been	be	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	62	called	call	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	63	into	into	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	64	question	question	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	93	65	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	1	Although	although	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	2	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	3	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	4	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	6	able	able	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	7	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	8	capture	capture	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	9	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	10	temporal	temporal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	11	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	12	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	14	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	15	over	over	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	17	course	course	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	18	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	19	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	20	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	21	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	22	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	23	does	do	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	24	not	not	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	25	define	define	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	26	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	27	biological	biological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	28	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	29	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	30	basis	basis	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	94	31	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	1	As	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	2	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	4	determining	determine	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	6	nature	nature	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	7	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	8	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	9	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	10	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	11	requires	require	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	12	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	13	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	14	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	15	events	event	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	16	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	18	ground	ground	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	19	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	20	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	21	correlation	correlation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	95	22	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	2	suspect	suspect	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	3	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	5	last	last	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	6	Note	note	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	7	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	8	all	all	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	9	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	10	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	12	tables	table	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	13	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	14	given	give	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	15	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	16	month	month	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	17	/	/	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	18	day	day	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	96	19	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	1	Dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	2	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	3	posting	post	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	4	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	5	listed	list	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	6	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	7	parentheses	parenthesis	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	97	8	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	1	Model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	2	duration	duration	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	3	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	4	whether	whether	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	5	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	6	fit	fit	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	7	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	8	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	9	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	10	2phase	2phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	11	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	98	12	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	1	Note	note	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	2	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	4	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	5	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	6	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	8	rounded	round	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	9	off	off	RP
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	10	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	12	nearest	near	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	13	integer	integer	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	99	14	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	1	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	2	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	3	#	#	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	5	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	6	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	8	generation	generation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	9	interval	interval	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	10	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	11	T	t	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	12	=	=	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	13	3.6	3.6	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	15	2.9	2.9	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	16	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	17	4.3	4.3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	19	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	20	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	21	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	22	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	23	13	13	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	24	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	100	25	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	1	Table	table	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	2	2	2	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	3	Comparison	comparison	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	4	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	5	Akaike	Akaike	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	6	information	information	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	7	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	9	AIC	AIC	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	11	values	value	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	12	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	13	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	14	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	15	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	16	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	17	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	18	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	19	periods	period	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	20	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	21	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	22	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	23	fit	fit	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	24	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	25	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	26	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	27	Time	Time	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	28	Table	Table	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	29	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	30	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	31	last	last	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	32	line	line	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	34	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	35	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	36	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	37	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	38	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	39	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	40	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	42	June	June	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	43	11	11	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	45	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	46	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	47	lag	lag	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	48	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	49	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	50	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	51	would	would	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	52	actually	actually	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	53	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	54	expected	expect	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	55	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	56	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	57	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	58	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	59	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	60	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	61	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	62	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	63	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	64	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	65	until	until	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	66	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	67	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	68	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	69	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	70	reported	report	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	71	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	72	have	have	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	73	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	74	interquartile	interquartile	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	75	range	range	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	76	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	77	2	2	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	78	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	79	7	7	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	80	days	day	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	81	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	82	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	83	recent	recent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	84	study	study	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	85	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	86	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	87	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	88	15	15	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	89	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	101	90	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	1	Timelines	timeline	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	2	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	4	2-phase	2-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	5	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	6	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	7	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	10	4/12	4/12	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	11	-	-	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	12	6/19	6/19	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	13	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	14	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	15	1-phase	1-phase	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	16	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	17	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	18	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	20	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	21	presented	present	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	22	graphically	graphically	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	23	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	24	Figure	figure	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	25	3	3	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	102	26	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	3	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	4	identifying	identify	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	5	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	6	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	9	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	10	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	12	useful	useful	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	13	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	14	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	15	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	17	basic	basic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	18	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	19	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	21	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	22	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	24	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	25	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	26	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	27	process	process	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	28	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	29	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	30	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	31	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	32	derived	derive	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	33	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	34	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	35	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	36	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	37	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	38	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	39	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	40	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	41	derived	derive	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	42	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	43	other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	44	methods	method	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	103	45	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	1	For	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	2	example	example	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	5	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	6	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	7	agrees	agree	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	8	almost	almost	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	9	perfectly	perfectly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	10	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	11	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	12	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	13	Tuite	Tuite	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	14	et	et	FW
