id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	2	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	3	cord-289422	cord-289422	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	5	5z012sr6	5z012sr6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	6	authors	author	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	7	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	8	Kuniya	Kuniya	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	9	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	10	Toshikazu	Toshikazu	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	11	title	title	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	12	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	13	Prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	14	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	15	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	16	Epidemic	Epidemic	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	17	Peak	Peak	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	18	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	19	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	20	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	21	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	22	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	23	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	24	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	25	date	date	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	26	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	27	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	29	03	03	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	30	-	-	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	31	13	13	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	32	journal	journal	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	33	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	34	J	J	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	35	Clin	Clin	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	36	Med	Med	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	37	DOI	doi	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	1	38	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	2	1	10.3390	10.3390	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	2	2	/	/	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	2	3	jcm9030789	jcm9030789	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	2	4	sha	sha	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	2	5	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	3	1	7a9333d1362a5cea5d7bccf227cf049f8fbca0ee	7a9333d1362a5cea5d7bccf227cf049f8fbca0ee	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	3	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	3	3	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	4	1	289422	289422	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	4	2	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	4	3	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	4	4	5z012sr6	5z012sr6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	2	first	first	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	3	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	4	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	5	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	7	2019	2019	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	11	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	12	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	13	was	be	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	15	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	16	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	17	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	19	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	20	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	21	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	22	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	23	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	25	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	26	increased	increase	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	27	day	day	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	28	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	29	day	day	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	5	30	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	2	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	3	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	4	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	5	study	study	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	7	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	8	give	give	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	9	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	10	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	11	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	14	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	15	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	17	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	18	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	19	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	20	using	use	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	21	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	22	real	real	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	24	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	26	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	27	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	28	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	29	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	30	29	29	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	31	February	February	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	6	33	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	1	Taking	take	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	2	into	into	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	3	account	account	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	6	due	due	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	7	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	8	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	9	incomplete	incomplete	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	10	identification	identification	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	11	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	12	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	13	population	population	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	14	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	15	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	16	apply	apply	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	17	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	18	well	well	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	20	known	know	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	21	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	22	compartmental	compartmental	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	23	model	model	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	24	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	25	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	26	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	7	27	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	1	By	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	2	using	use	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	3	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	4	least	least	JJS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	6	square	square	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	8	based	base	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	9	method	method	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	10	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	11	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	12	noise	noise	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	13	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	15	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	16	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	17	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	18	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	19	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	20	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	21	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	22	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	23	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	24	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	25	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	27	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	28	Formula	formula	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	29	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	30	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	31	text	text	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	8	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	3	Formula	formula	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	4	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	5	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	6	text	text	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	9	7	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	10	1	CI	CI	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	10	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	2	Formula	formula	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	3	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	4	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	5	text	text	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	11	7	–	–	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	2	Formula	formula	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	3	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	4	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	5	text	text	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	8	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	9	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	10	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	11	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	12	could	could	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	13	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	14	reach	reach	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	15	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	16	early	early	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	18	middle	middle	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	19	summer	summer	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	12	20	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	5	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	6	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	7	following	follow	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	8	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	9	insights	insight	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	10	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	12	1	1	LS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	14	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	15	essential	essential	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	17	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	19	less	less	RBR
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	20	likely	likely	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	21	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	22	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	23	affected	affect	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	24	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	25	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	26	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	27	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	28	identification	identification	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	29	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	30	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	31	actual	actual	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	32	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	33	population	population	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	34	;	;	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	36	2	2	LS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	37	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	38	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	39	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	40	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	41	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	42	positive	positive	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	43	effect	effect	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	44	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	45	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	46	delay	delay	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	47	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	48	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	49	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	50	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	51	;	;	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	52	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	53	3	3	LS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	54	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	55	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	56	over	over	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	57	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	58	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	59	long	long	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	60	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	61	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	62	needed	need	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	63	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	64	effectively	effectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	65	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	66	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	67	final	final	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	68	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	69	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	13	70	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	2	December	December	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	3	2019	2019	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	5	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	6	first	first	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	7	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	8	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	9	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	11	caused	cause	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	12	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	13	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	14	novel	novel	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	15	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	16	was	be	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	17	identified	identify	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	18	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	19	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	20	City	City	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	21	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	22	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	23	Province	Province	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	24	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	25	China	China	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	14	26	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	2	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	3	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	5	disease	disease	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	7	ongoing	ongoing	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	8	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	9	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	10	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	11	World	World	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	12	Health	Health	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	13	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	14	named	name	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	