id sid tid token lemma pos cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 1 1 key key JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 1 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 2 cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 3 authors author NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 4 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 5 Chis Chis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 6 Ster Ster NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 8 Irina Irina NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 9 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 10 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 11 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 12 Neil Neil NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 2 13 M. M. NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 1 title title NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 2 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 3 Transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 4 Parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 7 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 8 Foot Foot NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 9 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 10 Mouth Mouth NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 11 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 13 Great Great NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 14 Britain Britain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 15 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 16 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 17 2007 2007 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 18 - - SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 19 06 06 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 20 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 21 06 06 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 22 journal journal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 3 23 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 4 1 PLoS PLoS NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 5 1 One one CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 5 2 DOI doi NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 5 3 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 5 4 10.1371/ 10.1371/ CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 6 1 journal.pone.0000502 journal.pone.0000502 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 6 2 sha sha NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 6 3 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 7 1 c65f0939cf35a0f04bf93bd6e8f771b8521563a5 c65f0939cf35a0f04bf93bd6e8f771b8521563a5 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 7 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 7 3 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 7 4 48353 48353 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 8 1 cord_uid cord_uid NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 8 2 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 9 1 hqc7u9w3 hqc7u9w3 . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 1 Despite despite IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 2 intensive intensive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 3 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 4 research research NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 6 key key JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 7 aspects aspect NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 10 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 11 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 12 temporal temporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 13 evolution evolution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 16 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 17 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 18 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 19 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 20 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 22 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 25 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 26 Great Great NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 27 Britain Britain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 29 GB GB NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 31 remain remain VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 32 unexplained unexplained JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 10 33 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 1 Here here RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 3 develop develop VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 4 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 5 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 6 Chain Chain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 7 Monte Monte NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 8 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 10 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 12 method method NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 13 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 14 estimating estimate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 15 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 16 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 19 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 21 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 22 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 23 range range NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 25 simple simple JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 26 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 27 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 11 28 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 2 make make VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 4 simplifying simplify VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 5 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 6 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 8 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 9 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 10 completely completely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 11 observed observe VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 13 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 15 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 16 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 17 assuming assume VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 18 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 19 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 20 that that WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 21 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 22 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 23 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 24 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 25 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 26 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 27 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 28 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 29 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 30 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 31 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 32 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 33 even even RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 34 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 35 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 36 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 37 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 12 38 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 2 estimate estimate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 3 how how WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 4 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 6 varied vary VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 7 through through IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 8 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 9 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 10 highlighting highlight VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 12 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 15 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 16 measures measure NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 17 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 19 progression progression NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 20 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 13 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 2 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 3 statistically statistically RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 4 significant significant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 5 evidence evidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 7 assortative assortative NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 8 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 9 patterns pattern NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 10 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 11 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 14 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 15 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 14 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 1 Predictive predictive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 2 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 3 maps map NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 6 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 7 potential potential NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 9 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 10 geographic geographic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 11 areas area NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 13 GB GB NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 14 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 15 presented present VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 16 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 18 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 19 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 15 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 2 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 3 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 7 UK UK NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 8 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 9 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 10 substantial substantial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 11 cost cost NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 13 human human JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 15 animal animal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 16 health health NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 18 economic economic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 16 19 terms term NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 17 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 17 2 Alexandersen Alexandersen NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 17 3 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 17 4 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 17 5 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 2 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 4 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 5 Kao Kao NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 7 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 18 10 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 1 Understanding understand VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 3 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 4 factors factor NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 5 underlying underlie VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 7 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 8 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 10 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 12 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 13 evaluating evaluate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 15 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 18 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 19 measures measure NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 20 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 21 essential essential JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 22 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 23 minimise minimise VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 25 scale scale NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 26 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 27 cost cost NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 28 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 29 any any DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 30 future future JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 31 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 19 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 1 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 2 modelling modelling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 4 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 6 4 4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 9 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 12 6 6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 15 7 7 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 17 proved prove VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 18 critical critical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 19 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 20 decision decision NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 21 making make VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 22 about about IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 23 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 24 policies policy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 25 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 26 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 28 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 29 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 30 cases case NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 31 controversially controversially RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 33 adopted adopt VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 34 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 35 control control VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 36 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 37 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 38 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 39 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 40 8 8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 20 41 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 2 9 9 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 5 10 10 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 21 7 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 1 Modelling modelling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 2 now now RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 3 has have VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 4 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 5 ' ' `` cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 6 peace peace NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 7 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 8 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 9 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 10 contingency contingency NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 11 planning planning NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 12 role role NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 22 13 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 1 One one CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 2 weakness weakness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 5 modelling modelling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 6 studies study NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 7 undertaken undertake VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 9 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 10 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 12 relatively relatively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 13 ad ad NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 14 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 15 hoc hoc FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 16 nature nature NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 19 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 20 estimation estimation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 21 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 22 employed employ VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 23 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 2 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 3 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 4 paper paper NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 6 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 7 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 8 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 24 9 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 2 4 4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 4 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 5 maximum maximum JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 6 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 7 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 8 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 9 fit fit VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 10 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 12 observed observed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 13 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 14 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 15 series series NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 17 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 18 did do VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 19 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 20 attempt attempt VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 21 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 22 fit fit VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 23 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 25 spatio spatio JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 26 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 27 temporal temporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 28 pattern pattern NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 29 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 30 spread spread NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 25 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 2 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 3 later later JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 4 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 7 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 8 authors author NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 9 developed develop VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 10 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 11 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 12 robust robust JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 13 method method NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 15 estimating estimate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 16 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 17 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 18 specific specific JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 19 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 20 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 21 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 22 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 23 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 24 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 25 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 26 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 28 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 29 Supplementary supplementary JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 30 Information Information NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 31 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 33 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 36 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 37 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 38 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 39 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 40 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 41 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 42 statistical statistical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 43 basis basis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 44 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 45 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 46 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 47 developed develop VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 48 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 49 lacking lack VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 26 50 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 2 retrospect retrospect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 3 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 5 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 6 developed develop VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 7 turned turn VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 8 out out RP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 9 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 10 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 11 closely closely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 12 related relate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 13 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 14 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 15 developed develop VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 16 during during IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 18 SARS SARS NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 20 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 21 Wallinga Wallinga NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 22 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 23 Teunis Teunis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 25 11 11 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 27 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 28 although although IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 29 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 30 earlier early JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 31 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 32 incorporated incorporate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 33 population population NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 34 denominator denominator NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 35 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 36 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 37 allow allow VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 38 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 39 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 40 - - : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 41 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 42 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 43 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 44 based base VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 45 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 46 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 47 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 48 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 27 49 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 4 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 5 employed employ VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 6 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 8 limitation limitation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 10 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 11 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 12 fully fully RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 13 parametric parametric JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 15 meaning mean VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 16 they -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 17 could could MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 18 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 19 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 20 extended extend VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 21 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 22 fit fit VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 23 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 24 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 25 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 26 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 27 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 28 observed observed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 29 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 28 30 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 29 1 Keeling Keeling NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 29 2 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 29 3 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 29 4 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 2 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 4 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 5 maximum maximum JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 6 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 7 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 8 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 9 estimate estimate VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 10 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 12 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 13 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 15 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 16 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 17 supplemented supplement VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 18 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 19 more more JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 20 ad ad FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 21 hoc hoc FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 22 least least JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 23 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 24 squares square NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 25 matching match VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 26 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 27 regional regional JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 28 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 29 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 30 series series NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 30 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 2 there there EX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 3 remains remain VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 4 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 5 need need NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 6 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 7 develop develop VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 8 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 9 modern modern JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 10 statistical statistical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 11 approaches approach NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 12 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 13 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 14 estimation estimation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 16 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 17 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 18 linear linear JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 19 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 20 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 22 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 23 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 24 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 31 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 1 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 2 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 3 Chain Chain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 4 Monte Monte NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 5 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 7 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 9 techniques technique NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 10 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 12 best well RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 13 established establish VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 14 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 15 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 17 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 18 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 19 successfully successfully RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 20 employed employ VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 21 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 22 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 23 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 25 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 26 range range NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 27 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 28 spatiotemporal spatiotemporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 29 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 30 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 31 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 32 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 33 past past NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 35 12 12 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 37 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 38 13 13 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 39 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 40 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 41 14 14 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 42 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 43 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 44 as as RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 45 well well RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 46 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 47 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 48 purely purely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 49 temporal temporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 50 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 51 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 52 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 53 15 15 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 54 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 55 16 16 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 56 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 32 57 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 1 Here here RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 3 develop develop VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 4 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 5 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 6 based base VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 7 inference inference NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 8 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 9 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 11 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 12 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 15 GB GB NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 33 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 2 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 3 examine examine VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 4 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 6 extent extent NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 7 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 8 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 9 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 10 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 11 spatially spatially RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 12 localised localised JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 13 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 15 temporal temporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 16 variation variation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 17 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 18 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 19 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 20 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 21 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 22 specific specific JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 23 variation variation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 24 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 25 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 26 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 27 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 28 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 29 ness ness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 30 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 31 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 32 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 33 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 34 rates rate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 35 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 36 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 37 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 38 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 34 39 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 2 take take VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 4 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 5 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 7 unit unit NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 10 study study NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 11 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 12 ignore ignore VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 14 possible possible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 15 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 17 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 18 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 19 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 21 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 35 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 1 Thus thus RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 3 implicitly implicitly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 4 assume assume VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 5 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 6 spread spread VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 7 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 8 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 9 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 10 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 11 so so RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 12 rapid rapid JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 13 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 14 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 15 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 16 practically practically RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 17 instantaneous instantaneous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 18 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 19 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 20 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 21 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 22 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 23 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 24 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 25 becoming become VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 26 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 27 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 29 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 30 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 36 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 2 data data NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 3 consists consist VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 5 information information NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 6 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 7 all all PDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 9 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 10 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 12 UK UK NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 13 listed list VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 16 2000 2000 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 17 agricultural agricultural JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 18 census census NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 20 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 21 http://www.defra.gov http://www.defra.gov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 37 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 1 uk uk NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 2 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 3 footandmouth footandmouth NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 4 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 5 cases case NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 6 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 7 index.htm index.htm ADD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 38 9 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 1 There there EX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 2 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 4 total total NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 6 134,986 134,986 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 7 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 8 listed list VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 9 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 10 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 11 dataset dataset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 12 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 13 uniquely uniquely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 14 identified identify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 15 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 17 County County NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 18 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 19 Parish Parish NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 20 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 21 Holding Holding NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 23 CPH CPH NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 25 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 39 26 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 2 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 3 coordinates coordinate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 4 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 5 provided provide VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 6 together together RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 7 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 9 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 11 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 12 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 13 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 14 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 15 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 16 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 40 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 1 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 2 partition partition NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 4 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 5 GB GB NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 6 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 7 according accord VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 8 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 10 animal animal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 11 types type NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 12 represented represent VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 13 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 14 shown show VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 15 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 16 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 17 1a 1a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 41 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 2 geographical geographical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 3 distribution distribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 4 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 5 represented represent VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 6 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 7 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 8 1b 1b CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 9 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 11 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 13 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 14 per per IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 15 565 565 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 16 km km NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 42 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 1 Notice notice VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 3 high high JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 4 density density NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 5 areas area NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 6 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 8 North North NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 9 West West NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 11 Cumbria Cumbria NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 14 South South NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 15 West West NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 17 Devon Devon NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 19 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 20 Wales Wales NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 21 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 22 Scotland Scotland NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 23 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 25 main main JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 27 foci foci NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 28 developed develop VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 43 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 1 There there EX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 3 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 4 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 5 area area NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 6 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 7 high high JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 8 density density NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 9 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 11 Shetland Shetland NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 12 Islands Islands NNPS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 13 corresponding correspond VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 14 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 15 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 16 small small JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 17 crofter crofter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 18 smallholdings smallholding NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 44 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 1 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 2 1c 1c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 3 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 4 d d NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 5 show show VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 7 numbers number NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 9 sheep sheep NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 11 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 12 kept keep VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 13 per per IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 14 565 565 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 15 km km NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 16 square square JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 45 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 1 During during IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 3 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 4 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 5 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 6 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 7 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 8 total total NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 10 2026 2026 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 11 infected infected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 12 premises premise NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 14 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 16 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 17 recorded record VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 18 -farms -farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 19 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 20 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 21 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 22 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 23 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 24 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 25 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 26 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 27 subsequently subsequently RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 28 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 46 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 2 IP ip NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 3 dataset dataset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 4 contains contain VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 7 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 8 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 9 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 12 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 14 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 16 determined determine VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 17 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 18 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 19 clinical clinical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 20 evaluation evaluation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 22 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 23 age age NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 25 lesions lesion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 26 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 27 affected affected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 28 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 30 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 31 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 32 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 33 dates date NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 34 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 35 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 36 reporting reporting NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 37 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 38 confirmation confirmation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 39 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 40 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 47 41 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 1 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 2 total total NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 4 7457 7457 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 5 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 7 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 8 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 9 IP ip JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 11 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 12 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 13 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 14 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 15 -mostly -mostly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 16 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 17 contiguous contiguous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 18 premises premise NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 20 CPs cp NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 22 about about RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 23 3103 3103 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 25 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 26 dangerous dangerous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 27 contacts contact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 29 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 30 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 31 about about IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 32 1287 1287 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 34 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 35 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 36 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 37 under under IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 38 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 39 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 40 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 41 policies policy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 42 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 43 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 44 Cumbria Cumbria NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 45 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 46 Scotland Scotland NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 48 47 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 2 instance instance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 3 about about IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 4 1846 1846 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 6 79 79 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 7 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 9 out out IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 11 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 12 total total NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 14 2342 2342 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 15 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 16 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 17 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 18 Cumbria Cumbria NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 19 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 20 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 21 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 22 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 23 under under IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 25 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 26 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 27 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 28 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 29 km km NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 30 radial radial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 31 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 32 cull cull VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 33 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 34 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 35 policy policy NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 36 adopted adopt VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 37 there there RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 49 38 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 1 Some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 2 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 4 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 6 about about RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 7 30 30 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 9 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 10 recorded record VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 11 both both CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 12 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 13 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 14 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 15 CPs CPs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 50 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 1 Multiple multiple JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 2 records record NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 3 per per IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 4 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 5 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 6 often often RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 7 found find VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 10 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 11 control control NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 12 management management NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 13 system system NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 14 dataset dataset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 18 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 19 often often RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 20 unclear unclear JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 21 whether whether IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 22 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 23 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 24 due due JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 25 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 26 data data NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 27 entry entry NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 28 errors error NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 29 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 30 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 31 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 32 result result NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 33 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 34 sequential sequential JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 35 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 36 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 37 specific specific JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 38 culls cull NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 39 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 40 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 41 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 42 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 51 43 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 3 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 5 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 6 considered consider VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 8 whole whole JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 9 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 10 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 11 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 12 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 13 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 15 last last JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 16 recorded record VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 17 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 19 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 52 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 2 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 3 frequent frequent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 4 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 5 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 6 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 7 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 8 sheep sheep NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 10 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 11 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 12 1a 1a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 53 14 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 1 There there EX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 2 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 3 less less JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 4 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 5 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 6 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 7 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 8 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 9 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 10 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 11 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 12 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 13 10 10 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 14 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 15 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 16 just just RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 17 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 18 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 19 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 20 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 21 IPs IPs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 22 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 23 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 25 less less JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 26 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 27 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 28 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 29 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 30 all all PDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 32 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 54 34 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 2 indicates indicate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 4 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 5 priori priori FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 6 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 7 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 8 contributed contribute VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 9 far far RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 10 less less JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 11 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 13 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 15 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 16 many many JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 17 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 18 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 19 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 21 despite despite IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 22 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 23 high high JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 24 levels level NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 25 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 26 shedding shed VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 27 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 28 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 29 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 30 17 17 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 33 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 34 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 35 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 36 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 37 decided decide VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 38 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 39 discard discard VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 40 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 41 - - : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 42 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 43 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 44 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 45 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 46 current current JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 47 study study NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 48 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 49 simplify simplify VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 50 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 51 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 55 52 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 2 Sensitivity Sensitivity NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 3 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 4 section section NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 5 shows show VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 6 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 7 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 8 simplification simplification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 9 does do VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 10 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 11 significantly significantly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 12 affect affect VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 13 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 15 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 16 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 56 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 2 discarded discard VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 3 another another DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 4 three three CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 5 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 6 due due JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 7 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 8 missing miss VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 9 information information NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 10 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 11 possible possible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 12 mistakes mistake NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 13 regarding regard VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 15 location location NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 16 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 17 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 19 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 21 leaving leave VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 22 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 23 total total NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 25 2013 2013 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 26 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 27 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 28 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 29 analysed analyse VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 30 dataset dataset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 57 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 2 model model VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 5 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 6 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 7 space space NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 8 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 9 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 10 survival survival NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 11 process process NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 13 18 18 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 58 15 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 2 total total JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 3 observation observation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 4 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 5 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 6 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 8 240 240 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 9 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 10 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 11 7 7 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 12 th th DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 13 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 14 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 15 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 16 th th CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 17 October October NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 18 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 59 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 60 1 Each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 60 2 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 60 3 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 60 4 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 60 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 60 6 location location NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 2 x x NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 3 i i NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 4 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 5 y y NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 6 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 8 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 9 associated associate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 10 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 11 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 12 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 61 13 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 1 t t NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 2 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 4 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 5 infected infected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 8 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 9 removal removal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 10 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 11 r r NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 12 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 14 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 15 slaughtered slaughter VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 18 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 19 integers integer NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 20 n n CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 21 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 22 i i NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 23 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 24 n n NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 25 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 26 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 27 representing represent VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 28 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 29 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 30 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 32 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 33 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 34 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 35 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 36 sheep sheep NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 37 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 38 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 39 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 62 40 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 1 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 2 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 3 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 4 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 5 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 6 represent represent VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 7 per per IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 8 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 9 capita capita NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 10 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 11 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 12 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 13 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 15 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 17 while while IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 18 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 63 19 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 1 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 3 s s PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 4 represent represent VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 5 per per IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 6 capita capita NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 7 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 9 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 10 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 64 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 2 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 3 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 4 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 5 relative relative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 6 measure measure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 8 animal animal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 9 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 10 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 12 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 13 whereas whereas IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 14 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 15 represents represent VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 18 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 19 posed pose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 20 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 21 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 22 animal animal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 23 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 24 others other NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 65 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 2 use use VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 4 continuous continuous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 5 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 6 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 7 describe describe VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 8 how how WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 10 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 12 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 13 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 14 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 15 scaled scale VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 16 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 17 distance distance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 66 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 1 Transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 3 naturally naturally RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 4 assumed assume VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 5 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 6 decrease decrease VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 7 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 9 distance distance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 10 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 11 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 12 according accord VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 13 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 15 power power NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 16 law law NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 17 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 18 d d NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 19 ij ij NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 20 represents represent VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 22 Euclidian euclidian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 23 distance distance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 24 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 26 infected infected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 27 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 28 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 29 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 30 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 31 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 67 32 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 1 j. j. NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 2 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 4 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 6 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 7 offset offset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 9 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 10 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 12 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 13 power power NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 15 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 16 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 17 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 18 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 68 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 2 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 3 captures capture VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 4 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 5 forms form NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 6 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 7 movement movement NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 9 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 10 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 11 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 12 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 13 as as RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 14 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 17 use use NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 19 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 20 simple simple JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 21 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 22 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 23 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 24 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 25 inevitably inevitably RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 26 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 27 highly highly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 28 simplified simplified JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 29 representation representation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 30 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 32 true true JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 33 complexity complexity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 34 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 35 inter inter JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 36 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 37 farm farm JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 38 contacts contact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 69 39 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 2 examined examine VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 3 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 4 functional functional JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 5 forms form NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 8 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 10 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 11 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 12 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 13 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 15 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 16 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 17 analyses analysis NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 19 19 19 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 22 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 23 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 24 resulting result VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 25 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 26 fits fit VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 27 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 28 much much RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 29 poorer poor JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 30 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 31 found find VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 32 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 33 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 34 power power NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 35 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 36 law law NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 37 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 38 above above RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 70 39 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 1 Given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 3 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 4 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 5 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 7 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 9 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 10 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 12 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 13 hazard hazard NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 14 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 15 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 16 infected infected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 17 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 18 j j NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 19 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 20 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 21 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 22 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 23 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 24 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 25 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 26 quantified quantify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 27 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 28 _SP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 29 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 30 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 31 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 32 over over RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 33 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 34 specified specify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 35 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 36 stated state VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 37 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 38 so so RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 39 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 40 arbitrarily arbitrarily RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 41 assume assume VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 42 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 43 s s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 44 = = SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 45 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 46 throughout throughout RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 47 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 48 meaning mean VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 49 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 50 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 51 represents represent VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 52 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 53 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 54 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 55 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 56 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 57 tosheep tosheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 58 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 71 59 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 2 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 3 constant constant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 5 distance distance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 6 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 7 independent independent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 9 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 10 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 11 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 12 just just RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 13 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 14 mass mass JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 15 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 16 action action NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 17 closed close VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 19 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 20 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 21 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 22 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 23 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 24 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 72 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 2 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 3 assumes assume VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 4 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 5 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 6 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 8 scale scale VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 9 linearly linearly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 10 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 12 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 14 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 16 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 17 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 18 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 20 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 22 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 23 relatively relatively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 24 strong strong JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 25 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 26 imposed impose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 27 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 28 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 29 parsimony parsimony NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 30 reasons reason NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 73 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 2 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 3 matrix matrix NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 4 embedded embed VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 7 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 9 quantifies quantify VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 11 4 4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 12 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 13 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 14 specific specific JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 15 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 16 rates rate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 17 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 18 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 19 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 20 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 21 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 22 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 23 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 24 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 25 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 26 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 27 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 29 S s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 30 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 31 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 32 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 34 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 35 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 36 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 37 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 38 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 40 S s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 41 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 42 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 43 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 45 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 46 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 47 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 48 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 49 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 50 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 52 S s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 53 s s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 54 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 55 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 56 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 57 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 58 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 59 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 60 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 61 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 62 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 63 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 64 S s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 65 s s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 66 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 67 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 68 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 74 69 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 2 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 3 formulation formulation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 4 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 5 identical identical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 6 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 7 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 8 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 9 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 10 Keeling Keeling NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 11 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 12 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 75 13 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 2 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 4 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 5 except except IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 8 functional functional JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 9 form form NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 11 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 12 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 76 13 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 2 force force NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 4 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 5 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 6 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 7 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 8 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 9 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 10 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 77 11 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 1 t t NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 2 depends depend VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 3 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 5 whole whole JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 6 history history NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 8 events event NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 9 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 10 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 11 just just RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 12 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 14 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 16 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 17 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 18 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 20 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 22 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 23 j j NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 24 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 25 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 26 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 27 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 28 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 29 t t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 30 0 0 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 31 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 32 otherwise otherwise RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 33 By by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 34 default default NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 35 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 36 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 37 assume assume VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 38 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 39 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 40 