id sid tid token lemma pos cord-003298-vojbn0p4 1 1 key key NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 1 2 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 1 cord-003298-vojbn0p4 cord-003298-vojbn0p4 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 2 authors author NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 3 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 4 Hsieh Hsieh NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 5 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 6 Ying‐Hen Ying‐Hen NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 7 title title NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 2 8 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 1 Pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 2 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 3 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 5 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 7 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 8 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 9 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 10 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 11 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 13 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 14 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 15 date date NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 16 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 17 2010 2010 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 18 - - SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 19 07 07 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 20 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 21 08 08 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 22 journal journal NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 3 23 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 1 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 2 Other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 3 Respir Respir NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 4 Viruses virus NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 5 DOI DOI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 6 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 7 10.1111 10.1111 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 8 / / SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 9 j.1750 j.1750 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 10 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 11 2659.2010.00147.x 2659.2010.00147.x CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 12 sha sha NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 13 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 14 27274e02683a0348194933d6f5669741346b7113 27274e02683a0348194933d6f5669741346b7113 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 15 doc_id doc_id CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 16 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 17 3298 3298 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 18 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 4 19 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 1 vojbn0p4 vojbn0p4 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 2 Please please UH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 3 cite cite VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 4 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 5 paper paper NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 6 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 7 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 8 Hsieh Hsieh NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 9 Ying‐Hen Ying‐Hen NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 5 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 6 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 6 2 2010 2010 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 6 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 1 Pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 2 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 3 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 5 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 7 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 8 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 9 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 10 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 11 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 13 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 14 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 7 15 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 1 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 2 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 3 Other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 4 Respiratory respiratory JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 5 Viruses virus NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 6 4(4 4(4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 8 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 9 187–197 187–197 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 8 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 1 Background Background NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 2 Countries Countries NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 3 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 5 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 6 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 7 experienced experience VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 8 sizable sizable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 12 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 13 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 14 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 15 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 16 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 17 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 18 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 19 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 20 – – : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 21 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 23 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 9 24 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 10 1 Methods method NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 2 make make VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 3 use use NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 4 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 6 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 7 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 8 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 9 fit fit VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 11 publicly publicly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 12 available available JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 14 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 16 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 17 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 18 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 19 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 21 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 22 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 24 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 25 six six CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 26 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 27 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 28 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 30 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 31 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 32 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 33 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 34 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 35 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 36 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 37 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 38 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 39 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 40 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 41 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 42 South South NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 43 Africa Africa NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 45 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 46 draw draw VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 47 useful useful JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 48 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 49 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 50 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 51 terms term NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 52 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 53 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 54 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 55 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 56 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 57 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 58 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 59 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 60 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 61 regarding regard VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 62 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 63 new new JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 64 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 65 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 66 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 67 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 68 typical typical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 69 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 70 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 71 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 11 72 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 12 1 Results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 3 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 5 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 6 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 7 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 8 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 9 six six CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 10 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 11 range range VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 12 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 13 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 14 high high NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 15 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 13 16 1·53 1·53 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 6 1·22 1·22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 8 1·84 1·84 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 11 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 12 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 13 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 15 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 16 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 17 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 18 low low NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 19 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 20 1·16 1·16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 22 1·09 1·09 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 23 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 24 1·22 1·22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 26 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 27 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 28 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 29 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 30 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 14 31 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 2 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 3 country country NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 4 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 5 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 6 fits fit NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 7 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 9 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 11 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 13 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 14 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 15 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 16 always always RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 17 yield yield VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 18 similar similar JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 20 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 21 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 22 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 23 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 15 24 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 4 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 5 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 6 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 7 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 8 closely closely RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 9 related related JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 11 indicators indicator NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 12 always always RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 13 follow follow VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 14 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 15 correct correct JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 16 chronological chronological JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 17 order order NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 18 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 19 i.e. i.e. FW cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 21 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 22 – – : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 23 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 24 – – : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 25 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 26 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 27 whenever whenever WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 28 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 29 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 30 more more JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 31 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 32 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 33 three three CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 34 indicators indicator NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 35 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 36 available available JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 16 37 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 17 1 Conclusions conclusion NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 2 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 4 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 6 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 7 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 8 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 9 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 11 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 12 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 13 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 14 similar similar JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 15 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 17 earlier early JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 18 spring spring NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 19 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 20 later later JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 21 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 22 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 23 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 24 North North NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 25 America America NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 26 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 28 severity severity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 29 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 30 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 31 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 32 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 33 indicated indicate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 34 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 35 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 36 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 37 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 18 38 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 4 current current JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 5 strain strain NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 6 has have VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 7 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 8 become become VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 9 more more RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 10 severe severe JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 11 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 12 transmissible transmissible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 13 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 14 circulating circulate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 15 around around IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 17 globe globe NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 18 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 19 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 20 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 21 some some DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 22 experts expert NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 23 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 24 cautioned caution VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 19 25 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 2 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 3 will will MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 4 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 5 useful useful JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 6 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 7 global global JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 8 preparedness preparedness NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 9 planning planning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 11 possible