id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	1	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	2	cord-349217-vpih1wvs	cord-349217-vpih1wvs	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	3	authors	author	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	4	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	5	Petropoulos	Petropoulos	NNPS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	6	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	7	Fotios	Fotios	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	8	;	;	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	9	Makridakis	Makridakis	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	11	Spyros	Spyros	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	12	title	title	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	13	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	14	Forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	16	novel	novel	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	17	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	18	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	19	date	date	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	20	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	23	03	03	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	25	31	31	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	26	journal	journal	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	2	27	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	3	1	PLoS	PLoS	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	4	1	One	one	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	4	2	DOI	doi	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	4	3	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	5	1	10.1371	10.1371	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	5	2	/	/	SYM
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	5	3	journal.pone.0231236	journal.pone.0231236	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	5	4	sha	sha	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	5	5	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	1	aa9f61d7fe13c22c7b5ad4dc6f5324412ee6b0b8	aa9f61d7fe13c22c7b5ad4dc6f5324412ee6b0b8	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	3	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	4	349217	349217	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	5	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	6	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	6	7	vpih1wvs	vpih1wvs	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	1	What	what	WP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	2	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	3	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	5	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	6	impact	impact	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	7	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	9	novel	novel	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	10	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	12	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	7	14	?	?	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	1	Answering	answer	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	2	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	3	question	question	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	4	requires	require	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	5	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	6	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	9	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	10	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	12	as	as	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	13	well	well	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	14	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	15	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	16	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	17	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	18	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	19	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	20	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	22	recoveries	recovery	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	8	23	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	1	Forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	3	however	however	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	4	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	5	requires	require	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	6	ample	ample	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	7	historical	historical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	9	9	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	1	At	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	3	same	same	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	4	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	5	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	6	no	no	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	7	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	9	certain	certain	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	10	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	12	future	future	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	13	rarely	rarely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	14	repeats	repeat	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	15	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	16	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	17	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	18	same	same	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	19	way	way	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	20	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	21	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	22	past	past	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	10	23	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	3	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	4	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	5	influenced	influence	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	6	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	8	reliability	reliability	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	9	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	13	vested	vested	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	14	interests	interest	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	15	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	16	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	17	what	what	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	18	variables	variable	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	19	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	20	being	be	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	21	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	11	22	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	1	Also	also	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	3	psychological	psychological	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	4	factors	factor	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	5	play	play	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	6	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	7	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	8	role	role	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	9	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	10	how	how	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	11	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	12	perceive	perceive	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	13	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	14	react	react	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	15	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	16	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	17	danger	danger	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	18	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	20	disease	disease	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	22	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	23	fear	fear	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	24	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	25	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	26	may	may	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	27	affect	affect	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	28	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	29	personally	personally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	12	30	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	2	paper	paper	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	3	introduces	introduce	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	4	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	5	objective	objective	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	6	approach	approach	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	7	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	8	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	10	continuation	continuation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	11	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	13	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	14	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	15	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	16	simple	simple	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	17	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	18	but	but	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	19	powerful	powerful	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	20	method	method	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	21	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	22	do	do	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	23	so	so	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	13	24	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	1	Assuming	assume	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	2	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	4	data	data	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	5	used	use	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	7	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	9	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	11	future	future	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	12	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	13	continue	continue	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	14	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	15	follow	follow	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	16	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	17	past	past	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	18	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	19	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	20	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	21	disease	disease	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	22	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	23	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	24	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	25	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	26	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	27	continuing	continue	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	28	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	29	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	30	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	31	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	32	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	33	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	34	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	35	sizable	sizable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	36	associated	associated	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	37	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	14	38	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	2	risks	risk	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	3	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	4	far	far	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	5	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	6	symmetric	symmetric	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	7	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	8	underestimating	underestimate	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	9	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	11	like	like	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	12	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	13	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	15	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	16	doing	do	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	17	enough	enough	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	18	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	19	contain	contain	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	20	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	22	much	much	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	23	more	more	RBR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	24	severe	severe	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	25	than	than	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	26	overspending	overspend	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	27	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	28	being	be	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	29	over	over	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	30	careful	careful	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	31	when	when	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	32	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	33	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	34	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	35	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	36	needed	need	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	15	37	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	2	paper	paper	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	3	describes	describe	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	5	timeline	timeline	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	7	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	8	live	live	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	9	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	10	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	11	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	12	massive	massive	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	13	potential	potential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	14	implications	implication	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	15	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	16	planning	planning	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	17	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	18	decision	decision	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	19	making	making	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	20	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	21	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	22	objective	objective	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	23	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	24	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	25	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	26	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	28	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	29	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	16	30	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	2	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	3	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	4	traditional	traditional	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	5	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	6	largely	largely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	7	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	8	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	10	availability	availability	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	11	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	13	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	14	base	base	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	15	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	16	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	17	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	18	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	19	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	20	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	17	21	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	1	In	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	2	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	3	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	4	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	5	there	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	7	no	no	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	9	at	at	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	10	all	all	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	11	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	13	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	15	then	then	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	16	limited	limit	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	17	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	18	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	19	passes	pass	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	21	making	make	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	22	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	23	widely	widely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	24	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	18	25	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	1	On	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	2	February	February	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	3	18	18	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	4	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	6	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	7	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	8	New	New	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	9	York	York	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	10	Times	Times	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	11	article	article	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	13	1	1	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	15	cautioned	caution	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	16	against	against	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	17	excessive	excessive	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	18	optimism	optimism	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	19	about	about	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	20	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	21	crisis	crisis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	22	peaking	peak	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	23	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	24	even	even	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	25	though	though	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	26	there	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	27	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	28	close	close	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	29	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	30	50	50	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	31	days	day	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	32	since	since	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	33	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	34	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	35	had	have	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	36	been	be	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	37	identified	identify	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	19	38	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	1	Besides	besides	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	3	there	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	4	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	5	concerns	concern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	6	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	9	may	may	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	10	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	11	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	12	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	13	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	14	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	15	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	16	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	17	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	18	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	19	bird	bird	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	20	flu	flu	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	22	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	23	when	when	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	24	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	25	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	26	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	27	affected	affect	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	28	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	29	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	30	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	31	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	32	misreported	misreporte	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	33	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	34	hide	hide	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	35	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	36	extent	extent	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	37	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	38	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	39	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	20	40	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	3	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	5	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	8	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	10	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	11	did	do	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	12	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	13	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	15	correct	correct	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	16	numbers	number	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	17	as	as	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	18	well	well	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	19	when	when	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	20	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	21	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	22	February	February	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	23	13	13	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	24	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	25	new	new	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	26	category	category	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	27	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	28	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	29	clinically	clinically	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	30	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	31	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	32	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	33	added	add	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	34	