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	15	al	al	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	16	.	.	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	18	derived	derive	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	19	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	20	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	21	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	22	chain	chain	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	23	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	24	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	25	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	26	parameterized	parameterize	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	27	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	28	individual	individual	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	30	level	level	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	31	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	32	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	33	Ontario	Ontario	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	34	's	's	POS
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	35	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	36	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	37	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	38	system	system	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	39	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	40	16	16	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	41	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	104	42	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	4	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	5	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	7	smaller	small	JJR
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	8	than	than	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	9	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	10	derived	derive	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	11	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	12	Fraser	Fraser	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	13	et	et	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	14	al	al	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	105	15	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	2	2	2	LS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	4	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	5	Mexican	mexican	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	8	but	but	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	9	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	10	differences	difference	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	11	could	could	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	12	relate	relate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	13	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	14	part	part	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	15	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	17	different	different	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	18	age	age	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	19	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	20	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	21	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	22	two	two	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	23	countries	country	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	25	17	17	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	27	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	28	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	29	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	30	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	31	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	33	fact	fact	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	34	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	35	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	36	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	38	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	39	Canadian	canadian	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	40	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	41	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	42	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	43	national	national	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	44	level	level	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	45	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	46	while	while	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	47	empirical	empirical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	48	Mexican	mexican	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	49	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	50	were	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	51	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	52	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	53	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	54	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	55	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	56	town	town	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	57	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	58	La	La	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	59	Gloria	Gloria	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	60	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	61	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	62	1575	1575	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	63	residents	resident	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	106	64	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	1	Most	Most	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	3	curves	curve	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	4	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	6	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	7	stage	stage	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	8	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	9	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	10	novel	novel	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	13	have	have	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	14	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	15	phases	phase	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	16	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	17	waves	wave	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	18	due	due	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	19	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	20	simple	simple	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	21	stochastic	stochastic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	23	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	24	random	random	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	25	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	27	variation	variation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	28	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	29	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	31	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	32	importing	importing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	33	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	34	initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	35	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	36	networks	network	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	37	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	38	individual	individual	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	39	/	/	SYM
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	40	community	community	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	41	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	42	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	43	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	44	improvements	improvement	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	45	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	46	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	47	performance	performance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	48	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	49	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	50	systems	system	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	51	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	52	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	53	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	54	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	55	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	56	definitions	definition	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	57	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	58	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	59	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	60	response	response	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	61	evolves	evolve	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	107	62	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	1	However	however	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	2	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	3	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	4	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	5	phase	phase	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	7	signified	signify	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	8	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	9	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	10	presence	presence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	11	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	12	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	13	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	14	identified	identify	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	15	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	16	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	17	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	18	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	20	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	21	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	22	pinpoint	pinpoint	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	23	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	24	timing	timing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	25	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	26	important	important	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	27	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	28	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	29	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	30	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	31	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	32	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	33	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	34	effective	effective	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	35	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	36	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	37	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	38	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	39	via	via	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	40	vaccination	vaccination	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	41	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	42	other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	43	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	44	measures	measure	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	45	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	46	depletion	depletion	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	47	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	48	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	49	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	50	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	51	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	52	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	53	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	54	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	55	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	56	effective	effective	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	57	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	58	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	59	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	60	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	61	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	62	decreases	decrease	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	63	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	64	<	<	XX
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	65	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	66	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	67	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	68	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	69	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	70	peak	peak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	71	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	72	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	73	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	74	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	75	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	76	wave	wave	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	77	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	78	infection	infection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	79	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	80	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	81	occurs	occur	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	82	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	83	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	84	4	4	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	85	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	86	18	18	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	87	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	88	19	19	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	89	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	90	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	91	some	some	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	92	competing	compete	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	93	methods	method	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	94	require	require	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	95	more	more	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	96	extensive	extensive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	97	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	98	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	99	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	100	than	than	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	101	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	102	required	require	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	103	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	104	build	build	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	105	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	106	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	107	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	108	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	109	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	110	requires	require	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	111	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	112	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	113	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	114	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	115	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	116	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	117	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	118	curve	curve	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	108	119	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	1	As	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	3	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	4	demonstrate	demonstrate	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	5	here	here	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	8	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	9	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	10	produces	produce	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	11	fairly	fairly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	12	stable	stable	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	13	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	14	credible	credible	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	