possible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 12 tertiary tertiary JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 13 waves wave NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 15 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 16 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 17 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 18 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 19 fall fall NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 20 / / SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 21 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 22 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 23 2010 2010 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 20 24 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 21 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 21 2 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 21 3 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 21 4 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 21 5 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 2 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 4 was be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 5 first first RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 6 identified identify VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 7 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 9 Centers Centers NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 11 Disease Disease NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 12 Control Control NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 13 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 14 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 15 children child NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 17 April April NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 22 18 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 23 1 1 1 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 1 As as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 2 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 3 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 4 February February NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 5 2010 2010 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 6 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 7 worldwide worldwide RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 8 more more JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 9 than than IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 10 212 212 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 11 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 13 overseas overseas JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 14 territories territory NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 15 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 16 communities community NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 17 have have VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 18 reported report VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 19 laboratory laboratory NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 20 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 21 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 22 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 24 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 25 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 26 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 27 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 28 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 29 including include VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 30 at at IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 31 least least JJS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 32 15921 15921 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 33 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 24 34 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 25 1 2 2 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 1 As as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 2 predicted predict VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 3 earlier early RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 4 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 5 many many JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 6 experts expert NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 8 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 9 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 10 3 3 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 14 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 15 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 16 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 17 witnessed witness VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 18 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 19 sizable sizable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 21 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 22 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 23 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 24 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 25 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 26 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 27 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 28 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 29 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 30 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 31 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 32 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 33 attack attack NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 34 rates rate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 35 exceeding exceed VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 36 those those DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 37 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 38 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 39 typical typical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 40 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 41 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 42 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 43 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 44 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 26 45 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 4 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 5 important important JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 6 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 7 monitor monitor VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 8 changes change NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 9 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 10 antigenicity antigenicity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 12 severity severity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 14 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 15 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 16 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 17 antiviral antiviral JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 18 resistance resistance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 19 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 20 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 21 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 22 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 23 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 24 compare compare VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 25 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 26 those those DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 27 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 28 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 29 spring spring NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 30 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 31 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 32 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 33 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 34 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 35 northern northern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 36 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 27 37 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 2 construct construct VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 3 simple simple JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 5 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 6 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 7 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 8 epidemiologic epidemiologic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 9 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 11 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 12 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 13 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 14 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 15 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 16 draw draw VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 17 timely timely JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 18 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 19 useful useful JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 20 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 21 regarding regard VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 23 role role NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 24 played play VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 25 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 26 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 27 new new JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 28 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 29 strain strain NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 30 under under IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 31 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 32 setting setting NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 33 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 34 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 35 typical typical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 36 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 37 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 38 season season NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 28 39 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 29 1 Data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 2 obtain obtain VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 4 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 5 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 6 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 7 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 8 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 9 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 10 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 13 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 14 used use VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 15 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 16 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 17 study study NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 18 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 20 respective respective JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 21 Ministries Ministries NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 22 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 23 Health Health NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 24 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 25 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 26 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 27 4 4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 28 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 29 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 30 5 5 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 31 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 32 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 33 6 6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 34 websites website NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 30 35 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 2 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 3 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 4 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 5 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 6 accessed access VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 7 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 9 Institute Institute NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 11 Environmental Environmental NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 12 Science Science NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 13 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 14 Research Research NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 15 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 16 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 17 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 18 website website NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 31 19 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 32 1 7 7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 2 Australian australian JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 3 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 4 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 6 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 7 Department Department NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 8 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 9 Health Health NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 10 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 11 Ageing Ageing NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 12 website website NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 33 13 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 34 1 8 8 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 2 South South NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 3 Africa Africa NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 4 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 5 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 6 accessed access VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 7 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 9 National National NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 10 Institute Institute NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 11 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 12 Communicable communicable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 13 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 15 NICD NICD NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 17 website website NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 35 18 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 36 1 9 9 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 1 Methods Methods NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 2 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 3 10 10 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 4 proposed propose VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 6 following following JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 7 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 8 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 9 study study VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 11 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 13 biologic biologic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 14 populations population NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 15 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 37 16 _SP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 1 Here here RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 4 prime prime NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 5 ' ' `` cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 6 ¢ ¢ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 7 ' ' '' cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 8 denotes denote VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 10 derivative derivative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 11 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 12 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 13 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 15 change change NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 16 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 18 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 19 unit unit NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 20 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 21 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 22 days day NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 23 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 24 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 25 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 27 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 28 e e NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 29 - - NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 30 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 31 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 32 start start VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 33 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 34 Sunday Sunday NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 35 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 36 end end VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 37 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 38 Saturdays Saturdays NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 40 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 41 depending depend VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 42 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 43 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 44 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 45 unit unit NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 46 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 47 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 48 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 49 used use VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 38 50 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 1 C(t C(t NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 3 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 5 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 6 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 7 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 8 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 10 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 12 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 14 