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	35	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	36	lab	lab	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	37	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	38	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	39	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	40	ones	one	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	41	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	42	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	43	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	21	44	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	1	Such	such	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	2	problems	problem	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	3	decrease	decrease	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	4	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	5	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	6	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	7	increase	increase	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	8	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	9	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	10	making	make	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	12	drawing	drawing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	13	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	14	definite	definite	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	15	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	16	more	more	RBR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	17	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	22	18	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	1	Related	relate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	2	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	3	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	4	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	5	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	6	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	7	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	8	there	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	10	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	11	more	more	RBR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	12	severe	severe	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	13	problem	problem	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	14	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	15	has	have	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	16	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	17	do	do	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	18	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	19	perception	perception	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	20	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	21	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	22	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	23	pandemics	pandemic	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	23	24	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	1	Politicians	politician	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	2	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	3	concerned	concern	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	4	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	5	regards	regard	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	6	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	8	a1111111111	a1111111111	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	24	9	a1111111111	a1111111111	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	1	a1111111111	a1111111111	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	2	a1111111111	a1111111111	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	3	a1111111111	a1111111111	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	4	measures	measure	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	5	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	6	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	7	taken	take	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	8	while	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	10	general	general	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	11	population	population	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	12	fears	fear	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	13	about	about	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	15	impact	impact	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	16	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	17	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	19	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	20	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	21	health	health	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	22	/	/	SYM
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	23	lives	life	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	25	24	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	4	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	5	firms	firm	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	6	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	7	working	work	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	8	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	9	vaccinations	vaccination	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	10	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	12	new	new	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	13	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	14	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	15	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	16	commercial	commercial	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	17	interest	interest	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	26	18	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	2	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	4	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	5	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	6	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	7	when	when	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	8	governments	government	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	9	persuaded	persuade	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	10	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	12	severity	severity	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	13	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	15	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	16	bought	buy	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	17	large	large	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	18	numbers	number	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	19	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	20	vaccines	vaccine	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	21	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	22	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	23	never	never	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	24	used	use	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	25	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	26	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	27	spread	spread	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	28	stopped	stop	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	29	without	without	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	30	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	31	need	need	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	32	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	33	vaccinate	vaccinate	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	34	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	27	35	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	1	Of	of	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	2	course	course	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	3	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	5	big	big	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	6	problem	problem	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	9	asymmetry	asymmetry	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	10	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	11	risks	risk	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	12	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	13	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	14	irrational	irrational	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	15	fear	fear	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	16	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	17	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	19	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	20	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	21	possible	possible	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	22	catastrophic	catastrophic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	23	consequences	consequence	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	24	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	25	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	26	happened	happen	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	27	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	28	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	29	1918	1918	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	30	Spanish	spanish	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	31	flu	flu	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	32	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	33	killed	kill	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	34	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	35	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	36	50	50	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	37	million	million	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	38	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	28	39	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	1	In	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	3	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	5	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	6	killed	kill	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	7	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	8	total	total	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	9	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	10	774	774	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	11	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	12	2003	2003	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	13	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	15	bird	bird	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	16	flu	flu	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	17	around	around	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	18	100	100	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	19	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	20	1997	1997	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	29	21	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	3	resulted	result	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	4	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	5	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	7	5.8	5.8	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	8	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	10	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	11	now	now	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	13	15/03/2020	15/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	30	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	1	At	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	3	same	same	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	4	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	5	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	6	there	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	8	much	much	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	9	less	less	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	10	concern	concern	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	11	over	over	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	13	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	14	flu	flu	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	15	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	16	kills	kill	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	17	about	about	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	18	646,000	646,000	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	19	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	20	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	21	each	each	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	22	year	year	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	24	3	3	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	31	26	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	1	Medical	medical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	2	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	3	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	4	often	often	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	5	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	6	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	7	while	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	8	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	9	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	11	seriously	seriously	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	12	underestimated	underestimate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	14	4	4	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	32	16	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	1	Predicting	predict	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	3	future	future	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	4	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	5	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	6	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	7	pandemics	pandemic	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	9	much	much	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	10	more	more	RBR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	11	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	12	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	13	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	14	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	15	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	17	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	18	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	19	studied	study	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	20	can	can	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	21	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	22	measured	measure	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	23	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	24	one	one	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	25	hand	hand	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	33	26	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	1	At	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	2	one	one	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	3	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	4	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	6	scale	scale	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	9	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	10	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	11	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	12	where	where	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	13	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	14	fear	fear	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	15	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	16	becoming	become	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	17	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	19	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	20	overblown	overblown	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	21	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	22	resulting	result	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	23	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	24	overspending	overspending	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	25	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	26	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	27	application	application	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	28	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	29	restrictive	restrictive	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	30	measures	measure	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	31	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	32	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	33	contained	contain	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	34	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	35	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	36	turned	turn	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	37	out	out	RP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	38	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	39	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	40	unnecessary	unnecessary	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	34	41	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	1	At	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	3	other	other	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	4	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	7	Spanish	spanish	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	8	flu	flu	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	9	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	10	turned	turn	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	11	out	out	RP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	12	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	13	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	14	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	15	serious	serious	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	16	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	17	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	18	catastrophic	catastrophic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	19	consequences	consequence	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	21	arguably	arguably	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	22	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	23	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	24	different	different	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	25	era	era	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	26	when	when	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	27	communication	communication	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	28	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	29	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	30	ability	ability	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	31	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	32	raise	raise	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	33	public	public	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	34	awareness	awareness	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	36	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	37	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	38	exaggerated	exaggerated	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	39	fear	fear	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	41	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	42	limited	limit	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	35	43	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	1	Despite	despite	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	3	inaccuracies	inaccuracy	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	4	associated	associate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	5	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	6	medical	medical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	7	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	8	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	9	still	still	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	10	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	12	invaluable	invaluable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	13	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	14	allowing	allow	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	15	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	16	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	17	better	better	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	18	understand	understand	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	20	current	current	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	21	situation	situation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	22	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	23	plan	plan	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	24	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	25	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	26	future	future	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	36	27	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	1	In	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	2	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	4	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	6	provide	provide	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	7	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	8	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	9	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	11	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	13	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	14	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	15	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	16	robust	robust	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	17	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	18	series	series	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	19	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	22	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	23	analyse	analyse	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	24	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	25	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	26	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	27	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	37	29	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	2	focus	focus	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	3	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	5	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	6	daily	daily	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	7	figures	figure	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	8	aggregated	aggregate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	9	globally	globally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	10	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	12	three	three	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	13	main	main	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	14	variables	variable	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	15	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	16	interest	interest	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	17	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	18	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	22	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	23	recoveries	recovery	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	38	24	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	1	These	these	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	2	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	3	retrieved	retrieve	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	4	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	6	Center	Center	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	7	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	8	Systems	Systems	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	9	Science	Science	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	10	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	11	Engineering	Engineering	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	13	CSSE	CSSE	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	15	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	16	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	17	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	18	University	University	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	39	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	1	https://github.com/	https://github.com/	NFP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	2	CSSEGISandData	CSSEGISandData	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	3	/	/	SYM