15	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	16	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	17	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	18	numbers	number	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	19	early	early	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	22	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	23	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	24	allowing	allow	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	25	these	these	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	26	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	27	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	28	inform	inform	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	29	evolving	evolve	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	30	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	31	Table	table	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	32	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	33	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	34	derived	derive	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	35	using	use	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	36	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	37	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	38	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	39	accessed	access	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	40	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	41	May	May	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	42	20	20	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	43	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	44	closely	closely	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	45	approximate	approximate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	46	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	47	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	48	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	49	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	50	Table	table	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	51	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	52	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	53	last	last	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	54	row	row	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	55	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	109	56	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	2	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	3	while	while	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	4	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	5	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	6	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	8	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	9	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	10	failed	fail	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	11	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	12	correctly	correctly	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	13	detect	detect	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	14	turning	turning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	15	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	16	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	17	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	18	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	20	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	22	size	size	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	23	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	24	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	25	was	be	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	26	nonetheless	nonetheless	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	27	useful	useful	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	28	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	29	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	30	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	31	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	32	R	r	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	33	0	0	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	34	within	within	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	35	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	36	month	month	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	37	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	38	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	39	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	40	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	41	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	42	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	110	43	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	1	As	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	2	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	3	any	any	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	4	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	5	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	6	technique	technique	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	7	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	9	approach	approach	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	10	presented	present	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	11	here	here	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	13	subject	subject	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	14	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	15	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	16	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	17	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	18	include	include	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	20	quality	quality	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	21	associated	associate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	22	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	23	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	25	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	26	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	28	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	29	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	30	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	31	often	often	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	32	subject	subject	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	33	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	34	ongoing	ongoing	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	35	cleaning	cleaning	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	36	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	37	correction	correction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	38	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	39	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	40	reclassification	reclassification	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	41	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	42	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	43	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	44	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	45	further	further	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	46	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	47	become	become	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	48	available	available	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	50	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	51	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	52	delays	delay	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	53	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	54	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	55	problems	problem	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	56	related	relate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	57	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	58	missing	miss	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	59	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	60	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	61	which	which	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	62	may	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	63	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	64	non	non	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	65	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	66	random	random	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	67	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	111	68	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	3	current	current	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	4	study	study	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	5	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	7	hierarchical	hierarchical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	8	approach	approach	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	9	used	use	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	10	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	11	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	12	's	's	POS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	13	most	most	RBS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	14	populous	populous	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	15	province	province	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	17	Ontario	Ontario	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	19	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	20	replacement	replacement	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	21	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	22	missing	miss	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	23	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	24	could	could	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	25	have	have	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	26	had	have	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	27	distorting	distort	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	28	effects	effect	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	29	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	30	measured	measure	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	31	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	32	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	33	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	34	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	35	replacement	replacement	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	36	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	37	missing	miss	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	38	onset	onset	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	39	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	40	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	41	dates	date	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	42	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	43	specimen	specimen	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	44	collection	collection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	45	could	could	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	46	have	have	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	47	resulted	result	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	48	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	49	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	50	artifactual	artifactual	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	51	appearance	appearance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	52	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	53	early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	54	turning	turn	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	55	points	point	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	56	identified	identify	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	57	by	by	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	58	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	59	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	60	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	61	due	due	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	62	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	63	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	64	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	65	weekend	weekend	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	66	staffing	staff	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	67	early	early	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	68	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	69	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	70	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	112	71	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	1	If	if	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	2	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	3	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	5	believe	believe	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	6	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	7	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	9	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	10	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	11	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	12	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	13	laboratories	laboratory	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	14	did	do	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	15	not	not	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	16	have	have	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	17	sufficient	sufficient	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	18	emergency	emergency	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	19	staffing	staffing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	20	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	21	keep	keep	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	22	up	up	RP
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	23	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	24	testing	testing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	25	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	26	weekends	weekend	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	27	such	such	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	28	that	that	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	29	weekend	weekend	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	30	specimen	specimen	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	31	log	log	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	32	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	33	ins	in	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	34	declined	decline	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	35	sharply	sharply	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	36	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	37	this	this	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	38	would	would	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	39	have	have	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	40	created	create	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	41	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	42	appearance	appearance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	43	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	44	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	45	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	46	fade	fade	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	47	out	out	RP
