id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-009481-6pm3rpzj Parnell, Gregory S. Intelligent Adversary Risk Analysis: A Bioterrorism Risk Management Model 2009-12-11 .txt text/plain 6493 378 50 In the second section, we describe a canonical model for resource allocation decision making for an intelligent adversary problem using an illustrative bioterrorism example with notional data. (16) In our example, we will use four of the recommendations: model the decisions of intelligent adversaries, include risk management, simplify the model by not assigning probabilities to the branches of uncertain events, and do not normalize the risk. (29) In our defenderattacker-defender decision analysis model, we have the two defender decisions (buy vaccine, add a Bio Watch city), the agent acquisition for the attacker is uncertain, the agent selection and target of attack is another decision, the consequences (fatalities and economic) are uncertain, the defender decision after attack to mitigate the maximum possible casualties, and the costs of defender decisions are known. We use multiple objective decision analysis with an additive value (risk) model to assign risk to the defender consequences. ./cache/cord-009481-6pm3rpzj.txt ./txt/cord-009481-6pm3rpzj.txt