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	4	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	5	accessed	access	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	6	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	7	12/03/2020	12/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	9	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	10	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	11	presented	present	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	12	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	13	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	14	1	1	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	40	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	3	refer	refer	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	4	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	5	daily	daily	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	6	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	9	cover	cover	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	11	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	12	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	13	January	January	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	14	22	22	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	15	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	16	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	17	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	18	March	March	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	19	11	11	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	41	22	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	2	include	include	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	3	both	both	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	4	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	5	lab	lab	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	7	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	8	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	9	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	10	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	11	clinically	clinically	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	12	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	13	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	42	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	2	emphasise	emphasise	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	4	importance	importance	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	5	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	7	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	9	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	10	which	which	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	12	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	13	covered	cover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	14	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	15	media	medium	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	16	as	as	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	17	widely	widely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	18	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	20	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	22	or	or	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	23	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	24	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	43	25	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	1	While	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	2	all	all	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	3	three	three	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	5	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	6	show	show	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	7	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	8	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	9	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	12	trends	trend	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	13	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	14	both	both	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	16	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	18	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	20	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	21	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	22	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	23	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	24	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	25	mid	mid	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	26	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	27	February	February	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	28	;	;	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	29	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	30	second	second	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	31	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	32	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	34	observed	observe	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	35	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	36	late	late	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	37	February	February	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	38	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	39	March	March	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	40	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	41	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	42	result	result	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	43	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	44	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	45	increased	increase	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	46	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	47	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	48	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	49	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	50	South	South	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	51	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	52	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	53	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	54	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	55	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	56	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	44	57	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	1	At	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	3	same	same	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	4	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	5	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	7	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	9	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	12	steadily	steadily	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	13	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	45	14	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	1	To	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	2	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	3	confirmed	confirmed	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	5	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	7	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	9	adopt	adopt	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	10	simple	simple	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	11	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	12	series	series	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	13	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	14	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	46	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	2	produce	produce	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	3	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	4	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	5	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	6	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	8	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	9	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	10	family	family	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	12	5	5	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	13	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	14	6	6	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	47	16	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	2	family	family	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	5	good	good	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	6	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	7	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	8	over	over	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	9	several	several	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	10	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	11	competitions	competition	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	13	7	7	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	16	8	8	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	19	9	9	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	23	especially	especially	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	24	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	25	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	26	short	short	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	27	series	series	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	48	28	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	1	Exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	2	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	3	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	4	can	can	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	5	capture	capture	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	6	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	7	variety	variety	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	9	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	10	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	11	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	12	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	13	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	15	such	such	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	16	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	17	additive	additive	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	18	or	or	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	19	multiplicative	multiplicative	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	22	combinations	combination	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	23	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	24	those	those	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	49	25	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	2	limit	limit	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	4	attention	attention	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	5	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	6	trended	trended	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	7	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	8	non	non	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	9	-	-	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	10	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	11	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	13	given	give	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	15	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	16	observed	observe	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	17	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	18	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	19	1	1	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	50	20	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	1	Note	note	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	2	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	4	follow	follow	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	5	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	6	pragmatic	pragmatic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	7	approach	approach	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	8	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	9	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	11	assume	assume	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	12	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	13	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	14	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	15	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	16	continue	continue	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	17	indefinitely	indefinitely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	18	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	20	future	future	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	51	21	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	2	approach	approach	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	3	contradicts	contradict	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	4	other	other	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	5	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	6	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	7	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	8	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	9	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	10	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	11	S	S	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	13	Curve	Curve	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	14	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	16	logistics	logistics	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	17	curve	curve	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	19	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	20	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	21	convergence	convergence	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	52	22	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	1	While	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	2	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	3	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	4	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	5	model	model	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	6	selection	selection	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	8	such	such	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	9	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	10	information	information	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	11	criteria	criterion	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	13	which	which	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	14	measure	measure	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	16	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	17	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	18	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	19	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	20	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	21	while	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	22	penalising	penalise	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	23	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	24	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	25	complexity	complexity	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	27	could	could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	28	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	29	used	use	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	30	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	31	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	32	judgmentally	judgmentally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	33	select	select	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	34	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	35	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	36	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	37	10	10	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	53	38	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	1	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	2	better	better	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	3	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	5	nature	nature	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	54	9	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	2	opt	opt	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	3	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	4	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	5	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	6	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	7	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	8	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	9	multiplicative	multiplicative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	10	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	11	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	12	multiplicative	multiplicative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	13	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	14	components	component	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	55	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	1	Even	even	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	2	if	if	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	3	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	4	some	some	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	6	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	7	additive	additive	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	8	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	9	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	10	gave	give	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	11	lower	low	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	12	information	information	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	13	criteria	criterion	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	14	values	value	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	15	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	17	opted	opt	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	18	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	20	multiplicative	multiplicative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	21	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	22	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	23	given	give	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	24	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	25	asymmetric	asymmetric	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	26	risks	risk	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	27	involved	involve	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	28	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	29	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	30	believe	believe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	31	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	32	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	34	better	well	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	35	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	36	err	err	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	37	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	38	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	39	positive	positive	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	40	direction	direction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	56	41	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	2	produce	produce	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	3	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	5	days	day	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	7	ahead	ahead	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	8	point	point	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	9	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	10	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	11	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	12	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	13	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	14	update	update	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	16	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	17	every	every	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	18	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	19	days	day	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	57	20	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	1	Please	please	UH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	2	note	note	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	3	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	4	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	6	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	7	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	8	ex	ex	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	9	-	-	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	10	post	post	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	13	but	but	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	14	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	15	real	real	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	16	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	17	live	live	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	18	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	19	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	58	20	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	2	have	have	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	3	been	be	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	4	posting	post	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	5	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	6	evaluating	evaluate	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	7	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	8	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	9	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	10	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	11	social	social	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	59	12	media	medium	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	2	please	please	UH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	3	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	4	refer	refer	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	5	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	7	Twitter	Twitter	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	8	accounts	account	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	9	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	11	authors	author	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	13	@fotpetr	@fotpetr	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	15	@spyrosmakrid	@spyrosmakrid	