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	48	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	49	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	50	weekends	weekend	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	113	51	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	2	factors	factor	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	3	that	that	WDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	4	might	may	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	5	distort	distort	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	7	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	8	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	11	include	include	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	12	changes	change	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	13	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	14	guidelines	guideline	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	15	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	16	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	17	testing	testing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	18	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	19	suspected	suspect	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	21	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	22	improved	improve	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	23	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	24	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	25	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	26	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	27	alerts	alert	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	28	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	29	later	later	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	30	stages	stage	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	31	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	33	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	34	leading	lead	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	35	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	36	increased	increase	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	37	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	38	ascertainment	ascertainment	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	39	or	or	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	40	over	over	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	41	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	42	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	43	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	44	cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	45	[	[	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	46	20	20	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	47	]	]	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	114	48	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	1	However	however	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	2	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	4	quality	quality	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	5	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	7	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	8	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	9	will	will	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	10	tend	tend	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	11	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	12	improve	improve	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	13	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	14	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	15	duration	duration	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	16	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	17	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	19	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	20	both	both	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	21	because	because	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	22	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	23	variation	variation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	25	"	"	``
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	26	smoothed	smooth	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	27	out	out	RP
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	28	"	"	''
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	29	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	30	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	31	also	also	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	32	because	because	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	33	small	small	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	34	variations	variation	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	35	become	become	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	36	less	less	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	37	important	important	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	38	as	as	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	39	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	40	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	41	series	series	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	42	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	43	longer	long	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	115	44	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	2	note	note	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	3	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	4	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	5	further	further	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	6	application	application	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	7	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	8	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	9	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	10	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	11	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	12	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	13	context	context	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	14	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	15	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	16	would	would	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	17	relate	relate	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	18	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	19	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	20	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	21	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	22	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	23	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	24	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	25	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	26	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	27	A	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	28	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	29	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	30	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	31	past	past	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	32	Canadian	canadian	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	33	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	34	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	35	though	though	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	36	such	such	PDT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	37	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	38	endeavor	endeavor	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	39	is	be	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	40	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	41	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	42	scope	scope	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	43	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	44	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	45	present	present	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	46	study	study	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	116	47	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	1	In	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	2	summary	summary	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	3	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	5	believe	believe	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	6	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	8	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	9	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	10	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	11	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	12	important	important	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	13	tool	tool	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	14	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	15	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	17	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	18	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	19	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	20	face	face	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	21	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	22	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	23	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	24	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	25	crisis	crisis	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	117	26	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	1	However	however	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	2	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	3	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	4	based	base	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	5	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	7	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	8	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	10	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	11	all	all	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	12	other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	13	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	14	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	16	should	should	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	17	be	be	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	18	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	19	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	20	caution	caution	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	21	early	early	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	22	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	23	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	25	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	26	when	when	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	27	one	one	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	28	need	need	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	29	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	30	balance	balance	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	31	urgency	urgency	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	32	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	33	sound	sound	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	34	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	118	35	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	1	At	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	2	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	3	worst	bad	JJS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	4	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	5	hasty	hasty	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	6	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	7	are	be	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	8	not	not	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	9	only	only	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	10	unhelpful	unhelpful	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	11	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	12	but	but	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	13	can	can	MD
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	14	mislead	mislead	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	15	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	16	health	health	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	17	officials	official	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	18	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	19	adversely	adversely	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	20	influence	influence	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	21	public	public	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	22	sentiments	sentiment	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	23	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	24	responses	response	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	25	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	26	undermine	undermine	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	27	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	28	perceived	perceived	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	29	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	30	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	31	future	future	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	33	more	more	RBR
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	34	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	36	models	model	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	37	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	38	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	39	become	become	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	40	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	41	hindrance	hindrance	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	42	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	43	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	44	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	45	control	control	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	46	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	47	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	48	general	general	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	119	49	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	1	Additional	additional	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	2	file	file	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	3	1	1	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	4	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	5	Electronic	Electronic	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	6	Supplementary	Supplementary	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	7	Material	Material	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	120	8	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	121	1	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	122	1	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	122	2	novel	novel	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	122	3	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	122	4	A(H1N1	A(H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	122	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	1	daily	daily	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	2	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	4	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	5	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	6	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	7	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	8	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	9	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	123	11	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	1	Epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	2	Science	science	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	3	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	4	Real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	5	Time	Time	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	6	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	7	Potential	potential	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	8	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	9	a	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	10	Strain	Strain	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	11	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	12	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	13	A	A	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	15	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	124	17	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	125	1	Early	early	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	125	2	Findings	finding	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	1	A	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	2	flexible	flexible	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	3	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	4	function	function	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	5	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	6	empirical	empirical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	126	7	use	use	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	1	How	how	WRB