16	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	18	2019	2019	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	20	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	22	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	23	11	11	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	24	February	February	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	25	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	26	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	27	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	28	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	15	29	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	2	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	5	first	first	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	6	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	7	was	be	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	9	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	10	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	11	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	13	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	14	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	15	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	16	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	17	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	18	laboratory	laboratory	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	20	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	21	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	23	per	per	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	24	week	week	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	25	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	26	increased	increase	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	27	day	day	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	28	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	29	day	day	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	31	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	32	Table	table	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	33	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	16	35	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	1	As	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	2	seen	see	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	3	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	4	Table	Table	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	5	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	6	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	8	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	9	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	10	newly	newly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	11	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	13	per	per	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	14	week	week	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	15	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	16	increased	increase	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	17	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	18	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	19	serious	serious	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	20	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	21	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	22	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	24	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	25	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	26	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	17	27	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	1	One	one	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	2	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	4	greatest	great	JJS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	5	public	public	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	6	concerns	concern	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	8	whether	whether	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	9	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	10	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	11	continues	continue	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	12	until	until	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	13	summer	summer	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	14	so	so	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	15	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	16	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	17	affects	affect	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	18	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	19	Summer	Summer	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	20	Olympics	Olympics	NNPS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	21	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	22	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	24	planned	plan	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	25	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	26	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	27	held	hold	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	28	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	29	Tokyo	Tokyo	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	18	30	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	2	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	3	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	4	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	5	study	study	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	7	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	8	give	give	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	9	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	10	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	11	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	14	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	15	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	17	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	18	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	19	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	20	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	21	might	may	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	22	help	help	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	23	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	24	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	25	act	act	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	26	appropriately	appropriately	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	27	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	28	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	29	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	30	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	31	risk	risk	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	19	32	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	4	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	5	shown	show	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	6	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	7	Table	Table	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	8	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	9	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	10	have	have	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	11	mainly	mainly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	12	twofold	twofold	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	20	14	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	2	first	first	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	3	one	one	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	5	due	due	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	6	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	8	fact	fact	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	9	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	10	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	12	people	people	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	13	could	could	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	14	spread	spread	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	15	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	16	infection	infection	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	18	3	3	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	21	20	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	2	second	second	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	3	one	one	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	5	due	due	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	6	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	8	lack	lack	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	9	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	10	opportunity	opportunity	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	11	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	13	diagnostic	diagnostic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	14	test	test	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	15	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	16	sufficiently	sufficiently	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	17	simple	simple	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	18	diagnostic	diagnostic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	19	test	test	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	20	kits	kit	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	21	have	have	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	22	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	23	been	be	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	24	developed	develop	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	25	yet	yet	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	26	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	27	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	28	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	29	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	30	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	31	early	early	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	32	stage	stage	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	33	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	34	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	35	was	be	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	36	mainly	mainly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	37	restricted	restrict	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	38	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	39	people	people	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	40	who	who	WP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	41	visited	visit	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	42	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	43	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	44	4	4	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	45	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	22	46	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	2	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	3	study	study	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	5	taking	take	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	6	into	into	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	7	account	account	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	8	such	such	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	9	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	10	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	12	apply	apply	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	13	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	14	simple	simple	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	15	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	16	well	well	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	18	known	know	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	19	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	20	model	model	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	21	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	22	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	23	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	23	24	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	1	More	more	RBR
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	2	precisely	precisely	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	6	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	7	only	only	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	8	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	10	0	0	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	11	<	<	XX
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	12	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	13	≤	≤	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	14	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	16	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	17	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	18	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	19	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	20	can	can	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	21	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	22	identified	identify	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	23	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	24	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	24	25	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	2	apply	apply	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	4	following	follow	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	5	well	well	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	7	known	know	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	8	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	9	compartmental	compartmental	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	10	model	model	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	12	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	13	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	14	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	15	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	17	5	5	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	20	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	21	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	22	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	25	23	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	1	where	where	WRB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	2	S(t	S(t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	5	E(t	E(t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	7	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	8	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	10	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	11	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	26	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	1	denote	denote	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	2	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	3	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	5	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	6	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	7	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	8	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	9	removed	remove	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	10	populations	population	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	11	at	at	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	12	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	13	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	14	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	15	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	27	16	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	1	β	β	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	3	ε	ε	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	4	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	5	γ	γ	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	6	denote	denote	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	8	infection	infection	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	10	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	12	onset	onset	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	14	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	15	