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	60	17	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	2	first	first	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	3	started	start	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	4	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	6	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	7	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	8	January	January	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	9	31	31	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	12	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	13	only	only	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	14	had	have	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	15	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	16	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	17	data	data	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	18	points	point	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	19	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	20	hand	hand	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	61	21	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	2	decided	decide	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	3	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	4	use	use	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	5	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	6	multiplicative	multiplicative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	7	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	8	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	9	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	10	model	model	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	62	11	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	2	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	4	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	5	90	90	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	6	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	7	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	8	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	10	produced	produce	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	11	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	13	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	14	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	15	31/01/2020	31/01/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	16	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	17	presented	present	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	18	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	19	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	20	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	21	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	22	red	red	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	24	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	25	pink	pink	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	27	colour	colour	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	63	28	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	1	Note	note	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	2	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	4	vertical	vertical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	5	axis	axis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	7	log	log	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	9	scaled	scale	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	64	10	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	3	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	5	point	point	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	6	forecast	forecast	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	8	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	10	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	12	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	14	days	day	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	16	ahead	ahead	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	17	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	18	209	209	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	19	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	20	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	21	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	22	90	90	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	23	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	24	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	25	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	26	ranging	range	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	27	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	28	about	about	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	29	38	38	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	30	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	31	534	534	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	32	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	33	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	65	34	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	2	actual	actual	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	3	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	5	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	6	10/02/2020	10/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	7	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	8	just	just	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	9	under	under	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	10	43	43	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	11	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	66	12	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	2	observe	observe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	3	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	4	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	5	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	6	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	7	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	9	mean	mean	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	10	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	11	equal	equal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	12	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	13	166	166	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	14	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	17	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	18	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	19	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	20	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	21	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	22	388	388	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	23	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	25	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	26	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	27	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	28	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	29	being	be	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	30	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	31	positively	positively	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	32	biased	biased	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	67	33	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	1	Still	still	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	4	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	6	lie	lie	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	7	within	within	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	9	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	10	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	68	11	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	1	Then	then	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	4	increased	increase	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	6	historical	historical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	7	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	9	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	11	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	12	include	include	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	14	up	up	RP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	15	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	16	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	17	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	18	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	19	February	February	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	20	10	10	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	21	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	24	20	20	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	25	data	data	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	26	points	point	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	69	28	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	2	once	once	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	3	again	again	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	4	produced	produce	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	5	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	7	days	day	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	9	ahead	ahead	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	10	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	70	11	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	2	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	3	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	4	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	5	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	6	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	7	depicted	depict	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	8	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	9	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	10	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	11	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	12	blue	blue	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	13	colour	colour	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	71	14	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	2	observe	observe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	3	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	5	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	6	values	value	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	7	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	9	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	10	11/02/2020	11/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	11	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	12	20/02/2020	20/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	13	closely	closely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	14	follow	follow	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	16	mean	mean	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	17	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	72	18	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	2	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	3	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	4	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	5	20/02/2020	20/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	6	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	7	5.8	5.8	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	8	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	11	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	12	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	13	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	14	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	15	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	16	7.7	7.7	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	17	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	73	19	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	2	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	3	despite	despite	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	5	change	change	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	6	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	7	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	8	made	make	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	9	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	10	13/02/2020	13/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	11	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	12	regards	regard	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	13	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	14	how	how	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	15	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	17	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	18	recorded	record	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	19	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	20	now	now	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	21	include	include	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	22	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	23	clinically	clinically	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	24	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	25	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	26	instances	instance	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	27	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	28	opposed	oppose	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	29	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	30	exclusively	exclusively	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	31	lab	lab	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	32	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	33	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	74	34	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	1	One	one	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	2	crucial	crucial	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	3	observation	observation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	5	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	6	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	7	more	more	RBR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	8	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	9	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	10	came	come	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	11	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	12	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	13	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	14	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	15	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	16	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	17	steepness	steepness	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	18	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	20	slope	slope	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	21	compared	compare	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	22	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	23	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	24	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	25	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	26	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	27	previous	previous	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	28	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	30	days	day	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	31	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	75	32	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	1	Another	another	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	2	observation	observation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	4	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	5	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	7	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	9	20/02/2020	20/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	12	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	13	still	still	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	14	over	over	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	16	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	17	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	18	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	19	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	20	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	76	22	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	3	all	all	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	4	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	5	values	value	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	6	lied	lie	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	7	well	well	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	8	inside	inside	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	10	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	11	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	12	range	range	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	77	13	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	2	produced	produce	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	3	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	4	third	third	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	5	set	set	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	7	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	9	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	10	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	11	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	14	up	up	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	15	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	16	20/02/	20/02/	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	17	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	78	18	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	2	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	3	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	4	presented	present	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	5	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	6	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	7	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	8	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	9	green	green	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	10	colour	colour	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	79	11	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	3	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	4	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	5	ten	ten	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	7	daysahead	daysahead	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	9	01/03/2020	01/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	11	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	12	83	83	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	13	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	80	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	2	slope	slope	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	3	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	5	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	6	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	7	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	8	once	once	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	9	again	again	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	11	lower	lower	RBR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	12	compared	compare	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	13	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	15	previous	previous	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	16	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	17	sets	set	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	18	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	19	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	21	confirming	confirm	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	22	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	23	fact	fact	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	24	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	25	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	26	observed	observe	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	27	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	30	up	up	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	31	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	32	20/02/2020	20/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	34	show	show	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	35	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	36	steady	steady	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	37	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	81	38	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	2	also	also	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	3	observed	observe	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	4	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	5	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	6	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	7	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	9	associated	associate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	10	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	11	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	13	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	15	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	16	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	17	being	be	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	18	much	much	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	19	tighter	tight	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	20	compared	compare	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	21	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	22	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	23	past	past	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	24	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	82	25	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	2	90	90	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	3	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	4	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	5	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	6	worst	bad	JJS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	8	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	9	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	10	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	11	about	about	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	12	600	600	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	13	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	15	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	16	which	which	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	18	halved	halve	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	19	compared	compare	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	20	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	21	that	that	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	22	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	23	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	24	last	last	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	25	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	26	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	27	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	29	1.2	1.2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	30	million	million	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	83	33	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	2	actual	actual	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	3	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	5	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	7	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	9	01/03/2020	