id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-286837-j2sqs20q Koetsier, Antonie Do Intensive Care Data on Respiratory Infections Reflect Influenza Epidemics? 2013-12-31 .txt text/plain 4526 210 49 METHODS: We calculated the time lag and correlation between ILI incidence (from ILI sentinel surveillance, based on general practitioners (GP) consultations) and percentages of ICU admissions with a respiratory infection (from the Dutch National Intensive Care Registry) over the years 2003–2011. In the season 2009/2010 as well as in the season 2010/2011, ILI incidence as measured by GP sentinel practices, reached the epidemic threshold of 5.1 consultations per 10.000 enlisted patients at a time when already more than 100 patients had been hospitalized, with several ICU admissions and deaths from laboratory confirmed Influenza (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, unpublished surveillance data). In our study we built three additive Poisson GEE regression models with ICU data to predict the incidence of ILI patients, thereby detecting influenza epidemics and aimed at detecting opportunities for enhancing the current national surveillance method. ./cache/cord-286837-j2sqs20q.txt ./txt/cord-286837-j2sqs20q.txt