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	16	removal	removal	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	18	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	19	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	28	20	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	1	Note	note	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	2	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	3	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	4	/	/	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	5	ε	ε	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	6	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	7	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	8	/	/	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	9	γ	γ	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	10	imply	imply	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	12	average	average	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	13	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	14	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	15	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	16	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	17	average	average	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	18	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	19	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	20	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	21	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	29	22	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	1	Let	let	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	2	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	3	unit	unit	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	4	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	5	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	6	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	7	day	day	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	30	8	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	2	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	4	previous	previous	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	5	studies	study	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	7	6	6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	8	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	9	7	7	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	11	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	13	fix	fix	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	31	14	1/	1/	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	32	1	ε	ε	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	1	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	2	5	5	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	4	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	5	thus	thus	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	6	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	7	ε	ε	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	8	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	9	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	10	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	11	γ	γ	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	12	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	13	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	14	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	15	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	33	16	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	34	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	34	2	fix	fix	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	34	3	S	s	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	35	1	+	+	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	36	1	E	E	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	37	1	+	+	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	2	+	+	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	3	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	4	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	5	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	6	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	7	so	so	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	8	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	9	each	each	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	10	population	population	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	11	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	13	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	14	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	15	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	16	total	total	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	17	population	population	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	38	18	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	3	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	4	one	one	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	5	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	6	person	person	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	8	identified	identify	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	9	at	at	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	10	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	11	t	t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	12	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	13	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	14	among	among	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	15	total	total	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	16	N	n	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	17	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	18	1.26	1.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	19	×	×	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	20	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	21	8	8	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	22	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	23	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	24	people	people	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	25	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	26	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	27	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	28	8	8	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	29	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	39	30	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	1	That	that	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	2	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	4	denotes	denote	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	5	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	6	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	7	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	8	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	9	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	10	who	who	WP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	11	are	be	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	12	identified	identify	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	13	at	at	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	14	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	40	15	t.	t.	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	41	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	41	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	41	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	41	4	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	41	5	I(0	I(0	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	41	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	42	1	=	=	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	1	1/(p	1/(p	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	2	×	×	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	3	1.26	1.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	4	×	×	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	5	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	6	8	8	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	43	8	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	3	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	4	there	there	EX
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	6	no	no	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	7	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	8	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	9	removed	remove	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	10	populations	population	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	11	at	at	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	12	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	13	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	14	0	0	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	15	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	16	that	that	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	17	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	18	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	19	E(0	E(0	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	44	21	=	=	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	45	1	R(0	R(0	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	45	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	45	3	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	45	4	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	45	5	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	45	6	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	1	hence	hence	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	3	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	4	was	be	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	6	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	7	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	8	9	9	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	9	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	10	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	11	77	77	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	13	were	be	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	14	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	15	among	among	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	16	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	17	possible	possible	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	18	940	940	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	19	infected	infected	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	20	population	population	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	21	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	22	February	February	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	23	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	24	Hokkaido	Hokkaido	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	25	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	26	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	46	27	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	2	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	3	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	4	report	report	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	5	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	7	assume	assume	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	8	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	9	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	10	ranges	range	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	11	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	12	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	13	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	14	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	47	15	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	2	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	3	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	4	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	5	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	6	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	7	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	8	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	9	means	mean	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	10	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	11	expected	expect	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	12	value	value	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	13	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	14	secondary	secondary	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	16	produced	produce	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	17	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	18	one	one	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	19	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	20	individual	individual	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	22	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	24	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	26	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	27	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	28	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	29	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	30	eigenvalue	eigenvalue	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	31	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	32	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	33	next	next	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	34	generation	generation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	35	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	36	FV	FV	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	37	−1	−1	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	38	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	39	11	11	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	40	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	41	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	42	where	where	WRB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	43	Thus	thus	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	44	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	45	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	46	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	47	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	48	2	2	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	48	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	3	obvious	obvious	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	4	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	5	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	6	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	7	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	8	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	9	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	10	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	12	independent	independent	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	13	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	14	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	15	onset	onset	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	16	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	17	ε	ε	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	49	18	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	2	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	3	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	4	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	5	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	6	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	7	other	other	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	8	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	9	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	10	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	11	γ	γ	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	12	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	13	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	14	are	be	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	15	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	16	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	17	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	18	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	19	where	where	WRB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	20	A	A	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	21	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	22	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	