01/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	10	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	11	88	88	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	12	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	84	13	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	1	At	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	3	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	4	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	5	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	6	third	third	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	7	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	9	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	12	recorded	record	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	13	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	14	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	15	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	16	5.5	5.5	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	17	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	20	6.2	6.2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	21	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	85	23	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	1	While	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	2	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	3	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	4	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	5	lower	low	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	6	than	than	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	8	previous	previous	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	9	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	11	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	12	both	both	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	13	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	15	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	16	terms	term	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	18	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	19	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	20	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	21	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	22	first	first	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	23	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	24	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	25	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	26	10-days	10-days	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	27	ahead	ahead	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	28	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	29	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	30	below	below	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	31	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	32	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	33	values	value	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	35	under	under	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	36	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	37	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	86	39	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	2	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	3	because	because	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	5	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	6	had	have	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	7	been	be	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	8	spreading	spread	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	9	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	10	three	three	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	12	outside	outside	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	13	Mainland	Mainland	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	87	14	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	2	South	South	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	3	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	4	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	5	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	6	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	7	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	8	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	88	10	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	2	fourth	fourth	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	3	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	4	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	5	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	7	shown	show	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	8	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	9	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	10	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	11	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	12	purple	purple	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	13	colour	colour	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	89	14	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	3	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	4	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	5	11/	11/	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	6	03/2020	03/2020	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	7	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	8	112	112	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	9	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	10	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	13	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	15	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	16	levels	level	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	17	being	be	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	18	similar	similar	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	19	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	20	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	21	previous	previous	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	22	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	90	23	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	1	There	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	2	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	3	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	4	5	5	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	5	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	6	chance	chance	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	7	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	8	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	9	would	would	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	10	exceed	exceed	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	11	613	613	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	12	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	13	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	15	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	16	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	17	11/	11/	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	18	03/2020	03/2020	NFP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	91	19	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	2	observed	observed	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	3	actual	actual	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	4	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	6	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	8	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	9	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	10	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	11	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	12	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	13	almost	almost	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	14	127	127	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	15	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	92	16	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	2	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	3	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	4	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	5	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	7	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	10	last	last	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	11	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	13	11/03/2020	11/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	15	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	16	15.4	15.4	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	17	K	k	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	19	12.1	12.1	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	20	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	22	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	23	higher	high	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	24	compared	compare	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	25	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	26	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	27	previous	previous	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	28	set	set	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	29	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	30	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	31	but	but	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	32	still	still	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	33	well	well	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	34	within	within	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	35	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	36	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	37	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	93	38	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	1	For	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	3	second	second	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	4	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	5	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	6	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	7	row	row	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	8	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	10	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	11	consistently	consistently	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	12	under	under	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	14	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	16	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	94	18	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	2	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	3	due	due	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	4	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	6	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	7	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	10	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	12	mostly	mostly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	13	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	14	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	15	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	16	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	17	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	18	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	19	US	US	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	20	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	21	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	22	South	South	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	23	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	24	managing	manage	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	25	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	26	decrease	decrease	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	27	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	28	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	29	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	30	new	new	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	31	daily	daily	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	33	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	95	34	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	2	produced	produce	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	3	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	4	final	final	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	5	set	set	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	7	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	9	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	10	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	11	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	13	most	most	RBS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	14	recent	recent	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	16	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	17	up	up	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	18	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	19	11/03/2020	11/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	96	20	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	1	These	these	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	2	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	3	presented	present	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	4	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	5	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	6	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	7	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	8	yellow	yellow	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	9	/	/	SYM
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	10	gold	gold	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	11	colour	colour	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	97	12	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	1	Note	note	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	2	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	4	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	5	three	three	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	6	levels	level	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	7	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	8	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	10	50	50	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	11	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	12	70	70	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	13	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	14	90	90	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	15	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	98	17	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	2	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	3	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	5	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	7	much	much	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	8	increased	increase	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	9	compared	compare	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	10	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	12	last	last	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	13	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	14	rounds	round	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	15	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	16	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	17	predict	predict	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	18	83	83	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	19	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	20	new	new	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	22	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	23	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	24	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	26	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	27	total	total	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	28	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	29	210	210	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	30	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	99	33	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	2	associated	associated	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	3	levels	level	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	4	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	6	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	7	also	also	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	8	increased	increase	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	9	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	10	There	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	12	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	13	25	25	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	14	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	15	chance	chance	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	16	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	17	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	18	total	total	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	19	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	21	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	22	exceed	exceed	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	23	413	413	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	24	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	25	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	26	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	27	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	28	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	29	21/03/2020	21/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	30	;	;	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	31	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	32	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	33	5	5	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	34	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	35	chance	chance	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	36	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	37	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	38	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	39	exceed	exceed	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	100	40	1.19M.	1.19m.	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	2	also	also	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	3	attempted	attempt	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	4	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	5	produce	produce	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	6	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	7	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	8	splitting	split	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	10	recorded	record	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	11	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	13	into	into	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	14	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	15	groups	group	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	16	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	18	within	within	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	19	Mainland	Mainland	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	20	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	21	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	23	anywhere	anywhere	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	24	else	else	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	25	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	26	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	27	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	28	trends	trend	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	29	into	into	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	30	these	these	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	31	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	32	groups	group	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	33	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	34	different	different	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	101	35	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	2	fitted	fit	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	3	independent	independent	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	4	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	5	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	6	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	7	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	9	then	then	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	11	summed	sum	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	12	up	up	RP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	13	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	14	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	16	bottom	bottom	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	18	up	up	RP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	19	hierarchical	hierarchical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	20	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	102	22	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	2	notice	notice	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	3	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	4	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	5	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	6	approach	approach	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	7	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	9	mean	mean	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	10	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	12	close	close	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	13	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	14	that	that	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	15	if	if	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	16	all	all	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	18	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	19	considered	consider	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	20	together	together	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	22	207	207	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	23	versus	versus	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	24	210	210	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	25	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	103	28	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	1	However	however	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	6	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	7	splitting	split	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	9	data	data	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	11	considerably	considerably	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	12	lower	low	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	13	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	14	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	15	since	since	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	16	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	17	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	19	outside	outside	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	20	Mainland	Mainland	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	21	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	22	have	have	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	23	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	24	increased	increase	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	25	only	only	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	26	recently	recently	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	104	27	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	2	next	next	