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	2	generation	generation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	3	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	4	shape	shape	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	6	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	7	between	between	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	9	rates	rate	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	10	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	11	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	12	numbers	number	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	13	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	14	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	127	15	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	1	Emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	2	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	3	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	4	Real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	6	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	7	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	8	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	9	multi	multi	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	10	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	11	wave	wave	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	13	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	128	14	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	129	1	Emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	129	2	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	129	3	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-000282-phepjf55	129	4	Richards	Richards	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	129	5	Model	Model	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	129	6	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	1	A	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	2	Simple	Simple	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	3	Procedure	Procedure	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	4	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	5	Real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	7	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	8	Prediction	prediction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	10	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	11	Severity	Severity	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	12	Intervention	Intervention	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	13	Measures	Measures	NNPS
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	14	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	15	Turning	Turning	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	16	Point	Point	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	17	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	18	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	19	Reproduction	Reproduction	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	20	Number	Number	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	21	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	22	Dengue	Dengue	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	23	Turning	Turning	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	24	Points	Points	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	25	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	26	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	27	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	28	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	29	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	30	Impact	Impact	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	31	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	32	Climatological	climatological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	33	events	event	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	34	on	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	35	Multi	Multi	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	36	-	-	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	37	Wave	wave	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	38	Dengue	Dengue	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	39	Outbreaks	Outbreaks	NNPS
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	40	Public	Public	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	41	Health	Health	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	42	Agency	Agency	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	43	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	44	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	45	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	46	Cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	47	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	48	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	49	Flu	Flu	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	50	Virus	Virus	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	51	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	52	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	53	Public	Public	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	54	Health	Health	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	55	Agency	Agency	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	56	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	57	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	58	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	59	Cases	case	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	60	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	61	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	62	Flu	Flu	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	63	Virus	Virus	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	64	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	130	65	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	1	A	a	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	2	new	new	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	3	look	look	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	4	at	at	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	5	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	6	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	7	model	model	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	8	identification	identification	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	9	Estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	10	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	12	serial	serial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	13	interval	interval	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	14	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	15	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	16	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	17	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	18	A	A	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	20	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	22	during	during	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	23	winter	winter	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	24	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	25	season	season	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	26	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	27	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	28	southern	southern	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	29	hemisphere	hemisphere	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	131	30	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	132	1	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	132	2	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	132	3	Other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	132	4	Respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	132	5	Viruses	virus	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	1	Critically	critically	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	2	ill	ill	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	3	patients	patient	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	4	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	5	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	6	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	7	A(H1N1	a(h1n1	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	9	infection	infection	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	10	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	11	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	12	Estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	13	epidemiologic	epidemiologic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	14	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	15	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	16	morbidity	morbidity	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	17	associated	associate	VBN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	18	with	with	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	19	pandemic	pandemic	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	20	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	21	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	22	Age	Age	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	23	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	24	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	25	pandemics	pandemic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	26	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	27	disease	disease	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	133	28	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	1	Comparative	comparative	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	2	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	3	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	5	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	6	number	number	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	7	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	8	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	9	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	10	from	from	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	11	daily	daily	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	12	case	case	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	13	notification	notification	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	134	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	2	ideal	ideal	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	3	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	4	interval	interval	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	5	for	for	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	6	an	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	8	to	to	TO
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	9	objectively	objectively	RB
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	10	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	12	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	13	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	14	course	course	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	15	Initial	initial	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	16	human	human	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	17	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	18	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	19	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	20	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	21	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	23	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	25	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	26	virus	virus	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	27	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	28	North	North	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	29	America	America	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	135	30	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	136	1	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	136	2	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	136	3	Other	other	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	136	4	Respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	136	5	Viruses	virus	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	1	On	on	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	3	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	4	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	5	real	real	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	6	time	time	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	7	:	:	:
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	8	An	an	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	9	application	application	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	10	to	to	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	11	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	12	2009	2009	CD
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	13	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	14	A	A	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	16	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	18	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	19	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	20	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	21	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	22	Authors	Authors	NNPS
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	23	'	'	POS
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	24	contributions	contribution	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	25	YHH	YHH	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	26	conceived	conceive	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	27	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	28	study	study	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	29	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	30	carried	carry	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	31	out	out	RP
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	32	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	33	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	34	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	35	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	36	wrote	write	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	37	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	38	first	first	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	39	draft	draft	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	137	40	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	1	DF	DF	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	2	interpreted	interpret	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	3	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	4	results	result	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	5	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	6	revised	revise	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	8	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	138	9	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	1	JW	JW	NNP
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	2	participated	participate	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	3	in	in	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	4	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	6	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	7	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	8	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	9	of	of	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	10	results	result	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	11	,	,	,
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	12	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	13	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	14	writing	writing	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	139	15	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	1	All	all	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	3	read	read	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	4	and	and	CC
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	5	approved	approve	VBD
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	6	the	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	7	final	final	JJ
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	8	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-000282-phepjf55	140	9	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	1	The	the	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	3	declare	declare	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	4	that	that	IN
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	5	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	6	have	have	VBP
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	7	no	no	DT
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	8	competing	compete	VBG
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	9	interests	interest	NNS
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	10	.	.	.
cord-000282-phepjf55	141	11	 	 	_SP