23	A	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	24	γ	γ	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	25	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	26	A	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	27	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	28	denote	denote	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	29	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	30	normalized	normalized	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	31	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	32	indexes	index	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	33	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	34	respect	respect	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	35	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	36	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	37	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	38	γ	γ	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	39	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	40	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	41	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	42	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	50	43	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	2	see	see	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	3	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	4	Equation	equation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	6	3	3	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	8	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	9	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	10	k	k	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	11	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	12	's	's	POS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	13	increase	increase	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	14	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	15	β	β	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	17	resp	resp	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	18	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	19	γ	γ	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	21	results	result	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	22	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	23	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	24	k	k	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	26	resp	resp	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	51	27	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	1	k	k	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	2	−1	−1	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	4	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	5	's	's	POS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	6	increase	increase	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	7	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	8	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	9	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	52	10	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	2	particular	particular	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	5	see	see	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	6	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	8	third	third	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	9	equation	equation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	10	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	11	Equation	equation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	13	3	3	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	53	15	 	 	_SP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	1	This	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	2	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	3	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	5	identification	identification	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	7	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	8	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	9	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	10	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	11	range	range	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	12	almost	almost	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	13	does	do	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	14	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	15	affect	affect	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	16	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	17	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	18	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	19	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	20	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	54	21	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	1	Let	let	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	2	y(t	y(t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	5	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	6	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	7	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	8	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	9	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	10	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	11	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	12	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	55	13	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	1	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	2	45	45	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	3	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	5	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	6	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	7	daily	daily	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	10	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	11	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	12	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	13	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	14	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	15	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	16	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	18	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	19	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	20	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	22	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	23	29	29	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	56	24	February	February	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	2	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	3	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	4	45	45	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	57	7	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	2	perform	perform	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	4	following	follow	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	5	least	least	JJS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	7	square	square	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	9	based	base	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	10	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	11	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	12	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	13	noise	noise	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	14	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	15	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	16	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	19	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	58	20	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	2	P1	P1	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	4	Fix	fix	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	5	β	β	XX
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	6	>	>	XX
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	7	0	0	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	8	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	9	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	10	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	11	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	12	value	value	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	13	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	14	Y(t	Y(t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	16	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	17	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	18	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	19	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	20	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	21	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	22	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	23	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	24	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	59	25	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	1	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	2	45	45	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	3	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	4	using	use	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	5	model	model	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	6	Equation	equation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	8	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	60	10	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	1	where	where	WRB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	3	t	t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	5	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	6	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	7	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	8	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	9	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	10	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	11	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	12	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	13	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	61	14	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	1	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	2	45	45	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	3	denote	denote	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	4	random	random	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	5	variables	variable	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	6	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	7	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	8	normal	normal	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	9	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	10	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	11	mean	mean	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	12	zero	zero	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	13	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	14	variance	variance	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	15	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	17	12	12	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	62	19	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	1	Note	note	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	2	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	3	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	5	reason	reason	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	6	stated	state	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	7	above	above	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	8	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	9	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	10	value	value	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	11	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	12	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	13	≤	≤	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	14	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	15	≤	≤	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	16	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	17	does	do	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	18	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	19	affect	affect	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	20	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	21	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	22	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	63	23	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	1	By	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	3	P1)-(P6	P1)-(P6	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	5	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	7	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	8	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	9	normal	normal	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	11	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	12	mean	mean	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	13	0.26	0.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	14	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	15	standard	standard	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	16	derivation	derivation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	17	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	64	18	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	4	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	5	an	an	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	6	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	7	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	8	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	9	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	10	0.26	0.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	12	95%CI	95%ci	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	13	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	14	0.24	0.24	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	16	0.28	0.28	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	19	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	20	Figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	21	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	65	23	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	3	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	4	Equation	equation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	6	2	2	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	8	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	10	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	11	an	an	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	12	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	13	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	14	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	15	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	16	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	17	2.6	2.6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	19	95%CI	95%ci	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	20	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	21	2.4	2.4	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	22	-	-	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	23	2.8	2.8	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	26	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	27	Table	Table	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	28	2	2	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	30	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	66	31	 	 	_SP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	67	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	67	2	define	define	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	67	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	67	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	67	5	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	67	6	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	1	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	2	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	4	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	5	such	such	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	6	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	7	Y	Y	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	8	attains	attain	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	9	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	10	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	11	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	12	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	13	year	year	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	68	14	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	69	1	that	that	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	69	2	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	69	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	69	4	Y(t	y(t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	70	1	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	70	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	70	3	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	70	4	max	max	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	70	5	0≤t≤365	0≤t≤365	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	71	1	Y(t	y(t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	71	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	71	3	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	2	first	first	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	3	set	set	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	4	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	5	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	6	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	72	7	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	2	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	3	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	6	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	8	following	following	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	9	figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	10	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	12	long	long	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	13	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	14	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	15	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	16	Y(t	Y(t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	18	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	19	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	20	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	21	0.28	0.28	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	22	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	23	0.26	0.