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	3	turn	turn	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	5	attention	attention	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	6	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	8	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	10	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	11	have	have	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	12	received	receive	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	13	little	little	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	14	attention	attention	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	15	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	16	now	now	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	105	17	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	2	focus	focus	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	3	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	5	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	8	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	10	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	11	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	12	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	13	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	14	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	15	total	total	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	16	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	18	as	as	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	19	well	well	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	20	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	21	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	22	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	23	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	24	recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	26	versus	versus	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	106	28	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	2	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	3	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	4	interested	interested	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	5	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	7	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	9	these	these	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	10	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	11	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	107	12	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	108	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	108	2	3	3	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	108	3	presents	present	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	108	4	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	108	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	108	6	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	1	First	first	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	4	observe	observe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	6	solid	solid	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	7	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	8	between	between	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	10	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	11	curves	curve	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	109	12	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	1	Second	second	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	4	notice	notice	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	5	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	6	despite	despite	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	8	very	very	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	9	small	small	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	10	percentages	percentage	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	11	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	12	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	14	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	16	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	17	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	18	January	January	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	20	less	less	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	21	than	than	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	22	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	23	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	25	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	26	currently	currently	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	27	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	28	about	about	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	29	1	1	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	30	out	out	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	31	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	32	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	33	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	35	have	have	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	36	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	38	52.8	52.8	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	39	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	40	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	41	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	42	total	total	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	43	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	44	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	110	46	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	4	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	5	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	6	recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	8	versus	versus	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	11	currently	currently	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	12	above	above	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	13	14:1	14:1	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	111	14	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	1	Despite	despite	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	2	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	3	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	5	observe	observe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	6	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	7	reverse	reverse	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	9	both	both	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	10	curves	curve	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	11	since	since	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	12	08/03/	08/03/	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	14	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	15	which	which	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	17	associated	associate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	18	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	20	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	21	number	number	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	22	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	24	outside	outside	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	25	Mainland	Mainland	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	26	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	112	27	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	2	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	3	surrounding	surround	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	4	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	5	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	6	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	7	novel	novel	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	8	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	9	can	can	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	10	spark	spark	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	11	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	12	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	13	alarm	alarm	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	14	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	15	leading	lead	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	16	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	17	Harvard	Harvard	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	18	Professor	Professor	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	19	stating	state	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	20	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	21	40	40	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	22	-	-	SYM
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	23	70	70	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	24	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	25	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	26	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	27	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	28	population	population	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	29	might	may	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	30	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	31	infected	infect	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	32	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	33	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	34	coming	come	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	35	year	year	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	36	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	37	11	11	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	38	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	39	which	which	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	40	matches	match	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	41	Chancellor	Chancellor	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	42	Angela	Angela	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	43	Merkel	Merkel	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	44	's	's	POS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	45	warning	warning	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	46	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	47	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	48	effects	effect	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	49	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	50	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	51	novel	novel	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	52	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	53	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	54	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	55	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	56	12	12	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	57	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	113	58	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	1	Norman	Norman	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	3	Bar	Bar	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	5	Yam	Yam	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	6	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	7	Taleb	Taleb	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	8	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	9	13	13	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	11	discuss	discuss	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	13	systemic	systemic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	14	risk	risk	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	15	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	16	pandemics	pandemic	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	17	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	18	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	19	existence	existence	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	20	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	21	fat	fat	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	23	tailed	tailed	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	24	processes	process	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	25	due	due	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	26	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	27	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	28	interconnectivity	interconnectivity	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	29	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	30	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	31	negatively	negatively	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	32	biased	bias	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	33	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	34	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	35	spread	spread	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	36	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	37	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	38	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	39	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	40	rates	rate	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	114	41	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	1	On	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	2	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	3	opposite	opposite	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	4	side	side	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	5	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	6	others	other	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	7	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	8	arguing	argue	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	9	about	about	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	10	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	11	overly	overly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	12	panicking	panic	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	14	14	14	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	16	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	17	neglecting	neglect	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	18	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	19	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	21	15	15	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	22	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	23	16	16	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	24	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	25	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	26	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	27	new	new	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	28	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	29	being	be	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	30	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	31	first	first	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	32	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	33	infodemic	infodemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	34	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	35	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	36	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	37	result	result	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	38	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	39	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	40	hyper	hyper	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	41	-	-	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	42	connectivity	connectivity	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	43	offered	offer	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	44	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	45	today	today	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	46	's	's	POS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	47	social	social	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	48	media	medium	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	49	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	50	17	17	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	51	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	52	18	18	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	53	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	115	54	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	2	polarisation	polarisation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	3	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	5	opinions	opinion	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	6	globally	globally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	7	can	can	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	8	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	9	summarised	summarise	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	10	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	12	quotes	quote	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	13	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	14	three	three	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	15	renowned	renowned	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	16	personalities	personality	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	116	17	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	117	1	•	•	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	118	1	Elon	Elon	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	118	2	Musk	Musk	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	118	3	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	118	4	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	2	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	3	panic	panic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	5	dumb	dumb	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	6	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	7	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	8	19	19	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	9	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	119	10	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	120	1	•	•	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	121	1	Nassim	Nassim	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	121	2	Nicholas	Nicholas	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	121	3	Taleb	Taleb	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	121	4	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	1	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	2	Saying	say	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	4	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	5	panic	panic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	7	dumb	dumb	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	9	dumb	dumb	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	10	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	12	20	20	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	122	14	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	123	1	•	•	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	124	1	Bill	Bill	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	124	2	Gates	Gates	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	1	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	2	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	3	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	4	hope	hope	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	5	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	6	's	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	7	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	8	that	that	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	9	bad	bad	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	10	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	11	but	but	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	13	should	should	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	14	assume	assume	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	16	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	17	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	18	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	20	know	know	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	21	otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	22	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	125	23	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	126	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	126	2	21	21	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	126	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	126	4	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	1	Regardless	regardless	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	2	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	3	what	what	WP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	4	one	one	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	5	's	's	POS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	6	beliefs	belief	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	7	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	8	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	10	believe	believe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	11	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	12	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	13	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	14	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	15	associated	associated	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	16	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	17	can	can	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	18	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	19	should	should	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	20	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	21	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	22	integral	integral	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	23	part	part	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	24	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	25	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	26	decision	decision	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	28	making	making	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	29	process	process	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	30	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	31	especially	especially	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	32	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	33	highrisk	highrisk	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	127	35	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	1	Apart	apart	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	2	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	4	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	5	public	public	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	6	health	health	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	7	concerns	concern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	8	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	10	dangers	danger	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	11	imposed	impose	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	12	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	13	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	14	supply	supply	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	15	chains	chain	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	16	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	17	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	18	economy	economy	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	19	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	20	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	21	whole	whole	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	22	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	23	also	also	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	24	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	26	22	22	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	27	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	28	23	23	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	29	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	128	30	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	1	Risk	risk	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	3	averse	averse	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	4	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	5	can	can	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	6	focus	focus	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	7	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	8	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	9	worst	bad	JJS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	11	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	13	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	15	act	act	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	16	accordingly	accordingly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	129	17	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	1	Deciding	decide	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	2	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	3	discard	discard	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	4	any	any	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	5	formal	formal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	6	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	7	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	8	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	9	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	10	acting	act	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	11	conservatively	conservatively	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	12	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	13	still	still	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	14	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	15	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	16	underlying	underlie	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	17	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	18	process	process	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	19	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	20	even	even	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	21	if	if	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	22	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	23	process	process	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	25	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	26	formalised	formalise	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	28	personal	personal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	29	judgment	judgment	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	30	/	/	SYM
