id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-291181-u2t20mgi	Chin, Ken Lee	Early signs that COVID-19 is being contained in Australia	2020-05-01		.txt	text/plain	757	59	66	4 In the present study, we report on the epidemiology of the COVID-19 outbreak in Australia observed thus far, as well as the predicted future numbers of cases, deaths and ICU admissions, and associated ICU costs. 5, 6 We forecasted the number of beds required for COVID-19 patients over time and its associated costs by applying the following conditions: (i) allocation of 10%, 30% and 50% of ICU beds for COVID-19; (ii) 3% (as currently observed in Australia), 5% (China) and 12% (Italy) of confirmed cases requiring intensive care 7 ; (iii) mean ICU stay between 7 and 14 days; and (iv) mean hospital stay prior to intensive care between 7 and 14 days. Based on extrapolation of trends prior to 29 March 2020, the Australian healthcare system would have been over-run by over 12,000 confirmed cases by 12 April 2020 (Supplement Figure C) .	./cache/cord-291181-u2t20mgi.txt	./txt/cord-291181-u2t20mgi.txt