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	24	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	25	0.24	0.24	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	73	26	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	2	see	see	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	3	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	4	Figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	5	2	2	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	6	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	8	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	10	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	74	12	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	1	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	2	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	3	208	208	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	5	95%CI	95%ci	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	6	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	7	191	191	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	8	-	-	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	9	229	229	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	75	11	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	1	That	that	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	2	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	4	starting	start	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	5	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	6	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	7	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	9	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	10	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	11	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	13	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	14	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	15	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	17	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	19	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	20	August	August	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	22	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	23	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	24	208	208	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	26	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	27	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	28	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	29	range	range	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	31	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	32	24	24	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	33	July	July	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	35	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	36	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	37	191	191	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	39	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	40	31	31	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	41	August	August	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	43	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	44	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	45	229	229	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	76	47	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	2	next	next	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	3	set	set	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	4	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	5	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	6	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	77	7	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	2	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	3	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	6	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	8	following	following	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	9	figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	78	10	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	2	see	see	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	3	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	4	Figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	5	3	3	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	6	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	8	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	10	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	79	12	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	1	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	2	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	3	179	179	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	5	95%CI	95%ci	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	6	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	80	7	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	1	That	that	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	2	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	4	starting	start	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	5	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	6	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	7	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	9	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	10	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	81	11	0	0	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	1	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	5	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	6	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	8	July	July	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	82	9	12	12	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	83	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	83	2	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	83	3	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	83	4	179	179	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	83	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	1	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	2	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	4	range	range	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	6	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	7	June	June	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	84	8	28	28	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	2	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	3	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	4	165	165	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	6	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	7	July	July	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	85	8	30	30	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	86	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	86	2	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	86	3	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	86	4	197	197	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	86	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	86	6	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	3	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	4	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	5	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	6	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	8	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	9	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	10	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	13	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	16	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	17	are	be	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	18	sensitive	sensitive	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	19	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	20	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	21	identification	identification	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	22	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	23	p.	p.	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	24	Note	note	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	25	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	26	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	27	essential	essential	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	28	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	29	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	30	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	31	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	33	characterized	characterize	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	34	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	35	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	36	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	37	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	38	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	39	almost	almost	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	40	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	41	same	same	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	42	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	43	both	both	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	44	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	45	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	46	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	47	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	48	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	49	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	50	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	51	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	52	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	87	53	 	 	_SP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	2	next	next	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	3	discuss	discuss	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	5	effect	effect	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	6	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	7	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	88	8	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	2	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	4	school	school	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	5	closure	closure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	7	started	start	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	8	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	9	almost	almost	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	10	all	all	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	11	prefectures	prefecture	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	12	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	13	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	14	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	15	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	16	March	March	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	18	13	13	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	20	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	21	many	many	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	22	social	social	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	23	events	event	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	24	have	have	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	25	been	be	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	26	cancelled	cancel	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	27	off	off	RP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	28	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	29	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	30	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	31	contact	contact	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	32	risk	risk	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	89	33	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	1	However	however	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	4	exact	exact	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	5	effect	effect	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	6	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	7	such	such	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	8	social	social	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	9	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	11	unclear	unclear	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	12	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	13	might	may	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	14	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	15	limited	limit	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	16	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	17	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	18	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	19	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	20	young	young	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	21	people	people	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	22	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	23	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	24	whole	whole	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	25	infected	infected	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	26	people	people	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	27	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	28	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	29	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	30	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	31	so	so	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	32	high	high	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	34	2	2	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	35	%	%	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	36	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	37	72	72	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	38	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	39	314	314	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	40	reported	report	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	41	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	42	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	43	China	China	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	44	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	45	14	14	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	46	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	90	48	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	2	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	3	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	6	assume	assume	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	7	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	8	such	such	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	9	social	social	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	10	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	11	successfully	successfully	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	12	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	13	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	14	infection	infection	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	16	β	β	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	17	=	=	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	18	0.26	0.