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 41 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 42 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 43 day day NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 45 latency latency NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 46 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 47 represented represent VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 48 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 49 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 50 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 51 L L NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 53 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 54 i.e. i.e. FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 55 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 56 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 57 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 58 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 59 day day NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 60 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 61 they -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 62 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 63 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 78 64 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 4 test test VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 6 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 9 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 10 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 12 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 13 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 14 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 15 examining examine VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 16 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 17 periods period NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 19 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 20 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 21 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 22 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 79 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 2 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 3 density density NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 4 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 5 that that WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 6 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 7 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 8 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 9 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 10 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 11 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 12 t t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 13 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 14 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 15 given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 16 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 17 Hence hence RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 18 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 20 contribution contribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 21 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 22 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 23 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 24 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 25 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 26 observed observe VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 27 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 28 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 29 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 30 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 31 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 32 t t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 33 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 34 makes make VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 35 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 36 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 37 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 38 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 39 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 40 just just RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 80 41 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 1 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 2 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 3 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 4 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 5 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 6 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 7 contributes contribute VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 8 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 10 overall overall JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 11 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 13 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 14 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 16 escapes escape VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 17 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 18 during during IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 20 observation observation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 21 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 22 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 23 i.e. i.e. FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 24 until until IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 26 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 27 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 28 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 29 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 31 r r NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 32 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 34 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 35 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 36 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 37 duration duration NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 38 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 39 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 40 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 41 T t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 42 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 43 whichever whichever WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 44 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 45 shorter short JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 81 46 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 1 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 2 contribution contribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 3 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 5 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 6 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 7 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 8 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 9 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 10 total total JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 11 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 12 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 15 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 16 can can MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 17 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 18 written write VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 19 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 20 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 21 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 22 extend extend VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 23 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 24 simple simple JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 25 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 26 above above RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 27 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 28 introducing introduce VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 29 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 30 additional additional JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 31 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 32 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 33 understand understand VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 34 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 35 what what WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 36 extent extent NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 37 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 38 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 39 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 40 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 41 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 42 altered alter VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 43 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 44 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 45 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 46 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 82 47 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 2 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 3 r r NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 4 quantifies quantify VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 6 degree degree NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 7 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 8 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 9 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 10 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 11 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 12 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 13 assortative assortative NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 83 14 -with -with . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 1 r,1 r,1 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 2 representing represent VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 3 assortative assortative NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 4 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 5 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 6 r.1 r.1 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 7 disassortative disassortative NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 8 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 84 9 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 2 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 3 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 4 still still RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 5 assumes assume VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 6 constant constant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 8 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 9 respect respect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 10 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 11 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 12 along along IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 14 whole whole JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 15 observation observation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 85 16 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 86 1 T. t. NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 2 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 3 matrix matrix NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 4 defined define VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 6 equation equation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 8 2 2 LS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 10 becomes become VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 87 11 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 88 1 c c LS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 88 2 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 88 3 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 88 4 rS rS . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 89 1 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 90 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 90 2 s s VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 91 1 rS rS . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 92 1 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 93 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 94 1 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 94 2 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 95 1 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 96 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 96 2 s s VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 97 1 ð8Þ ð8Þ NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 1 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 3 again again RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 4 fix fix VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 5 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 6 s s NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 7 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 8 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 9 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 10 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 11 avoid avoid VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 12 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 13 over over IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 14 specification specification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 98 15 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 2 force force NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 4 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 6 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 9 model model VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 10 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 11 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 12 equation equation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 14 7 7 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 16 change change VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 17 accordingly accordingly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 99 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 2 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 4 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 5 constant constant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 6 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 7 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 8 throughout throughout IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 11 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 12 obviously obviously RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 13 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 14 crude crude JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 15 simplification simplification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 100 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 3 allowing allow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 4 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 5 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 6 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 7 continuously continuously RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 9 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 10 results result NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 12 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 13 over over IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 14 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 15 specified specify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 16 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 18 problems problem NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 19 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 20 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 21 identification identification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 22 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 23 confounding confounding JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 101 24 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 2 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 3 examined examine VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 4 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 5 sets set NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 6 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 7 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 9 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 10 changes change VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 12 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 13 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 14 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 15 restricted restrict VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 16 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 17 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 18 significant significant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 19 points point NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 20 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 21 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 22 denoted denote VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 23 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 24 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 25 cut cut NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 26 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 27 namely namely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 28 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 29 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 30 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 32 when when WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 33 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 34 national national JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 35 ban ban NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 36 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 37 animal animal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 38 movements movement NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 39 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 40 introduced introduce VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 42 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 43 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 44 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 45 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 47 when when WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 48 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 49 measures measure NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 50 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 51 intensified intensify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 52 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 53 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 54 so so RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 55 called call VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 56 24/48 24/48 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 57 hour hour NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 58 IP ip NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 59 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 60 CP cp NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 61 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 62 policy policy NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 63 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 64 introduced introduce VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 65 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 102 66 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 1 Models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 2 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 3 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 4 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 5 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 7 individual individual JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 8 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 9 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 10 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 12 start start NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 17 conditioning conditioning NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 18 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 20 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 21 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 23 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 24 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 25 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 26 23rd 23rd JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 27 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 29 conditioning conditioning NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 30 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 32 54 54 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 33 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 34 that that WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 35 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 36 already already RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 37 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 38 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 39 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 40 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 103 42 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 1 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 2 detailed detailed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 3 history history NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 7 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 8 given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 9 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 10 Kao Kao NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 12 9 9 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 104 14 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 2 separately separately RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 3 fitted fit VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 5 variants variant NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 6 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 7 assumed assume VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 8 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 9 discrete discrete JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 10 change change NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 13 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 14 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 15 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 16 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 18 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 19 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 20 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 21 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 105 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 1 Confounding confound VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 2 meant mean VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 3 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 4 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 5 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 6 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 7 limited limited JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 8 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 11 could could MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 12 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 13 varied varied JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 15 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 17 so so RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 19 examined examine VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 20 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 21 effect effect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 22 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 23 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 24 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 25 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 26 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 27 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 28 separately separately RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 106 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 2 fitted fit VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 3 four four CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 4 separate separate JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 5 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 6 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 7 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 8 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 9 variants variant NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 107 10 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 2 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 4 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 6 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 7 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 8 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 9 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 10 factor factor NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 11 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 12 keeping keep VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 13 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 14 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 15 constant constant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 16 through through IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 17 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 19 Cattle Cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 20 Infectivity Infectivity NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 21 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 108 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 1 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 3 ii ii NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 5 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 6 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 7 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 8 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 9 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 10 factor factor NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 11 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 12 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 13 cattle cattle VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 14 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 16 Sheep Sheep NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 17 Infectivity Infectivity NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 18 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 20 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 22 iii iii NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 24 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 25 both both CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 26 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 27 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 28 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 29 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 30 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 32 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 33 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 35 Cattle Cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 36 & & CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 37 Sheep Sheep NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 38 Infectivity Infectivity NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 39 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 41 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 43 iv iv LS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 45 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 46 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 47 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 48 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 50 Time Time NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 51 Varying Varying NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 52 Kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 53 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 109 55 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 3 last last JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 5 variant variant NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 7 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 8 fitted fit VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 9 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 10 version version NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 11 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 12 includes include VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 13 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 14 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 15 assortative assortative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 16 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 17 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 18 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 20 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 21 equation equation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 23 8) 8) NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 110 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 1 Hence hence RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 3 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 4 general general JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 5 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 6 expression expression NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 9 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 10 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 11 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 12 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 13 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 14 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 15 scripts script NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 16 pre pre VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 18 post post NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 19 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 20 self self NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 21 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 22 explanatory explanatory JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 23 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 24 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 25 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 26 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 111 27 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 1 When when WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 2 fitting fitting JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 3 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 4 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 5 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 6 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 7 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 10 actually actually RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 112 11 fit fit VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 113 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 113 2 post post VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 113 3 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 1 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 2 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 3 m m NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 4 = = NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 6 pre pre VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 7 /I /I NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 114 8 post post NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 115 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 115 2 called call VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 115 3 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 115 4 factor factor NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 115 5 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 4 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 5 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 6 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 8 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 9 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 10 directly directly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 11 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 12 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 14 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 16 unlike unlike IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 18 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 19 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 20 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 21 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 22 additionally additionally RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 23 calculated calculate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 24 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 25 explained explain VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 26 later later RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 27 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 29 text text NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 31 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 32 Parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 33 estimates estimate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 34 section section NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 116 36 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 1 Note note VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 2 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 3 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 4 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 5 above above IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 6 treat treat VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 9 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 10 fully fully RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 11 observed observe VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 12 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 13 i.e. i.e. FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 14 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 15 times time NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 16 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 17 assumed assume VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 18 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 19 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 20 known know VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 22 when when WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 23 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 24 fact fact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 25 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 26 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 27 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 28 times time NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 29 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 30 known know VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 31 -see -see : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 32 Sensitivity Sensitivity NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 33 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 34 section section NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 36 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 37 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 38 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 39 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 40 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 41 assumed assume VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 42 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 43 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 44 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 117 45 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 2 adopt adopt VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 4 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 5 framework framework NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 7 statistical statistical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 8 inference inference NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 9 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 10 use use VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 11 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 12 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 13 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 14 fitting fit VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 16 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 17 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 18 individual individual JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 19 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 20 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 118 21 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 4 strictly strictly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 5 necessary necessary JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 6 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 7 given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 9 simplifying simplify VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 10 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 11 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 14 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 15 completely completely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 16 observed observe VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 18 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 20 provides provide VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 21 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 22 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 23 consistent consistent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 24 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 25 robust robust JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 26 framework framework NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 27 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 28 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 29 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 30 relax relax VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 31 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 32 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 33 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 34 future future JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 35 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 119 36 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 2 obtained obtain VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 3 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 5 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 6 equal equal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 7 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 8 tailed tailed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 9 95 95 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 10 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 11 credible credible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 12 intervals interval NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 13 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 15 marginal marginal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 16 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 17 distributions distribution NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 20 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 120 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 3 basic basic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 5 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 6 instance instance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 8 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 10 relative relative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 11 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 12 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 14 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 15 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 17 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 18 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 19 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 21 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 22 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 24 t);I t);i FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 121 25 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 122 1 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 122 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 122 3 s s VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 2 t);I t);I NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 3 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 4 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 5 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 6 t t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 9 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 10 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 13 c(t);c c(t);c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 14 post post NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 123 15 ; ; . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 1 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 2 pre pre NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 3 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 4 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 5 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 6 a(t);a a(t);a NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 7 post post NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 8 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 9 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 10 pre pre NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 11 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 12 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 13 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 14 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 15 t t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 124 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 2 used use VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 4 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 5 mean mean JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 6 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 7 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 8 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 9 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 10 measure measure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 12 fit fit NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 13 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 14 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 15 adequacy adequacy NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 16 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 17 defined define VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 18 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 19 Spiegelhalter Spiegelhalter NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 20 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 21 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 125 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 126 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 126 2 20 20 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 126 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 126 4 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 2 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 3 density density NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 4 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 5 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 6 defined define VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 7 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 8 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 9 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 10 log{P(y|h log{P(y|h NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 12 } } -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 13 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 15 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 16 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 17 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 18 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 19 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 20 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 21 observed observed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 22 data data NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 23 vector vector NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 24 y y NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 25 given give VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 26 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 27 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 28 vector vector NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 29 h h NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 30 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 31 C C NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 32 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 33 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 34 constant constant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 35 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 36 does do VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 37 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 38 need need VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 39 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 40 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 41 known know VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 42 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 43 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 44 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 45 comparison comparison NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 46 purposes purpose NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 48 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 49 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 50 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 51 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 52 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 53 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 54 alone alone RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 127 56 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 2 smaller small JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 4 mean mean JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 5 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 6 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 9 better well JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 11 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 12 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 13 fits fit VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 15 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 128 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 1 If if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 3 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 4 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 5 distributions distribution NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 7 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 8 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 9 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 10 overlap overlap VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 11 significantly significantly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 12 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 14 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 15 necessary necessary JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 16 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 17 use use VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 18 additional additional JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 19 criteria criterion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 20 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 21 compare compare VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 22 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 23 fit fit VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 24 -namely -namely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 25 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 26 comparison comparison NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 27 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 29 relative relative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 30 complexity complexity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 31 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 32 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 33 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 129 34 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 2 Deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 3 Information information NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 4 Criterion Criterion NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 6 DIC DIC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 8 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 9 perhaps perhaps RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 11 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 12 general general JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 14 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 15 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 17 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 18 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 19 generalisation generalisation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 20 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 22 Akaike Akaike NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 23 information information NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 24 criterion criterion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 25 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 26 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 27 hierarchical hierarchical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 28 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 30 20 20 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 130 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 2 define define VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 4 complexity complexity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 6 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 7 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 8 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 10 effective effective JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 11 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 15 p p NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 16 D d NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 18 defined define VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 19 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 20 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 21 E e NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 24 represents represent VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 25 taking take VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 26 expectations expectation NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 29 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 30 average average NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 131 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 2 DIC DIC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 3 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 4 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 5 defined define VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 6 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 7 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 8 lower low JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 9 value value NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 11 DIC DIC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 12 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 13 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 14 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 15 better well JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 16 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 132 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 2 criterion criterion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 3 offers offer VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 4 flexibility flexibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 5 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 6 comparing compare VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 7 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 8 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 9 nested nested JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 10 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 12 20 20 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 14 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 16 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 17 straightforwardly straightforwardly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 18 computed compute VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 19 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 20 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 21 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 22 algorithm algorithm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 133 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 2 applied apply VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 4 classic classic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 5 random random JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 6 walk walk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 7 Metropolis Metropolis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 8 Hastings Hastings NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 9 algorithm algorithm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 11 21 21 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 12 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 13 22 22 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 15 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 16 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 17 block block NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 18 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 19 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 20 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 22 due due IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 23 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 25 computationally computationally RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 26 expensive expensive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 27 form form NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 28 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 29 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 30 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 32 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 33 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 34 24 24 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 134 36 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 1 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 2 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 3 scale scale NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 4 has have VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 5 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 6 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 7 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 8 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 9 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 12 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 13 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 14 positive positive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 15 definite definite JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 17 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 18 expected expect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 19 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 20 potentially potentially RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 21 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 22 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 23 orders order NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 25 magnitude magnitude NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 135 26 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 3 linear linear JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 4 scale scale NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 5 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 6 yielded yield VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 7 similar similar JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 8 results result NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 136 9 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 2 convergence convergence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 5 chains chain NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 6 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 7 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 8 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 9 much much RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 10 improved improve VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 12 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 13 Robert Robert NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 15 25 25 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 17 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 18 more more JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 19 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 20 perfect perfect JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 21 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 22 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 23 reparameterization reparameterization NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 24 issues issue NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 26 compared compare VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 27 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 28 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 29 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 30 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 31 linear linear JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 32 scale scale NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 137 33 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 2 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 3 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 4 coded code VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 6 C c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 7 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 8 parallelized parallelize VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 9 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 10 OpenMP OpenMP NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 11 2.0 2.0 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 138 12 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 2 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 3 sampler sampler NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 4 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 5 allowed allow VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 6 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 7 equilibrate equilibrate VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 8 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 9 convergence convergence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 10 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 11 evaluated evaluate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 12 visually visually RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 13 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 15 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 17 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 18 traces trace NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 139 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 3 simpler simple JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 4 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 6 5,000 5,000 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 7 iterations iteration NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 8 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 9 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 10 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 11 equilibration equilibration NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 12 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 13 while while IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 14 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 15 increased increase VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 16 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 17 20,000 20,000 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 18 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 20 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 21 complex complex JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 22 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 140 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 1 Also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 3 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 4 log log NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 5 scale scale NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 6 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 9 verified verify VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 10 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 12 chains chain NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 13 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 14 able able JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 15 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 16 converge converge VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 17 even even RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 18 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 19 started start VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 20 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 21 initial initial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 22 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 23 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 24 far far RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 25 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 26 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 27 final final JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 28 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 29 mean mean JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 30 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 141 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 1 Posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 2 distributions distribution NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 3 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 5 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 6 100,000 100,000 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 7 iterations iteration NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 142 8 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 2 rate rate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 5 acceptance acceptance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 6 varies vary VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 7 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 8 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 9 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 10 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 143 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 3 baseline baseline JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 6 achieved achieve VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 7 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 8 25 25 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 9 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 10 rate rate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 12 acceptance acceptance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 13 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 16 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 17 complex complex JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 18 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 20 8 8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 23 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 24 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 25 rate rate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 26 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 27 approx approx NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 28 10 10 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 29 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 144 30 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 1 These these DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 2 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 3 compare compare VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 4 well well RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 5 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 7 ' ' `` cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 8 ' ' `` cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 9 golden golden JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 10 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 11 ' ' '' cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 12 acceptance acceptance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 13 rate rate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 15 Random Random NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 16 Walk Walk NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 17 Metropolis Metropolis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 18 Hastings Hastings NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 19 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 20 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 145 21 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 2 Roberts Roberts NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 4 26 26 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 146 7 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 2 did do VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 4 encounter encounter VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 5 common common JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 6 problems problem NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 7 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 8 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 9 estimation estimation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 10 like like IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 11 slow slow JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 12 convergence convergence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 13 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 14 slow slow JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 147 15 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 2 O'Neill O'Neill NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 4 27 27 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 148 7 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 1 There there EX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 2 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 3 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 4 correlations correlation NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 5 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 8 mostly mostly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 9 having have VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 10 biological biological JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 11 explanations explanation NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 13 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 14 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 15 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 16 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 17 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 18 instance instance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 21 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 22 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 23 careful careful JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 24 parameterization parameterization NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 25 lowers lower VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 26 them -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 149 27 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 2 verified verify VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 3 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 5 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 6 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 7 dependent dependent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 8 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 9 parameterization parameterization NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 10 choices choice NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 11 -e.g -e.g VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 150 12 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 1 no no DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 2 difference difference NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 3 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 4 seen see VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 5 whether whether IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 7 fitted fit VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 8 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 9 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 10 individually individually RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 11 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 12 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 13 just just RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 14 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 15 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 16 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 18 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 20 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 22 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 23 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 24 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 25 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 26 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 27 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 151 28 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 1 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 2 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 3 lists list VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 5 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 6 estimates estimate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 8 obtained obtain VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 9 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 10 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 11 set set NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 13 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 14 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 15 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 16 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 17 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 19 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 20 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 21 whereas whereas IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 22 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 23 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 24 presents present VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 26 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 27 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 28 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 29 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 30 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 31 infections infection NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 32 occurring occur VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 33 up up IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 34 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 35 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 36 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 37 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 152 38 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 2 posterior posterior JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 3 deviances deviance NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 4 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 5 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 6 set set NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 8 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 9 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 10 plotted plot VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 12 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 13 2a 2a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 14 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 15 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 16 2b 2b CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 18 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 153 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 1 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 2 2a 2a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 3 illustrates illustrate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 4 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 5 clear clear JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 6 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 154 7 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 1 Of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 3 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 4 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 5 without without IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 6 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 7 variation variation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 10 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 12 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 13 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 14 fits fit VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 15 significantly significantly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 16 better well JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 17 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 19 baseline baseline JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 20 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 21 without without IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 22 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 23 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 24 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 25 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 155 26 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 3 fitting fit VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 5 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 6 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 7 broadened broaden VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 9 credible credible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 10 intervals interval NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 13 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 14 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 15 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 17 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 18 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 21 indicating indicate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 23 unsurprisingly unsurprisingly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 25 slight slight JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 26 confounding confound VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 27 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 29 4 4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 30 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 31 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 32 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 33 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 156 34 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 1 Of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 3 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 4 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 5 allowed allow VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 6 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 7 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 8 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 9 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 10 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 11 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 12 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 14 allowing allow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 15 only only JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 16 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 17 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 18 variation variation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 19 gave give VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 20 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 21 slightly slightly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 22 better well JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 23 fit fit NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 24 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 25 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 26 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 27 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 28 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 29 both both DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 157 30 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 5 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 6 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 8 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 9 vary vary VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 10 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 11 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 12 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 13 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 16 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 17 variants variant NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 18 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 19 allow allow VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 20 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 21 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 22 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 23 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 24 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 25 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 26 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 27 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 28 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 29 point point NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 30 fit fit VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 31 substantially substantially RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 32 better well RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 34 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 35 both both DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 36 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 37 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 38 DIC DIC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 39 criteria criterion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 40 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 41 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 42 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 43 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 45 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 46 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 47 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 48 just just RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 49 allow allow VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 50 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 51 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 52 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 53 specific specific JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 54 variation variation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 55 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 56 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 158 57 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 3 encouraging encouraging JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 4 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 6 inference inference NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 7 procedure procedure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 9 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 11 main main JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 12 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 13 measure measure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 14 initiated initiate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 15 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 16 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 17 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 18 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 20 banning banning NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 23 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 24 3a 3a NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 25 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 26 Figure Figure NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 27 3b 3b CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 159 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 2 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 4 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 5 less less RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 6 precise precise JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 7 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 8 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 9 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 160 10 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 2 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 3 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 5 due due IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 6 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 8 relatively relatively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 9 small small JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 10 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 12 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 14 about about RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 15 57 57 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 17 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 18 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 19 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 161 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 1 Looking look VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 2 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 4 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 5 complex complex JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 6 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 8 namely namely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 10 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 11 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 12 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 13 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 14 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 15 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 18 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 19 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 20 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 21 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 22 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 23 5.7fold 5.7fold CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 25 4.6 4.6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 26 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 27 6.8 6.8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 29 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 30 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 31 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 32 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 34 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 35 Figure Figure NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 36 3c 3c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 37 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 38 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 39 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 162 41 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 1 Rather rather RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 2 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 3 mentioning mention VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 4 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 5 ' ' POS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 6 specific specific JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 7 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 9 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 10 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 11 3d 3d NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 12 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 13 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 14 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 18 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 19 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 20 informative informative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 21 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 22 comment comment VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 23 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 25 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 163 26 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 1 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 2 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 3 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 4 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 5 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 7 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 8 complex complex JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 9 fit fit NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 11 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 12 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 13 does do VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 14 dot dot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 15 appear appear VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 16 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 18 tables table NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 19 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 21 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 22 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 23 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 24 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 25 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 164 27 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 2 calculated calculate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 4 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 6 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 7 algorithm algorithm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 8 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 10 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 13 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 14 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 15 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 16 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 17 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 18 sampled sample VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 19 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 20 point point NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 165 21 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 2 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 3 complex complex JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 5 suggests suggest VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 6 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 7 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 8 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 9 5.95-fold 5.95-fold CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 11 4.54 4.54 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 12 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 13 7.63 7.63 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 15 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 17 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 18 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 20 Figure Figure NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 21 3e 3e NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 166 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 2 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 3 quantifying quantify VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 4 assortativity assortativity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 6 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 7 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 9 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 10 r r NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 11 = = SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 12 0.45 0.45 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 14 0.31 0.31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 16 0.61 0.61 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 167 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 168 1 -well -well : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 1 below below IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 2 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 3 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 5 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 6 