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	31	belief	belief	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	130	33	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	1	In	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	2	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	3	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	4	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	6	used	use	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	7	univariate	univariate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	8	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	9	series	series	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	10	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	11	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	12	which	which	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	13	assume	assume	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	14	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	15	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	16	data	data	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	18	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	19	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	20	past	past	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	21	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	23	including	include	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	24	precautionary	precautionary	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	25	measures	measure	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	27	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	28	continue	continue	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	29	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	30	apply	apply	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	131	31	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	1	Significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	3	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	4	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	5	errors	error	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	7	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	8	spanning	span	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	9	outside	outside	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	11	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	12	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	14	should	should	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	15	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	16	associated	associate	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	17	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	18	changes	change	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	19	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	20	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	21	observed	observed	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	22	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	23	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	24	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	25	need	need	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	26	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	27	additional	additional	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	28	actions	action	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	29	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	30	measures	measure	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	31	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	32	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	33	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	34	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	35	negatively	negatively	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	36	biased	bias	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	37	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	132	38	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	2	believe	believe	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	3	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	5	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	6	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	7	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	8	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	10	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	11	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	12	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	13	first	first	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	14	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	15	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	17	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	18	01/	01/	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	19	02/2020	02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	20	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	21	10/20/2020	10/20/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	23	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	24	depicted	depict	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	25	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	26	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	27	2	2	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	28	could	could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	29	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	30	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	31	result	result	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	32	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	33	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	34	factors	factor	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	35	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	36	•	•	XX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	37	While	while	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	38	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	39	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	40	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	41	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	42	produced	produce	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	43	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	44	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	45	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	46	up	up	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	47	until	until	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	48	31/01/2020	31/01/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	49	would	would	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	50	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	51	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	52	good	good	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	53	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	54	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	55	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	56	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	57	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	58	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	59	business	business	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	60	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	61	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	62	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	63	usual	usual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	64	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	65	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	66	nothing	nothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	67	changes	change	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	68	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	69	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	70	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	71	disregard	disregard	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	72	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	73	fact	fact	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	74	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	75	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	76	world	world	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	77	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	78	act	act	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	79	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	80	get	get	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	81	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	82	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	83	under	under	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	84	control	control	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	133	85	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	2	Chinese	chinese	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	3	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	4	managed	manage	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	5	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	6	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	7	construct	construct	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	8	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	9	new	new	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	10	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	11	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	12	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	13	Huoshenshan	Huoshenshan	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	15	Leishenshan	Leishenshan	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	16	areas	area	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	17	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	18	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	19	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	20	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	21	opened	open	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	22	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	23	03/02/2020	03/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	24	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	25	08/02/2020	08/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	26	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	134	27	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	1	Multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	2	commuting	commuting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	3	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	4	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	5	applied	apply	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	6	both	both	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	7	within	within	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	8	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	9	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	10	internationally	internationally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	135	11	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	2	World	World	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	3	Health	Health	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	4	Organisation	Organisation	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	5	helped	help	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	6	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	7	creating	create	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	8	awareness	awareness	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	9	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	11	novel	novel	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	12	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	136	13	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	1	So	so	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	3	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	4	decline	decline	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	5	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	8	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	10	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	11	during	during	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	12	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	13	first	first	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	14	round	round	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	15	could	could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	16	well	well	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	17	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	18	linked	link	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	19	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	20	these	these	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	21	attempts	attempt	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	22	from	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	23	local	local	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	24	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	25	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	26	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	137	27	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	138	1	•	•	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	1	There	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	2	may	may	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	3	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	4	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	5	"	"	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	6	garbage	garbage	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	8	in	in	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	9	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	10	garbage	garbage	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	12	out	out	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	13	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	14	situation	situation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	139	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	1	As	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	2	mentioned	mention	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	3	above	above	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	4	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	7	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	8	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	9	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	10	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	13	are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	14	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	140	15	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	2	could	could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	3	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	5	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	6	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	7	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	8	positive	positive	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	9	bias	bias	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	10	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	11	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	12	first	first	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	14	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	15	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	17	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	18	as	as	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	19	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	20	as	as	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	21	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	22	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	23	dues	due	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	24	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	25	potential	potential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	26	inaccuracies	inaccuracy	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	27	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	28	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	29	actual	actual	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	30	data	datum	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	31	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	32	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	33	under	under	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	35	accounting	accounting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	36	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	37	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	141	39	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	1	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	3	especially	especially	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	4	true	true	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	5	given	give	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	7	delay	delay	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	8	effects	effect	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	9	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	10	diagnosing	diagnose	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	11	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	14	24	24	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	142	16	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	2	second	second	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	3	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	4	third	third	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	5	sets	set	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	6	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	7	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	8	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	9	cover	cover	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	10	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	11	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	12	11/02/2020	11/02/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	13	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	14	01/03/2020	01/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	15	were	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	16	very	very	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	17	close	close	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	18	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	20	recorded	record	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	21	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	24	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	25	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	26	error	error	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	27	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	28	lower	low	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	29	than	than	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	30	6	6	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	31	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	33	at	at	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	34	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	35	end	end	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	36	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	37	each	each	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	38	10-day	10-day	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	39	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	143	41	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	2	slowing	slow	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	3	down	down	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	4	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	6	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	7	during	during	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	8	this	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	9	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	10	suggested	suggest	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	11	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	12	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	13	would	would	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	14	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	15	cause	cause	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	16	any	any	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	17	serious	serious	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	18	problems	problem	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	19	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	20	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	21	outside	outside	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	22	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	23	Mainland	Mainland	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	24	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	144	25	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	1	Unfortunately	unfortunately	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	2	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	3	that	that	