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	19	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	20	75	75	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	21	%	%	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	22	during	during	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	23	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	24	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	25	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	26	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	27	March	March	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	29	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	30	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	31	46	46	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	33	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	34	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	35	planned	planned	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	36	day	day	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	38	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	39	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	40	T	T	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	41	≥	≥	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	42	47	47	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	91	44	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	2	what	what	WP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	3	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	6	fix	fix	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	7	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	8	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	9	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	92	10	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	1	First	first	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	4	set	set	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	5	T	T	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	6	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	7	77	77	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	8	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	9	that	that	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	10	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	11	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	13	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	15	carried	carry	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	16	out	out	RP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	17	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	18	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	19	month	month	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	21	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	22	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	23	March	March	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	24	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	25	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	26	April	April	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	93	28	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	2	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	3	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	5	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	6	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	7	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	8	t	t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	9	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	11	delayed	delay	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	12	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	13	179	179	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	15	12	12	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	16	July	July	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	18	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	19	190	190	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	21	23	23	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	22	July	July	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	94	24	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	1	However	however	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	3	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	5	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	7	almost	almost	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	8	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	9	same	same	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	95	10	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	1	On	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	2	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	3	other	other	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	5	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	6	if	if	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	7	T	T	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	8	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	9	220	220	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	10	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	11	that	that	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	12	is	is	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	13	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	14	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	15	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	17	carried	carry	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	18	out	out	RP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	19	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	20	6	6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	21	months	month	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	23	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	24	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	25	March	March	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	26	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	27	1	1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	28	September	September	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	30	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	31	then	then	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	32	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	33	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	34	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	35	t	t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	36	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	38	delayed	delay	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	39	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	40	179	179	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	42	12	12	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	43	July	July	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	45	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	46	243	243	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	47	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	48	14	14	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	49	September	September	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	51	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	52	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	53	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	54	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	55	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	56	effectively	effectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	57	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	58	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	59	see	see	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	60	Figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	61	4	4	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	62	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	96	63	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	1	More	more	RBR
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	2	precisely	precisely	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	5	see	see	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	6	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	7	Figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	8	5a	5a	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	9	that	that	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	10	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	12	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	13	t	t	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	14	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	16	delayed	delay	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	17	almost	almost	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	18	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	19	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	20	47	47	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	21	≤	≤	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	22	T	T	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	23	≤	≤	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	24	239	239	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	25	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	26	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	27	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	97	28	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	1	*	*	NFP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	2	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	3	237	237	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	4	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	5	T	T	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	6	≥	≥	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	7	240	240	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	98	8	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	1	This	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	2	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	3	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	5	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	7	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	8	positive	positive	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	9	effect	effect	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	10	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	12	delay	delay	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	13	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	14	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	16	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	17	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	18	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	19	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	20	contribute	contribute	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	21	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	22	improve	improve	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	23	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	24	medical	medical	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	25	environment	environment	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	26	utilizing	utilize	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	27	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	28	extra	extra	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	29	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	30	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	99	31	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	1	On	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	2	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	3	other	other	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	5	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	7	see	see	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	8	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	9	Figure	figure	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	10	5b	5b	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	11	that	that	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	13	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	14	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	15	accumulated	accumulate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	17	at	at	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	18	t	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	19	=	=	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	20	365	365	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	21	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	22	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	24	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	25	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	26	pR(365	pr(365	LS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	28	×	×	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	29	1.26	1.26	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	30	×	×	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	31	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	32	8	8	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	33	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	34	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	35	monotonically	monotonically	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	36	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	37	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	38	converges	converge	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	39	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	40	0.99	0.99	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	41	×	×	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	42	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	43	6	6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	44	as	as	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	45	T	T	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	46	increases	increase	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	100	47	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	1	However	however	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	4	almost	almost	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	5	does	do	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	6	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	7	change	change	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	8	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	9	small	small	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	10	T	t	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	11	≤	≤	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	12	180	180	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	101	13	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	1	This	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	2	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	3	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	5	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	6	over	over	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	7	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	8	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	9	long	long	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	10	duration	duration	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	12	required	require	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	13	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	14	effectively	effectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	15	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	16	