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 7 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 8 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 9 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 10 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 11 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 12 random random JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 14 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 15 3f 3f NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 169 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 1 By by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 2 comparison comparison NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 3 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 5 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 6 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 7 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 8 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 9 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 10 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 11 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 12 random random JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 13 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 14 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 15 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 18 effect effect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 19 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 20 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 21 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 22 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 23 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 24 modified modify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 26 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 27 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 28 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 29 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 30 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 31 given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 32 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 33 matrix matrix NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 35 1.9 1.9 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 37 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 38 indicated indicate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 39 below below RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 40 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 170 41 _SP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 1 Cattle Cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 2 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 3 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 4 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 5 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 6 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 7 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 8 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 9 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 10 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 11 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 12 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 13 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 14 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 16 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 17 19 19 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 18 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 19 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 20 54 54 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 21 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 22 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 24 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 26 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 27 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 28 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 29 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 30 random random JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 31 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 32 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 33 whereas whereas IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 34 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 35 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 36 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 37 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 38 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 39 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 40 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 41 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 42 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 43 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 44 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 45 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 46 transmissions transmission NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 47 dropped drop VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 48 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 49 41 41 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 50 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 51 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 52 37 37 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 53 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 54 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 171 55 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 1 Conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 2 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 3 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 4 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 5 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 6 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 7 7 7 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 8 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 9 variants variant NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 10 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 11 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 12 considered consider VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 14 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 15 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 17 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 18 2b 2b CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 172 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 2 examined examine VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 4 baseline baseline NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 5 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 6 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 7 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 9 no no DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 10 change change NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 13 over over IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 14 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 17 allowing allow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 18 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 19 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 20 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 21 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 22 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 23 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 24 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 25 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 26 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 27 both both DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 28 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 29 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 30 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 31 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 32 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 33 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 34 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 35 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 36 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 37 factor factor NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 38 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 39 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 40 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 41 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 43 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 44 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 45 without without IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 46 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 47 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 48 mixing mix VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 50 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 51 allowing allow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 52 both both DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 53 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 54 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 55 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 56 vary vary VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 57 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 58 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 59 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 60 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 173 61 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 1 Unsurprisingly unsurprisingly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 4 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 6 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 7 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 8 significantly significantly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 9 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 10 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 11 allowed allow VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 12 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 13 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 14 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 15 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 17 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 18 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 19 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 20 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 22 neither neither CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 23 did do VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 24 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 25 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 26 prove prove VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 27 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 28 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 29 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 30 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 31 fit fit NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 174 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 1 Overall overall RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 3 while while IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 5 variations variation NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 6 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 7 mean mean JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 8 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 10 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 11 2b 2b CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 13 seen see VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 14 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 15 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 16 variants variant NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 17 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 18 much much RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 19 smaller small JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 20 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 21 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 22 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 23 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 24 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 25 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 26 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 27 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 28 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 30 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 31 2a 2a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 33 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 34 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 35 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 36 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 37 allowing allow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 38 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 39 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 40 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 41 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 42 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 43 gave give VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 44 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 45 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 46 adequate adequate JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 47 fit fit NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 49 measured measure VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 50 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 51 both both DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 52 mean mean VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 53 deviance deviance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 54 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 55 DIC DIC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 56 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 57 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 58 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 59 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 175 61 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 2 can can MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 4 statistically statistically RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 5 compare compare VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 7 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 8 sets set NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 10 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 12 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 13 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 14 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 15 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 16 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 18 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 20 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 21 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 22 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 23 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 24 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 26 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 27 cases case NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 176 28 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 4 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 5 estimates estimate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 6 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 8 best well RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 9 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 10 fitting fitting JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 11 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 13 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 14 table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 15 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 16 largely largely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 17 consistent consistent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 177 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 1 Each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 2 post-23 post-23 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 3 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 4 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 6 value value NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 7 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 9 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 10 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 11 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 12 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 13 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 14 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 15 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 16 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 17 included include VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 18 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 20 corresponding correspond VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 21 pre-31 pre-31 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 22 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 23 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 24 95 95 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 25 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 26 credible credible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 27 interval interval NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 28 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 29 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 30 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 31 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 32 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 33 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 34 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 35 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 37 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 38 vice vice NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 39 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 40 versa versa RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 178 42 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 2 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 3 important important JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 4 message message NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 5 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 7 second second JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 8 set set NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 10 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 11 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 12 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 13 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 14 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 15 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 16 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 17 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 18 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 19 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 21 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 22 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 24 indicated indicate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 25 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 26 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 27 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 28 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 29 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 30 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 31 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 32 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 33 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 34 before before RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 36 m m NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 37 = = SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 38 0.73 0.73 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 40 0.63 0.63 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 41 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 42 0.83 0.83 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 179 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 180 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 180 2 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 180 3 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 180 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 180 5 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 2 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 3 seem seem VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 4 paradoxical paradoxical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 5 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 6 reflects reflect VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 8 fact fact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 9 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 10 while while IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 11 culling cull VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 14 effect effect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 16 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 17 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 18 explicitly explicitly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 19 included include VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 20 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 22 input input NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 23 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 25 dramatically dramatically RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 26 reduced reduce VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 27 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 28 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 29 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 30 April April NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 31 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 32 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 33 May May NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 34 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 35 September September NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 36 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 37 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 38 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 39 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 40 maintained maintain VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 41 itself -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 42 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 43 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 44 low low JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 45 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 46 -but -but : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 47 almost almost RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 48 entirely entirely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 49 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 50 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 51 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 181 52 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 2 increase increase NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 3 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 4 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 5 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 6 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 7 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 8 really really RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 9 reflect reflect VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 11 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 14 biosecurity biosecurity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 15 and/or and/or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 16 increased increase VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 17 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 18 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 19 compliance compliance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 20 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 21 movement movement NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 22 controls control NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 182 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 3 informative informative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 4 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 5 examine examine VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 6 what what WP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 8 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 9 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 10 imply imply VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 12 terms term NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 14 geographic geographic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 15 variation variation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 16 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 17 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 18 potential potential NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 183 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 1 Given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 3 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 5 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 6 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 7 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 10 can can MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 11 define define VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 13 relative relative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 14 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 184 16 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 1 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 3 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 4 j j NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 5 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 6 pose pose VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 7 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 8 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 9 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 10 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 11 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 13 country country NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 14 r r NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 15 j j NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 185 16 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 186 1 r r LS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 186 2 j~ j~ XX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 187 1 Ic Ic NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 187 2 n n NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 187 3 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 187 4 j j NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 187 5 zI zI NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 187 6 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 188 1 n n NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 188 2 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 189 1 j j NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 189 2 P P NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 190 1 i= i= JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 191 1 j j NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 191 2 Sc Sc NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 191 3 Ss Ss NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 191 4 n n NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 191 5 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 192 1 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 192 2 zn zn VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 193 1 s s NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 2 quantity quantity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 3 multiplied multiply VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 4 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 6 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 7 duration duration NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 9 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 11 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 12 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 14 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 15 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 16 end end NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 18 latency latency NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 19 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 20 culling cull VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 22 gives give VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 23 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 24 reproduction reproduction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 25 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 26 R R NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 27 0j 0j CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 28 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 29 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 30 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 31 j. j. NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 32 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 33 divided divide VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 34 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 35 UK UK NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 36 into into IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 37 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 38 km km NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 39 squares square NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 40 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 41 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 42 calculated calculate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 43 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 44 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 45 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 46 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 47 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 48 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 49 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 50 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 51 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 52 square square JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 53 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 54 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 55 R r NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 56 0 0 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 194 58 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 1 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 2 4 4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 3 shows show VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 4 how how WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 5 geographic geographic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 6 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 7 changed change VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 8 before before RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 9 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 10 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 11 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 12 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 13 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 15 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 16 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 17 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 18 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 19 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 20 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 22 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 23 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 195 24 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 2 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 3 shape shape NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 4 has have VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 5 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 6 major major JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 7 influence influence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 8 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 10 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 11 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 12 distribution distribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 13 throughout throughout IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 15 country country NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 196 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 1 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 2 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 3 shows show VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 5 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 6 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 7 maps map NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 8 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 10 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 11 inferred infer VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 12 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 13 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 14 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 15 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 16 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 17 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 18 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 19 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 20 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 21 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 197 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 1 A a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 2 slightly slightly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 3 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 4 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 5 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 6 predicted predict VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 7 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 8 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 9 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 10 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 11 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 13 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 14 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 15 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 16 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 17 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 18 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 19 due due IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 20 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 22 increase increase NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 23 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 25 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 26 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 27 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 28 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 29 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 198 30 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 2 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 3 estimates estimate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 4 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 5 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 6 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 7 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 8 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 10 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 11 set set NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 13 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 14 appear appear VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 15 consistent consistent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 16 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 17 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 18 obtained obtain VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 19 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 20 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 21 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 22 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 23 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 24 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 25 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 26 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 27 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 28 though though IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 29 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 30 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 31 statistical statistical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 32 comparison comparison NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 33 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 34 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 35 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 36 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 199 37 _SP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 2 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 3 made make VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 5 strong strong JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 6 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 7 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 8 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 9 study study NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 10 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 12 only only JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 13 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 14 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 15 during during IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 17 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 19 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 20 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 21 reported report VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 22 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 23 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 24 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 25 hence hence RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 26 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 27 any any DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 28 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 29 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 30 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 31 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 32 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 33 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 34 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 35 clinical clinical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 36 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 37 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 38 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 39 responsible responsible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 40 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 41 causing cause VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 42 any any DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 43 infections infection NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 200 44 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 3 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 4 interesting interesting JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 5 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 6 calculate calculate VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 7 how how WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 8 many many JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 11 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 12 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 13 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 14 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 15 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 16 predicts predict VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 17 might may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 18 have have VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 19 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 20 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 22 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 23 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 24 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 25 definition definition NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 26 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 27 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 28 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 201 30 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 1 To to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 2 calculate calculate VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 4 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 5 p p NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 6 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 7 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 8 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 9 particular particular JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 10 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 11 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 12 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 13 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 14 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 15 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 18 need need VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 19 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 20 adjust adjust VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 22 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 23 hazard hazard NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 24 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 26 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 27 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 29 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 30 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 31 have have VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 32 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 33 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 34 reported report VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 35 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 36 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 37 clinical clinical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 38 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 39 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 40 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 41 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 42 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 43 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 44 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 45 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 202 46 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 1 From from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 3 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 4 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 7 calculate calculate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 9 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 10 density density NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 13 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 14 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 15 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 16 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 17 report report VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 18 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 19 reported report VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 20 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 21 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 22 hence hence RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 23 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 24 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 25 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 26 distribution distribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 27 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 29 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 30 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 31 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 32 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 33 report report VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 34 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 35 denoted denote VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 36 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 37 F. F. NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 38 Then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 39 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 40 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 41 l l NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 42 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 44 t t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 46 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 