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	4	was	be	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	5	not	not	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	6	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	7	case	case	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	145	8	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	2	last	last	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	3	two	two	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	4	sets	set	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	5	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	6	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	7	that	that	WDT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	8	cover	cover	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	9	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	10	period	period	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	11	02/03/2020	02/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	12	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	13	21/03/2020	21/03/2020	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	14	show	show	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	15	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	16	significant	significant	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	17	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	18	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	19	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	20	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	21	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	23	globally	globally	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	24	coupled	couple	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	25	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	26	an	an	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	27	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	28	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	29	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	30	associated	associated	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	31	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	146	32	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	2	hope	hope	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	3	that	that	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	5	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	6	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	7	be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	8	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	9	useful	useful	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	10	tool	tool	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	11	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	12	governments	government	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	13	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	14	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	15	towards	towards	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	16	making	make	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	17	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	18	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	19	taking	take	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	20	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	21	appropriate	appropriate	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	22	actions	action	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	23	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	24	contain	contain	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	25	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	26	spreading	spreading	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	27	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	28	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	29	virus	virus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	30	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	31	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	32	degree	degree	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	33	possible	possible	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	147	34	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	148	1	Conceptualization	conceptualization	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	148	2	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	149	1	Fotios	Fotios	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	149	2	Petropoulos	Petropoulos	NNPS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	149	3	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	149	4	Spyros	Spyros	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	149	5	Makridakis	Makridakis	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	149	6	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	150	1	Formal	formal	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	150	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	150	3	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	151	1	Fotios	Fotios	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	151	2	Petropoulos	Petropoulos	NNPS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	151	3	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	151	4	 	 	_SP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	1	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	3	keeps	keep	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	4	growing	grow	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	5	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	6	but	but	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	7	spread	spread	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	8	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	9	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	10	slows	slow	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	11	Sharp	sharp	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	12	increase	increase	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	13	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	14	deaths	death	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	15	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	17	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	18	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	19	Flu	Flu	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	20	kills	kill	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	21	646,000	646,000	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	22	people	people	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	23	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	24	each	each	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	25	year	year	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	26	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	27	Study	study	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	28	finds	find	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	29	Predicting	predict	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	30	medical	medical	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	31	risks	risk	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	32	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	33	appreciating	appreciate	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	34	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	35	A	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	36	state	state	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	37	space	space	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	38	framework	framework	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	39	for	for	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	40	automatic	automatic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	41	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	42	using	use	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	43	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	44	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	45	methods	method	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	46	Exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	47	smoothing	smooth	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	48	with	with	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	49	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	50	damped	damped	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	51	multiplicative	multiplicative	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	152	52	trend	trend	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	2	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	3	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	4	extrapolation	extrapolation	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	6	time	time	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	7	series	series	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	9	methods	method	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	10	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	11	Results	result	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	12	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	13	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	14	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	153	15	competition	competition	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	2	M3-Competition	m3-competition	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	3	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	4	results	result	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	5	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	6	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	7	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	154	8	implications	implication	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	2	M4	M4	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	3	competition	competition	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	4	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	5	100,000	100,000	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	6	time	time	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	7	series	series	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	9	61	61	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	10	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	11	methods	method	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	12	Judgmental	judgmental	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	13	selection	selection	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	14	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	15	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	16	models	model	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	17	Harvard	Harvard	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	18	Professor	Professor	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	19	Sounds	Sounds	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	20	Alarm	Alarm	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	21	on	on	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	22	'	'	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	23	Likely	likely	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	24	'	'	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	25	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	26	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	27	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	28	40	40	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	29	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	30	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	31	70	70	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	32	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	33	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	34	World	world	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	35	Could	Could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	36	Be	be	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	37	Infected	infect	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	38	This	this	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	155	39	Year	year	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	1	Up	up	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	2	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	3	70	70	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	4	%	%	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	5	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	6	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	7	could	could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	8	become	become	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	9	infected	infect	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	10	-	-	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	11	Merkel	Merkel	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	12	Systemic	Systemic	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	13	Risk	Risk	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	14	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	15	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	16	via	via	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	17	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	18	Pathogens	Pathogens	NNPS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	20	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	156	21	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	157	1	A	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	157	2	Note	Note	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	157	3	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	1	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	2	There	there	EX
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	3	Are	be	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	4	Better	well	JJR
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	5	Things	thing	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	6	To	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	158	7	Do	do	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	159	1	Than	than	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	159	2	Panic	Panic	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	159	3	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	159	4	Cognitive	Cognitive	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	159	5	Bias	Bias	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	1	That	that	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	2	Makes	make	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	3	Us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	4	Panic	panic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	5	About	about	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	6	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	7	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	160	8	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	1	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	2	global	global	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	3	sweep	sweep	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	4	stokes	stokes	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	5	fear	fear	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	6	over	over	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	7	facts	fact	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	161	8	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	1	Experts	expert	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	2	say	say	VBP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	4	's	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	5	unlikely	unlikely	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	6	to	to	TO
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	7	produce	produce	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	8	'	'	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	9	apocalyptic	apocalyptic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	10	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	11	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	12	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	13	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	162	14	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	163	1	Epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	163	2	or	or	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	163	3	'	'	``
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	163	4	infodemic	infodemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	163	5	'	'	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	163	6	?	?	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	164	1	MIT	MIT	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	164	2	Technology	Technology	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	164	3	Review	Review	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	164	4	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	2	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	4	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	5	first	first	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	6	true	true	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	7	social	social	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	9	media	medium	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	10	"	"	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	11	infodemic	infodemic	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	12	Bill	Bill	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	13	Gates	Gates	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	14	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	15	Elon	Elon	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	16	Musk	Musk	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	17	Just	just	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	18	Issued	issue	VBD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	19	Very	very	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	20	Different	different	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	21	Responses	response	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	22	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	23	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	24	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	165	25	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	2	's	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	3	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	4	Lesson	lesson	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	5	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	6	Emotional	Emotional	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	166	7	Intelligence	intelligence	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	1	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	2	Black	Black	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	3	Swan	Swan	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	4	'	'	''
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	5	Author	author	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	6	To	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	7	Elon	Elon	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	8	Musk:'Saying	Musk:'Saying	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	9	The	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	10	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	11	Panic	Panic	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	12	Is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	167	13	Dumb	dumb	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	168	1	Is	be	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	168	2	Dumb	dumb	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	168	3	Responding	respond	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	168	4	to	to	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	168	5	Covid-19-A	Covid-19-A	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	1	Once	once	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	3	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	5	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	7	Century	century	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	8	Pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	169	9	?	?	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	1	How	how	WRB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	2	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	3	Could	Could	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	4	Impact	impact	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	5	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	6	Global	Global	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	7	Supply	Supply	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	8	Chain	Chain	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	9	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	10	Mid	Mid	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	11	-	-	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	12	March	March	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	13	JPMorgan	JPMorgan	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	14	officially	officially	RB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	15	forecasts	forecast	VBZ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	16	a	a	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	17	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	19	driven	drive	VBN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	20	recession	recession	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	21	will	will	MD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	22	rock	rock	VB
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	23	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	24	US	US	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	25	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	26	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	27	by	by	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	28	July	July	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	29	Characteristics	Characteristics	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	30	of	of	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	31	and	and	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	32	Important	important	JJ
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	33	Lessons	lesson	NNS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	34	From	from	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	35	the	the	DT
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	36	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	37	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	170	38	2019	2019	CD
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	171	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	171	2	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	171	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	171	4	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	171	5	in	in	IN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	171	6	China	China	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	172	1	Visualization	visualization	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	172	2	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	172	3	Fotios	Fotios	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	172	4	Petropoulos	Petropoulos	NNPS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	172	5	.	.	.
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	1	Writing	write	VBG
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	2	-review	-review	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	3	&	&	CC
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	4	editing	editing	NN
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	5	:	:	:
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	6	Fotios	Fotios	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	7	Petropoulos	Petropoulos	NNPS
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	8	,	,	,
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	9	Spyros	Spyros	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	10	Makridakis	Makridakis	NNP
cord-349217-vpih1wvs	173	11	.	.	.