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	17	final	final	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	19	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	102	20	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	2	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	3	study	study	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	4	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	5	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	6	applying	apply	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	8	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	9	compartmental	compartmental	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	10	model	model	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	11	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	16	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	17	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	18	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	19	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	20	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	21	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	22	January	January	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	23	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	24	29	29	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	25	February	February	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	26	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	27	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	28	have	have	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	29	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	30	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	31	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	32	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	33	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	34	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	35	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	36	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	38	2.6	2.6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	40	95%CI	95%ci	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	41	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	42	2.4	2.4	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	43	-	-	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	44	2.8	2.8	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	46	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	47	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	48	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	49	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	50	could	could	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	51	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	52	reach	reach	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	53	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	54	early	early	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	55	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	56	middle	middle	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	57	summer	summer	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	103	58	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	1	Of	of	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	2	course	course	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	4	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	5	kind	kind	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	6	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	7	long	long	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	8	range	range	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	9	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	10	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	11	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	12	contain	contain	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	13	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	14	essential	essential	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	15	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	16	due	due	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	17	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	18	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	19	possibility	possibility	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	20	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	21	some	some	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	22	big	big	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	23	changes	change	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	24	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	25	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	26	social	social	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	27	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	28	natural	natural	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	30	climate	climate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	32	situations	situation	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	104	33	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	2	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	4	result	result	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	5	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	6	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	8	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	9	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	11	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	12	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	13	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	14	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	15	end	end	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	16	so	so	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	17	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	105	18	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	1	This	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	2	might	may	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	3	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	4	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	5	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	6	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	7	WHO	WHO	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	8	's	's	POS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	9	statement	statement	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	10	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	11	6	6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	12	March	March	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	14	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	17	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	18	false	false	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	19	hope	hope	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	20	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	21	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	22	will	will	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	23	disappear	disappear	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	24	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	25	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	26	summer	summer	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	27	like	like	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	28	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	29	flu	flu	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	31	15	15	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	106	33	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	2	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	3	value	value	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	4	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	5	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	6	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	7	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	8	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	9	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	10	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	11	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	12	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	13	study	study	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	15	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	16	so	so	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	17	different	different	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	18	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	19	early	early	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	20	estimations	estimation	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	21	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	22	2.6	2.6	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	24	95%CI	95%ci	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	25	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	26	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	27	-	-	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	28	3.5	3.5	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	32	20	20	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	107	34	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	1	In	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	3	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	4	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	5	this	this	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	6	study	study	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	7	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	9	have	have	VBP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	10	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	12	following	follow	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	13	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	14	insights	insight	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	15	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	16	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	17	essential	essential	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	19	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	20	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	21	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	23	characterized	characterize	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	24	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	25	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	26	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	27	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	28	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	29	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	30	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	31	affected	affect	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	32	by	by	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	33	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	34	identification	identification	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	36	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	37	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	38	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	39	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	40	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	41	range	range	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	42	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	43	-	-	SYM
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	44	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	45	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	46	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	47	particular	particular	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	48	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	49	p	p	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	50	≥	≥	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	51	1.0	1.0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	52	×	×	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	53	10	10	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	54	−6	−6	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	108	55	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	2	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	3	exactly	exactly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	5	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	6	positive	positive	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	7	effect	effect	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	8	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	9	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	10	delay	delay	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	11	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	14	peak	peak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	15	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	16	which	which	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	17	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	18	contribute	contribute	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	19	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	20	improve	improve	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	21	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	22	medical	medical	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	23	environment	environment	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	24	utilizing	utilize	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	25	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	26	extra	extra	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	27	time	time	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	28	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	109	29	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	1	Intervention	intervention	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	2	over	over	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	3	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	4	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	5	long	long	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	6	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	8	needed	need	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	9	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	10	effectively	effectively	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	11	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	13	final	final	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	15	size	size	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	110	16	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	2	first	first	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	3	statement	statement	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	4	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	5	that	that	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	6	underestimation	underestimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	7	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	8	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	9	actual	actual	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	10	infective	infective	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	11	population	population	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	12	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	13	not	not	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	14	contribute	contribute	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	15	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	16	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	17	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	18	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	19	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	20	essential	essential	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	21	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	22	risk	risk	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	111	23	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	1	Correct	correct	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	2	information	information	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	3	based	base	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	4	on	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	5	an	an	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	6	adequate	adequate	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	7	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	