47 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 48 force force NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 49 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 50 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 51 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 52 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 53 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 54 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 55 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 56 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 57 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 58 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 59 t t NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 60 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 61 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 62 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 63 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 64 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 65 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 66 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 67 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 68 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 69 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 70 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 71 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 72 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 73 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 74 probability probability NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 75 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 76 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 77 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 78 gets get VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 79 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 80 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 81 escapes escape NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 82 reporting report VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 83 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 84 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 85 potential potential JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 86 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 87 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 88 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 89 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 90 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 203 91 T t NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 204 1 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 204 2 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 204 3 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 2 calculate calculate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 4 expected expect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 5 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 6 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 7 infections infection NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 9 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 10 classes class NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 12 e.g. e.g. IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 13 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 15 CPs CPs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 18 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 19 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 20 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 21 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 22 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 23 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 24 particular particular JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 25 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 205 26 interval interval NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 2 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 3 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 4 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 6 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 7 0 0 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 9 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 10 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 11 ½ ½ CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 206 13 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 2 instance instance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 3 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 5 expected expect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 6 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 8 CPs cp NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 9 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 10 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 12 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 13 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 14 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 15 c c NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 17 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 18 0 0 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 19 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 20 T T NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 21 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 22 ½ ½ CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 23 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 24 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 25 predicted predict VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 26 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 27 have have VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 28 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 29 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 30 can can MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 31 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 32 formally formally RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 33 written write VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 34 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 35 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 36 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 37 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 38 simplification simplification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 39 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 40 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 41 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 42 reality reality NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 43 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 44 delay delay NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 45 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 46 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 47 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 48 report report VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 49 almost almost RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 50 certainly certainly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 51 depends depend VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 52 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 53 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 54 size size NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 55 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 56 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 57 mix mix VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 58 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 59 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 60 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 61 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 62 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 63 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 64 result result NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 65 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 66 nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 67 indicative indicative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 68 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 69 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 70 expected expect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 71 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 72 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 73 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 74 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 75 proactive proactive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 76 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 207 77 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 1 Also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 3 at at IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 4 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 5 stage stage NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 6 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 8 calculations calculation NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 9 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 10 made make VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 11 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 12 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 13 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 14 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 15 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 16 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 17 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 18 informative informative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 19 censoring censoring NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 20 process process NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 208 21 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 4 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 5 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 7 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 8 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 9 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 10 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 11 except except IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 12 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 13 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 15 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 16 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 17 definition definition NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 18 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 19 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 20 identified identify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 21 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 22 veterinarian veterinarian NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 23 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 24 having have VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 25 had have VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 26 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 27 high high JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 28 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 29 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 30 exposure exposure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 32 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 33 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 34 method method NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 35 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 36 underestimate underestimate VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 37 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 38 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 39 rate rate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 209 40 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 2 calculating calculate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 4 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 5 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 6 report report VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 7 delay delay NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 8 distributions distribution NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 9 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 11 divided divide VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 14 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 15 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 16 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 17 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 18 into into IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 19 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 20 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 21 periods period NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 22 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 23 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 24 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 25 February-31 February-31 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 26 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 27 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 28 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 29 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 30 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 31 March-1 March-1 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 32 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 33 May May NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 34 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 35 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 36 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 37 May-5 May-5 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 38 th th XX cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 39 October October NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 210 40 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 2 these these DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 3 intervals interval NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 4 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 5 total total NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 6 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 7 1332 1332 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 9 4498 4498 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 11 1627 1627 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 12 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 13 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 14 slaughtered slaughter VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 16 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 211 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 2 best good JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 3 fit fit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 5 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 6 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 7 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 8 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 9 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 10 predicts predict VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 11 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 12 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 13 regimes regime NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 14 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 15 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 16 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 17 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 18 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 19 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 21 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 22 Parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 23 Estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 24 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 25 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 26 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 28 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 29 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 30 split split VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 31 further further RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 32 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 33 second second JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 34 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 35 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 36 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 37 due due JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 38 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 39 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 40 delays delay NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 41 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 42 reporting report VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 43 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 44 culling cull VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 212 45 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 2 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 3 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 4 report report VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 5 delay delay NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 6 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 7 8.6 8.6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 9 8.8 8.8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 10 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 11 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 13 last last JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 14 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 15 periods period NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 17 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 18 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 19 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 20 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 21 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 22 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 23 cull cull VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 24 delay delay NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 25 drops drop NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 26 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 27 9.4 9.4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 28 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 29 8.8 8.8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 30 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 31 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 213 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 1 Applying apply VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 2 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 3 approach approach NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 4 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 6 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 7 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 8 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 9 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 10 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 11 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 12 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 13 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 14 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 15 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 17 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 18 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 19 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 20 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 23 calculated calculate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 25 expected expect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 26 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 27 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 28 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 29 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 30 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 31 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 32 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 33 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 214 34 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 2 estimate estimate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 3 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 4 approximately approximately RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 5 1.3 1.3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 6 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 8 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 9 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 10 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 11 1.6 1.6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 12 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 15 7457 7457 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 16 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 17 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 18 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 19 IP ip JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 20 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 21 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 22 have have VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 23 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 24 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 215 25 -97 -97 NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 1 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 2 total total JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 4 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 5 6a 6a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 216 7 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 1 Of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 3 1332 1332 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 4 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 5 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 6 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 7 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 8 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 9 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 11 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 12 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 13 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 15 1.7 1.7 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 16 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 18 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 19 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 21 2.4 2.4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 22 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 24 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 25 have have VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 26 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 27 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 29 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 30 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 217 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 1 Of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 3 4498 4498 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 4 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 5 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 6 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 7 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 8 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 9 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 11 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 12 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 13 May May NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 16 estimate estimate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 17 0.7 0.7 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 18 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 20 0.5 0.5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 21 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 22 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 23 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 24 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 26 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 27 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 29 34 34 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 30 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 218 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 3 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 4 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 5 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 6 May May NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 7 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 8 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 9 th th DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 10 October October NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 11 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 13 estimate estimate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 14 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 15 1.6 1.6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 16 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 18 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 19 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 21 2.3 2.3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 22 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 25 1627 1627 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 26 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 27 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 28 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 29 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 31 27 27 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 32 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 219 34 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 2 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 4 CPs cp NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 6 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 7 have have VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 8 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 9 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 10 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 11 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 12 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 14 1.5 1.5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 15 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 17 2.5 2.5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 18 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 21 equating equate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 22 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 23 62 62 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 24 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 26 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 27 6b 6b CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 220 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 1 Over over IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 3 whole whole JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 7 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 8 1.5 1.5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 9 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 11 0.8 0.8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 12 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 14 2.1 2.1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 15 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 18 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 19 designated designate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 20 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 21 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 22 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 23 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 25 19 19 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 26 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 221 28 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 2 estimate estimate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 4 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 5 6c 6c CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 7 does do VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 8 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 9 allow allow VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 10 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 11 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 12 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 14 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 15 implied imply VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 16 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 18 veterinary veterinary JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 19 judgement judgement NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 20 that that WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 21 led lead VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 22 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 23 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 24 DCs dc NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 25 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 26 identified identify VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 27 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 28 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 29 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 30 mean mean VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 31 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 32 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 33 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 34 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 35 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 36 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 37 fact fact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 38 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 222 39 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 1 If if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 3 assume assume VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 4 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 5 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 6 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 7 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 8 times time NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 9 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 10 likely likely JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 11 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 12 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 13 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 14 due due IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 15 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 17 status status NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 18 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 20 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 21 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 22 predict predict VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 23 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 223 24 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 1 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 2 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 4 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 6 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 7 goes go VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 8 up up RP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 9 accordingly accordingly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 10 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 11 i.e. i.e. FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 12 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 13 4.6 4.6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 14 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 15 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 16 59 59 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 17 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 224 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 1 Farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 2 culled cull VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 3 neither neither CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 4 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 5 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 6 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 7 CPs CPs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 9 typically typically RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 10 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 11 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 12 under under IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 14 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 15 km km NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 17 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 18 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 19 cull cull VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 20 policies policy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 21 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 22 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 23 Cumbria Cumbria NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 24 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 25 Dumfries Dumfries NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 26 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 27 Galloway Galloway NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 28 areas area NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 30 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 32 lowest low JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 33 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 34 rate rate NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 35 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 36 infectiona infectiona NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 37 mere mere JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 38 0.5 0.5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 39 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 41 0.2 0.2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 42 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 43 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 44 0.8 0.8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 45 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 47 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 48 16 16 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 49 out out IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 50 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 51 3067 3067 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 52 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 225 53 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 2 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 3 section section NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 5 examine examine VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 7 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 10 results result NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 11 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 12 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 13 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 15 factors factor NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 16 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 17 leaving leave VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 18 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 19 out out IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 20 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 22 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 23 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 24 possible possible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 25 errors error NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 26 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 27 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 28 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 29 IP ip NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 30 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 31 dates date VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 32 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 33 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 34 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 35 assumed assume VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 36 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 37 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 226 38 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 1 To to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 2 justify justify VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 4 simplification simplification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 7 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 8 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 9 discarding discard VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 11 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 13 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 15 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 16 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 19 present present VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 20 some some DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 21 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 22 detailed detailed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 23 statistics statistic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 24 regarding regard VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 25 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 26 variable variable NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 227 27 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 2 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 3 fit fit VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 5 simplest simple JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 6 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 7 conditioned condition VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 9 last last JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 10 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 11 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 12 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 13 exclusively exclusively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 14 pig pig NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 15 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 228 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 2 denote denote VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 3 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 4 n n NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 5 p p NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 6 i i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 8 S S NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 229 9 p p NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 230 1 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 230 2 I i NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 230 3 p p NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 1 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 2 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 4 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 6 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 7 i i PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 9 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 10 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 11 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 12 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 13 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 14 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 231 15 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 2 simplest simple JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 3 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 4 similar similar JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 5 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 7 1.2 1.2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 9 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 10 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 12 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 13 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 14 has have VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 15 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 16 fitted fit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 18 reducing reduce VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 20 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 22 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 23 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 25 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 26 manner manner NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 232 27 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 2 addition addition NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 4 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 5 pig pig NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 6 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 7 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 8 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 9 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 11 pig pig NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 12 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 14 assuming assume VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 15 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 16 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 17 constant constant JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 18 through through IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 19 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 233 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 2 found find VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 3 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 4 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 5 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 6 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 7 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 8 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 9 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 10 6 6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 234 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 1 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 2 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 3 shows show VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 4 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 5 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 7 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 9 sheep sheep NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 10 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 11 largely largely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 12 unaffected unaffected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 13 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 14 ignoring ignore VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 16 pig pig NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 17 population population NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 18 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 19 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 20 none none NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 22 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 23 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 24 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 26 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 27 analyses analysis NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 28 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 29 significantly significantly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 30 different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 235 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 2 conclude conclude VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 3 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 4 including include VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 5 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 6 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 7 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 8 change change VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 10 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 11 presented present VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 13 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 14 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 15 regarding regard VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 16 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 18 sheep sheep NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 20 given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 22 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 23 small small JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 24 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 25 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 26 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 27 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 28 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 29 pigs pig NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 31 but but CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 32 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 33 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 34 decrease decrease VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 35 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 36 power power NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 37 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 38 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 39 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 40 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 41 increase increase VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 42 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 43 complexity complexity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 236 44 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 1 To to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 2 understand understand VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 3 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 4 what what WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 5 extent extent NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 7 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 8 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 9 affected affect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 10 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 12 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 13 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 15 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 16 dates date NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 17 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 18 been be VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 19 accurately accurately RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 20 observed observe VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 23 randomized randomize VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 25 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 26 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 27 dates date NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 28 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 29 adding add VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 30 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 31 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 32 noise noise NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 33 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 34 zero zero CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 35 mean mean NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 36 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 37 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 38 standard standard JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 39 deviation deviation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 40 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 41 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 42 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 237 43 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 3 motivated motivate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 4 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 6 substantial substantial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 7 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 10 observed observed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 11 standard standard JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 12 deviation deviation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 14 73.5 73.5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 15 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 16 less less JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 17 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 18 equal equal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 19 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 20 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 21 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 23 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 24 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 25 distribution distribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 26 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 27 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 29 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 30 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 31 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 32 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 33 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 34 report report NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 35 date date NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 36 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 37 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 238 38 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 2 then then RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 3 fitted fit VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 5 simplest simple JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 6 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 8 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 9 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 10 both both DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 11 first first JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 12 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 13 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 14 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 15 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 16 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 18 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 19 10 10 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 20 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 21 randomised randomised JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 22 datasets dataset NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 239 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 2 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 4 across across IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 5 them -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 6 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 7 given give VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 9 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 10 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 240 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 2 lie lie VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 3 well well RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 4 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 6 confidence confidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 7 intervals interval NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 9 predicted predict VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 10 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 11 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 12 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 241 13 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 2 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 3 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 4 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 5 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 6 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 7 ratio ratio NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 8 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 9 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 10 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 11 close close JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 12 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 14 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 15 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 16 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 18 original original JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 19 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 242 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 2 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 4 across across IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 5 10 10 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 6 randomized randomized JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 7 datasets dataset NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 8 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 10 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 11 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 12 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 13 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 14 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 15 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 16 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 17 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 19 i.e. i.e. FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 20 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 21 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 22 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 23 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 24 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 26 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 27 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 28 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 29 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 30 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 243 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 2 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 3 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 4 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 6 95%CI 95%ci CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 7 presented present VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 9 Table Table NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 10 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 244 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 2 assessed assess VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 3 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 4 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 5 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 9 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 11 infections infection NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 13 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 14 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 15 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 17 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 19 previous previous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 20 section section NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 22 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 23 respect respect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 24 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 25 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 26 times time NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 245 27 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 1 Using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 3 predicted predict VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 5 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 6 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 7 dataset dataset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 10 calculated calculate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 12 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 13 proportions proportion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 14 across across IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 15 all all DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 17 them -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 18 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 19 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 20 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 21 category category NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 22 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 23 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 24 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 25 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 246 26 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 2 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 3 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 5 infections infection NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 6 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 7 DC DC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 8 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 9 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 10 1.37 1.37 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 11 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 13 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 14 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 16 0.78 0.78 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 17 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 18 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 19 0.72 0.72 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 20 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 21 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 22 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 23 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 24 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 25 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 26 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 27 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 247 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 2 CP CP NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 3 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 4 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 6 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 7 quantities quantity NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 8 evaluate evaluate VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 9 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 10 1.9 1.9 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 11 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 12 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 13 1.8 1.8 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 14 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 16 1.3 1.3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 17 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 18 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 19 1.98 1.98 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 20 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 22 respectively respectively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 248 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 1 Overall overall RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 2 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 3 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 4 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 5 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 7 obtained obtain VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 8 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 9 average average JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 10 percentage percentage NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 12 1.25 1.25 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 13 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 14 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 15 1.64 1.64 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 16 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 18 0.81 0.81 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 19 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 20 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 21 1.6 1.6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 22 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 23 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 24 each each DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 25 considered consider VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 26 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 27 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 28 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 249 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 1 All all PDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 3 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 4 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 5 well well RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 6 within within IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 8 95%CIs 95%cis CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 9 predicted predict VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 10 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 12 original original JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 13 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 15 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 17 previous previous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 18 section section NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 19 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 20 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 21 6 6 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 250 23 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 1 All all PDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 3 results result NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 4 presented present VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 5 above above RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 6 assume assume VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 7 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 8 fixed fix VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 9 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 10 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 12 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 13 day day NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 251 14 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 2 tested test VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 4 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 6 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 7 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 8 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 9 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 10 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 11 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 12 examining examine VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 13 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 14 periods period NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 16 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 17 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 18 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 19 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 252 20 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 1 Overall overall RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 4 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 5 expect expect VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 6 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 8 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 9 increase increase VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 10 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 11 compensate compensate VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 12 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 14 shorter short JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 16 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 17 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 18 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 19 thus thus RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 20 slightly slightly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 21 increased increase VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 22 generation generation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 23 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 25 namely namely RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 26 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 27 mean mean JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 28 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 29 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 30 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 31 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 32 one one CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 33 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 34 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 35 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 36 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 37 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 38 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 39 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 40 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 41 cases case NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 42 that that WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 43 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 44 generates generate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 253 46 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 1 Interestingly interestingly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 3 however however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 4 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 6 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 8 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 9 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 10 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 11 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 12 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 13 altered alter VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 14 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 16 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 17 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 18 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 19 varied varied JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 20 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 22 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 23 becoming become VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 24 slightly slightly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 25 less less RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 26 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 27 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 28 increasing increase VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 29 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 30 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 254 31 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 1 For for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 2 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 3 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 4 three three CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 5 days day NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 6 latent latent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 7 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 9 pre pre VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 10 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 11 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 12 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 15 values value NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 17 c c NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 18 dropped drop VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 19 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 20 1.69 1.69 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 22 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 23 1 1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 255 25 _SP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 2 paper paper NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 3 has have VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 4 presented present VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 5 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 6 statistical statistical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 7 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 10 spatiotemporal spatiotemporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 11 evolution evolution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 14 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 15 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 17 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 18 outbreak outbreak NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 19 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 20 GB GB NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 256 21 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 1 Qualitatively qualitatively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 4 results result NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 5 agree agree VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 6 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 7 those those DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 9 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 10 Keeling Keeling NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 11 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 12 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 257 13 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 2 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 4 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 5 identifying identify VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 6 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 7 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 8 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 9 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 10 key key JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 11 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 14 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 258 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 1 Using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 3 interaction interaction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 4 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 5 conditioned condition VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 6 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 7 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 8 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 9 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 10 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 11 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 12 varying vary VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 13 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 14 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 15 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 17 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 18 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 19 88 88 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 20 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 22 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 23 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 259 24 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 1 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 2 Feb-31 Feb-31 NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 3 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 4 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 5 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 6 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 7 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 8 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 9 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 10 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 11 12 12 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 12 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 13 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 14 sheep sheep NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 260 15 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 1 Sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 2 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 3 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 4 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 5 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 6 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 7 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 8 accounts account VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 9 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 10 3.1 3.1 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 11 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 13 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 15 that that DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 16 period period NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 261 17 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 1 After after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 2 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 3 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 4 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 6 when when WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 8 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 9 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 10 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 11 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 12 increased increase VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 13 slightly slightly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 14 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 15 see see VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 16 Table table NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 17 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 19 Allowing allow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 20 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 21 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 22 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 23 random random JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 24 mixing mixing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 25 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 26 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 27 indicates indicate VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 28 contacts contact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 29 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 30 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 31 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 32 assortative assortative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 33 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 34 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 35 basis basis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 36 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 37 species species NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 38 composition composition NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 39 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 40 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 41 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 42 ; ; : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 43 i.e. i.e. FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 44 like like IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 45 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 46 mix mix VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 47 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 48 like like UH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 262 49 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 2 agrees agree VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 3 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 4 intuition intuition NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 5 about about IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 7 nature nature NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 9 farming farming NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 10 practices practice NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 12 e.g. e.g. RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 13 sharing sharing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 15 personnel personnel NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 17 equipment equipment NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 18 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 19 likely likely JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 20 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 21 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 22 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 23 common common JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 24 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 25 2 2 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 26 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 27 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 28 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 29 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 30 livestock livestock NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 31 species specie NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 263 33 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 2 implications implication NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 5 moderate moderate JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 6 degree degree NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 8 assortativity assortativity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 10 found find VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 11 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 12 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 13 measures measure NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 14 remains remain VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 15 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 16 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 17 explored explore VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 264 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 2 did do VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 4 use use VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 5 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 6 collected collect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 7 during during IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 10 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 11 traced trace VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 12 contacts contact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 13 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 14 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 15 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 16 fix fix VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 18 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 19 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 20 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 21 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 22 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 23 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 24 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 25 since since IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 26 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 27 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 28 final final JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 29 version version NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 30 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 31 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 32 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 33 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 34 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 35 warehouse warehouse NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 37 http://www.defra.gov.uk/footandmouth/cases/index.htm http://www.defra.gov.uk/footandmouth/cases/index.htm ADD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 39 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 40 few few JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 41 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 42 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 43 contacts contact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 44 apparently apparently RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 45 identified identify VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 46 early early RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 47 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 48 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 49 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 50 remain remain VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 51 confirmed confirm VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 265 52 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 1 Also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 3 shared share VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 5 concern concern NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 6 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 7 earlier early JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 8 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 9 that that WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 11 distribution distribution NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 13 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 14 distances distance NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 15 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 16 traced trace VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 17 contacts contact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 18 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 19 well well RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 20 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 21 biased bias VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 23 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 266 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 2 therefore therefore RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 3 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 5 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 6 function function NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 7 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 8 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 9 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 10 offset offset NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 11 power power NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 12 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 13 law law NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 14 functional functional JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 15 form form NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 267 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 2 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 3 value value NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 6 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 7 power power NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 8 parameter parameter NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 10 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 11 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 12 23 23 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 13 rd rd NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 14 February February NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 16 2.67 2.67 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 17 vs. vs. CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 18 1.70 1.70 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 19 before before IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 20 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 21 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 22 3a 3a CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 24 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 25 consistent consistent JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 26 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 27 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 28 expected expect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 29 dramatic dramatic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 30 shortening shortening NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 31 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 32 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 33 typical typical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 34 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 35 distance distance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 36 following follow VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 37 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 38 national national JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 39 movement movement NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 40 ban ban NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 268 41 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 2 localized localized JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 3 spread spread VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 4 together together RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 5 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 6 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 7 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 9 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 10 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 11 infectivity infectivity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 13 cattle cattle NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 14 after after IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 15 31 31 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 16 st st NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 17 March March NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 18 explains explain VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 20 long long JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 21 tail tail NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 22 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 23 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 25 seen see VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 26 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 27 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 269 28 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 2 estimating estimate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 4 transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 5 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 6 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 7 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 8 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 10 assumed assume VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 11 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 12 dependence dependence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 13 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 14 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 15 Euclidian euclidian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 16 distance distance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 17 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 18 them -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 270 19 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 2 reality reality NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 3 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 4 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 5 metrics metric NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 7 e.g. e.g. IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 9 time time NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 10 required require VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 11 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 12 travel travel VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 13 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 14 two two CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 15 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 17 might may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 18 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 19 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 20 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 21 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 22 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 23 should should MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 24 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 25 examined examine VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 26 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 27 future future JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 28 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 271 29 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 2 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 3 did do VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 4 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 5 include include VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 6 information information NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 7 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 8 landscape landscape NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 10 e.g. e.g. IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 11 height height NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 12 above above IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 13 sea sea NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 14 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 15 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 16 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 17 location location NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 19 rivers river NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 20 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 21 trees tree NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 22 etc etc FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 272 24 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 3 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 4 maps map NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 6 Figure figure NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 7 4 4 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 9 Figure Figure NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 10 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 12 match match VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 13 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 14 areas area NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 17 country country NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 18 where where WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 19 highest high JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 20 case case NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 21 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 22 rates rate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 23 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 273 24 seen see VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 274 1 -with -with . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 275 1 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 275 2 notable notable JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 275 3 exception exception NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 275 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 275 5 Wales Wales NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 275 6 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 2 discrepancy discrepancy NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 3 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 5 high high JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 6 predicted predict VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 7 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 9 Wales Wales NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 11 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 12 small small JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 13 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 15 cases case NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 16 observed observe VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 17 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 18 reflect reflect VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 19 inaccuracies inaccuracy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 20 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 22 input input NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 23 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 24 set set VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 25 -Keeling -keeling FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 26 et et FW cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 27 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 276 28 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 2 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 4 reduced reduce VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 5 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 6 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 7 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 8 sheep sheep NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 9 population population NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 10 numbers number NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 11 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 12 30 30 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 13 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 15 Wales Wales NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 17 obtained obtain VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 18 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 19 better well JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 20 geographic geographic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 21 match match NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 22 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 23 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 24 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 26 Matt Matt NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 27 Keeling Keeling NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 28 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 29 personal personal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 30 communication communication NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 277 32 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 3 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 4 discrepancy discrepancy NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 5 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 6 also also RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 7 reflect reflect VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 8 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 9 inadequacy inadequacy NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 278 10 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 2 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 4 here here RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 5 allowed allow VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 7 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 8 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 9 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 10 level level NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 11 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 12 factors factor NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 13 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 14 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 15 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 16 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 17 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 18 fragmentation fragmentation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 19 index index NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 20 considered consider VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 21 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 22 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 23 et et NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 24 al al NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 279 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 280 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 280 2 3 3 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 280 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 280 4 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 2 have have VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 4 explored explore VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 5 more more RBR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 6 complex complex JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 7 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 8 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 9 linear linear JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 10 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 11 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 13 dependence dependence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 14 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 15 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 16 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 17 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 18 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 19 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 20 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 22 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 23 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 24 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 25 farm farm NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 26 or or CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 27 relaxed relax VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 28 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 29 implicit implicit JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 30 assumption assumption NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 31 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 32 contact contact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 33 rates rate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 34 between between IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 35 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 36 scale scale VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 37 linearly linearly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 38 with with IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 39 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 40 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 41 density density NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 42 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 43 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 281 44 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 1 All all PDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 2 these these DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 3 assumptions assumption NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 4 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 5 being be VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 6 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 7 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 8 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 9 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 282 10 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 2 most most RBS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 3 important important JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 4 issue issue NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 5 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 6 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 7 revised revise VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 9 future future JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 10 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 11 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 12 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 13 allow allow VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 15 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 16 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 17 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 18 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 19 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 20 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 21 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 22 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 23 IPs ip NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 24 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 25 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 26 potentially potentially RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 27 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 28 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 29 infectious infectious JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 30 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 31 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 32 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 283 33 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 2 requires require VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 3 modification modification NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 4 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 5 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 6 inference inference NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 7 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 8 used use VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 9 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 10 allow allow VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 11 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 12 an an DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 13 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 14 number number NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 16 unobserved unobserved JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 17 infections infection NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 284 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 2 very very RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 3 low low JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 4 numbers number NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 6 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 7 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 8 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 10 estimated estimate VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 11 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 12 infected infected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 13 suggested suggest VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 14 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 16 effect effect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 18 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 19 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 20 refinement refinement NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 21 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 22 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 23 limited limit VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 285 24 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 2 should should MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 3 be be VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 4 noted note VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 5 though though IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 6 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 7 these these DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 8 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 9 prevalence prevalence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 10 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 11 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 12 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 13 part part NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 14 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 15 result result NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 17 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 18 relatively relatively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 19 non non JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 20 - - JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 21 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 22 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 23 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 24 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 286 25 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 1 If if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 2 kernel kernel NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 4 change change VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 5 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 6 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 7 refined refined JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 8 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 9 -and -and : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 10 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 11 DCs dc NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 12 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 13 attributed attribute VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 14 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 15 much much RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 16 higher high JJR cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 17 risk risk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 19 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 20 than than IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 21 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 22 here here RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 23 due due IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 24 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 25 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 26 status status NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 287 27 -then -then . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 1 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 2 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 3 possible possible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 4 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 6 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 7 rates rate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 9 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 11 other other JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 12 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 13 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 14 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 15 may may MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 16 increase increase VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 17 somewhat somewhat RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 288 18 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 1 However however RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 2 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 3 even even RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 4 if if IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 5 these these DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 6 factors factor NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 7 increased increase VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 10 infection infection NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 11 prevalence prevalence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 12 among among IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 13 proactively proactively RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 14 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 15 farms farm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 16 5 5 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 17 fold fold VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 19 which which WDT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 20 seems seem VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 21 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 22 from from IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 23 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 24 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 26 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 27 it -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 28 would would MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 29 still still RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 30 mean mean VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 31 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 32 only only RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 33 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 34 small small JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 35 proportion proportion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 37 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 38 10 10 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 39 % % NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 41 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 42 DCs DCs NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 43 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 44 CPs cp NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 45 culled cull VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 46 were be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 47 infected infect VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 289 48 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 1 This this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 2 does do VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 3 not not RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 4 imply imply VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 5 that that IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 6 proactive proactive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 7 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 8 had have VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 9 no no DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 10 effect effect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 11 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 12 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 290 14 -as -as ADD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 1 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 2 largest large JJS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 3 expected expected JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 4 effect effect NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 6 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 7 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 8 is be VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 9 via via IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 11 targeted target VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 12 depletion depletion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 15 animals animal NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 291 16 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 1 In in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 2 this this DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 3 regard regard NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 4 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 5 proactive proactive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 6 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 7 has have VBZ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 8 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 9 same same JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 10 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 11 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 12 as as IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 13 vaccination vaccination NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 292 14 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 1 Future future JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 2 work work NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 3 will will MD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 4 revisit revisit VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 5 past past JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 6 estimates estimate NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 7 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 8 exactly exactly RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 9 how how WRB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 10 important important JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 11 such such JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 12 culling culling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 13 was be VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 16 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 18 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 19 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 20 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 293 22 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 2 pathogenesis pathogenesis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 3 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 4 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 5 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 6 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 7 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 8 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 9 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 10 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 294 11 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 2 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 4 local local JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 5 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 6 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 7 alternative alternative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 8 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 9 strategies strategy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 10 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 11 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 12 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 13 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 14 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 15 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 16 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 17 Transmission transmission NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 18 intensity intensity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 19 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 20 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 21 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 22 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 23 policies policy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 24 on on IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 25 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 26 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 27 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 28 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 30 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 31 Great Great NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 295 32 Britain Britain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 2 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 3 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 4 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 5 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 6 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 8 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 9 Great Great NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 10 Britain Britain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 11 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 12 Pattern pattern NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 13 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 14 spread spread NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 15 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 16 impact impact NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 17 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 19 Dynamics dynamic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 20 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 21 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 22 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 23 UK UK NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 24 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 25 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 26 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 28 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 29 Stochastic stochastic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 30 dispersal dispersal NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 31 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 32 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 33 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 34 landscape landscape NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 35 Modelling model VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 36 vaccination vaccination NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 37 strategies strategy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 38 against against IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 39 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 40 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 41 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 42 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 43 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 44 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 45 Predictive predictive JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 46 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 47 modelling modelling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 48 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 49 alternative alternative JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 50 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 51 strategies strategy NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 52 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 53 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 54 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 55 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 56 andmouth andmouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 57 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 58 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 59 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 60 Great Great NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 61 Britain Britain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 62 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 63 modelling modelling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 64 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 65 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 66 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 67 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 68 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 69 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 70 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 71 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 72 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 73 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 74 Strengths strength NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 75 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 296 76 weaknesses weakness NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 2 role role NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 5 modelling modelling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 6 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 7 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 8 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 9 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 10 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 11 2001 2001 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 12 FMD FMD NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 14 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 15 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 16 UK UK NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 17 Models Models NNPS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 18 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 19 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 20 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 21 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 22 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 23 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 24 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 25 Different different JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 27 curves curve NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 28 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 29 severe severe JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 30 acute acute JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 31 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 32 syndrome syndrome NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 33 reveal reveal VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 34 similar similar JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 35 impacts impact NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 36 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 37 control control NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 38 measures measure NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 39 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 40 chain chain NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 41 Monte Monte NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 42 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 43 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 44 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 45 fitting fit VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 46 spatiotemporal spatiotemporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 47 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 48 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 49 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 50 plant plant NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 51 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 52 Likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 53 estimation estimation NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 54 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 55 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 56 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 57 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 58 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 59 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 60 chain chain NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 61 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 62 Estimating estimate VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 63 parameters parameter NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 64 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 65 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 66 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 67 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 68 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 69 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 70 chain chain NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 71 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 72 Modelling model VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 73 antigenic antigenic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 74 drift drift NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 75 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 76 weekly weekly JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 77 flu flu NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 78 incidence incidence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 79 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 80 inference inference NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 81 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 82 partially partially RB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 83 observed observe VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 84 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 297 85 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 2 importance importance NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 3 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 4 immediate immediate JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 5 destruction destruction NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 6 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 7 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 8 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 9 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 10 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 11 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 12 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 13 Statistics statistic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 14 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 15 spatial spatial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 16 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 17 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 18 Wiley Wiley NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 19 Series Series NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 20 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 21 Probability Probability NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 22 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 23 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 298 24 Statistics Statistics NNPS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 1 Spatio Spatio NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 2 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 3 temporal temporal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 4 point point NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 5 processes process NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 6 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 7 partial partial JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 8 likelihood likelihood NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 9 , , , cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 10 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 11 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 12 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 13 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 14 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 15 measures measure NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 16 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 17 model model NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 18 complexity complexity NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 19 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 20 fit fit VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 21 Monte Monte NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 22 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 23 sampling sampling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 24 using use VBG cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 25 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 26 chains chain NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 27 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 28 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 29 applications application NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 30 Teller Teller NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 31 E E NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 33 1953 1953 CD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 35 Equations Equations NNPS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 36 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 37 state state NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 38 calculations calculation NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 39 by by IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 40 fast fast JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 41 computing computing NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 42 machines machine NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 43 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 44 Data Data NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 45 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 46 Markov Markov NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 47 Chain Chain NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 48 Monte Monte NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 49 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 50 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 51 Practice Practice NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 52 Advances Advances NNPS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 53 in in IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 54 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 55 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 56 a a DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 57 discussion discussion NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 58 Weak weak JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 59 convergence convergence NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 60 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 61 optimal optimal JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 62 scaling scaling NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 63 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 64 random random JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 299 65 walk walk NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 1 Metropolis Metropolis NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 2 Hastings Hastings NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 3 algorithms algorithm NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 4 MCMC MCMC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 5 methods method NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 6 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 7 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 9 models model NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 10 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 11 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 12 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 13 experimental experimental JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 14 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 15 of of IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 16 foot foot NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 17 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 18 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 19 - - HYPH cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 20 mouth mouth NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 300 21 disease disease NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 1 The the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 2 authors author NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 3 wish wish VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 4 to to TO cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 5 thank thank VB cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 6 Christl Christl NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 7 Donnelly Donnelly NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 8 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 9 useful useful JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 10 discussions discussion NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 301 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 2 are be VBP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 3 grateful grateful JJ cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 4 to to IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 5 DEFRA DEFRA NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 6 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 7 BBSRC BBSRC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 8 for for IN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 9 research research NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 10 funding funding NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 302 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 1 Conceived conceive VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 2 and and CC cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 3 designed design VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 4 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 5 experiments experiment NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 6 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 7 NF NF NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 8 IC IC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 303 9 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 304 1 Performed perform VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 304 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 304 3 experiments experiment NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 304 4 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 304 5 IC IC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 304 6 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 305 1 Analyzed analyze VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 305 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 305 3 data datum NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 305 4 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 305 5 IC IC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 305 6 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 1 Contributed contribute VBN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 2 reagents reagent NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 3 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 4 materials material NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 5 / / SYM cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 6 analysis analysis NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 7 tools tool NNS cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 8 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 9 NF NF NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 10 IC IC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 306 11 . . . cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 1 Wrote write VBD cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 2 the the DT cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 3 paper paper NN cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 4 : : : cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 5 NF NF NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 6 IC IC NNP cord-048353-hqc7u9w3 307 7 . . .