8	system	system	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	9	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	10	be	be	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	11	desired	desire	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	12	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	13	people	people	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	14	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	15	act	act	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	16	appropriately	appropriately	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	17	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	112	18	 	 	_SP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	1	Available	available	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	2	online	online	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	3	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	5	Situation	Situation	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	6	Reports	report	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	7	Transmission	Transmission	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	8	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	9	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	10	Infection	infection	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	11	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	12	an	an	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	13	Asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	14	Contact	Contact	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	15	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	16	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	17	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	18	Sets	set	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	19	up	up	RP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	20	Emergency	emergency	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	21	Measures	Measures	NNPS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	22	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	23	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	24	Age	Age	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	26	Structured	Structured	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	27	Populatin	Populatin	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	28	Dynamics	Dynamics	NNPS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	29	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	30	Demography	Demography	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	31	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	32	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	33	Incubation	Incubation	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	34	period	period	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	35	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	36	other	other	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	37	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	38	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	39	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	40	2019	2019	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	41	novel	novel	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	42	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	43	infections	infection	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	44	with	with	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	45	right	right	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	46	truncation	truncation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	47	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	48	A	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	49	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	50	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	51	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	52	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	53	available	available	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	54	case	case	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	55	data	datum	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	56	Tracking	tracking	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	57	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	58	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	59	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	60	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	61	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	113	62	China	China	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	1	mainland	mainland	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	2	Population	Population	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	3	Estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	4	Monthly	Monthly	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	5	Report	Report	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	6	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	7	's	's	POS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	8	Hokkaido	Hokkaido	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	9	may	may	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	10	Have	have	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	11	940	940	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	12	Infected	Infected	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	13	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	14	Researcher	researcher	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	15	Says	say	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	16	On	on	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	17	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	18	definition	definition	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	19	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	20	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	21	computation	computation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	22	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	23	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	24	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	25	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	26	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	27	R	r	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	28	0	0	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	29	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	30	models	model	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	31	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	32	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	33	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	34	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	35	heterogeneous	heterogeneous	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	36	populations	population	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	37	Reproduction	Reproduction	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	38	numbers	number	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	39	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	40	sub	sub	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	41	-	-	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	42	threshold	threshold	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	43	endemic	endemic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	44	equilibria	equilibrium	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	45	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	46	compartmental	compartmental	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	47	models	model	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	48	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	49	disease	disease	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	50	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	51	Parameter	parameter	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	52	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	53	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	54	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	55	quantification	quantification	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	56	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	57	an	an	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	58	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	114	59	model	model	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	115	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	115	2	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	115	3	Times	Times	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	115	4	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	1	Nearly	nearly	RB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	2	All	all	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	3	Prefectures	prefecture	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	4	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	5	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	6	Shut	Shut	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	7	Schools	Schools	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	8	Amid	amid	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	9	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	10	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	11	Characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	12	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	13	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	14	imoprtant	imoprtant	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	15	lessons	lesson	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	16	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	17	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	18	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	19	disease	disease	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	20	2019	2019	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	22	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	24	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	25	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	116	26	China	China	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	2	's	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	3	a	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	4	'	'	``
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	5	false	false	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	6	hope	hope	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	7	'	'	''
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	8	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	9	will	will	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	10	Disappear	disappear	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	11	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	12	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	13	Summer	Summer	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	14	like	like	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	15	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	16	Flu	Flu	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	17	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	18	WHO	who	WP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	19	Says	say	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	20	Report	Report	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	21	3	3	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	22	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	23	Transmissibility	transmissibility	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	24	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	25	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	26	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	27	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	28	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	117	29	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	1	Ealry	ealry	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	2	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	3	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	4	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	6	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	118	8	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	1	Preliminary	preliminary	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	2	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	3	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	4	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	5	basic	basic	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	6	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	7	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	8	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	9	novel	novel	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	10	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	12	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	14	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	15	China	China	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	16	,	,	,
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	17	from	from	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	18	2019	2019	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	19	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	20	2020	2020	CD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	119	21	:	:	:
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	1	A	a	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	2	data	data	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	4	driven	drive	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	6	in	in	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	8	early	early	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	9	phase	phase	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	10	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	120	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	2	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	3	number	number	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	4	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	5	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	7	higher	high	JJR
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	8	compared	compare	VBN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	9	to	to	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	10	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	121	11	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	2	author	author	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	3	would	would	MD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	4	like	like	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	5	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	6	thank	thank	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	7	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	8	associate	associate	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	9	editor	editor	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	10	and	and	CC
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	11	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	12	anonymous	anonymous	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	13	reviewers	reviewer	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	14	for	for	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	15	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	16	helpful	helpful	JJ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	17	comments	comment	NNS
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	18	that	that	WDT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	19	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	20	me	-PRON-	PRP
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	21	to	to	TO
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	22	improve	improve	VB
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	23	the	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	24	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	122	25	.	.	.
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	1	The	the	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	2	author	author	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	3	declares	declare	VBZ
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	4	no	no	DT
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	5	conflict	conflict	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	6	of	of	IN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	7	interest	interest	NN
cord-289422-5z012sr6	123	8	.	.	.