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 15 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 17 at at IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 18 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 19 unit unit NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 21 day day NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 22 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 23 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 39 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 1 t t NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 3 K K NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 4 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 6 ' ' `` cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 7 maximum maximum JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 8 ' ' '' cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 9 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 10 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 11 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 13 final final JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 15 size size NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 16 over over IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 17 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 18 single single JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 19 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 20 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 21 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 23 r r NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 24 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 25 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 26 per per IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 27 capita capita FW cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 28 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 29 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 30 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 31 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 32 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 33 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 34 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 35 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 36 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 37 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 38 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 39 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 40 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 41 exponent exponent NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 42 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 43 deviation deviation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 44 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 45 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 46 epidemiologic epidemiologic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 47 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 40 48 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 2 solution solution NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 4 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 5 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 6 can can MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 7 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 8 explicitly explicitly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 9 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 10 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 11 terms term NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 13 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 14 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 16 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 18 initial initial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 19 value value NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 20 C(0 C(0 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 22 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 23 CðtÞ CðtÞ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 24 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 25 K½1 K½1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 26 þ þ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 27 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 28 ÀrðtÀt àrðtàt CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 29 m m NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 30 Þ þ NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 41 31 À1= À1= NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 42 1 a a LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 42 2 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 2 parameter parameter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 3 t t NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 4 m m NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 5 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 6 related relate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 7 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 9 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 43 10 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 1 t t NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 2 i i PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 4 defined define VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 5 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 7 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 8 when when WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 10 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 12 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 13 accumulation accumulation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 14 changes change NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 15 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 16 increasing increase VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 17 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 18 decreasing decrease VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 19 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 20 vice vice NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 21 versa versa RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 24 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 26 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 27 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 28 simple simple JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 29 formula formula NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 30 t t NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 44 31 m m NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 45 1 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 45 2 t t NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 45 3 i i PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 46 1 + + CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 47 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 47 2 ln ln NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 47 3 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 47 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 47 5 ⁄ ⁄ . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 1 r r NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 3 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 4 ln ln NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 5 denotes denote VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 7 natural natural JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 8 logarithm logarithm NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 9 function function NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 48 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 1 By by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 2 fitting fit VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 3 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 4 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 5 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 7 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 8 particular particular JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 11 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 12 four four CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 13 quantities quantity NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 15 namely namely RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 18 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 19 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 20 r r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 21 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 22 carrying carry VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 23 capacity capacity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 24 K K NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 25 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 26 inflection inflection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 27 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 28 t t NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 29 i i NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 30 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 31 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 32 exponent exponent NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 33 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 34 deviation deviation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 35 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 36 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 38 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 39 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 40 can can MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 41 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 42 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 43 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 44 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 45 standard standard JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 46 software software NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 47 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 48 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 49 MATLAB MATLAB NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 50 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 51 SAS SAS NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 49 52 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 1 In in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 2 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 3 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 4 formulation formulation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 5 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 7 basic basic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 8 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 9 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 10 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 11 0 0 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 12 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 13 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 14 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 15 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 16 formula formula NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 17 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 18 0 0 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 19 ¼ ¼ CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 20 exp exp NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 21 ðrTÞ ðrTÞ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 23 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 24 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 25 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 26 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 27 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 28 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 29 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 31 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 32 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 33 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 35 defined define VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 36 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 38 average average JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 39 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 40 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 41 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 42 one one CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 43 person person NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 44 being be VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 45 infected infect VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 46 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 47 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 48 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 49 when when WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 50 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 51 infection infection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 52 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 53 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 54 infected infected JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 55 individual individual NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 56 occur occur VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 50 57 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 2 estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 4 mean mean JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 5 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 6 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 7 could could MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 8 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 9 difficult difficult JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 10 because because IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 12 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 13 often often RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 14 impractical impractical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 15 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 16 report report VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 17 observed observed JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 18 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 19 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 21 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 22 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 23 statistical statistical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 24 procedures procedure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 25 have have VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 26 been be VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 27 developed develop VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 28 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 29 attain attain VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 30 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 31 goal goal NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 33 see see VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 34 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 35 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 36 11 11 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 37 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 38 12 12 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 51 40 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 4 has have VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 5 been be VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 6 shown show VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 7 mathematically mathematically RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 8 11 11 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 9 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 11 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 13 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 14 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 15 r r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 18 expression expression NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 19 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 20 0 0 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 21 ¼ ¼ CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 22 exp exp NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 23 ðrTÞ ðrTÞ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 24 provides provide VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 25 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 26 upper upper JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 27 bound bind VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 28 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 29 basic basic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 30 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 31 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 32 regardless regardless RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 33 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 34 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 35 distribution distribution NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 36 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 38 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 39 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 40 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 41 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 42 being be VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 43 used use VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 52 44 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 1 In in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 3 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 4 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 5 there there EX cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 6 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 7 little little JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 8 prior prior JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 9 human human JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 10 immunity immunity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 11 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 13 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 14 under under IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 15 consideration consideration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 18 estimate estimate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 19 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 20 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 21 0 0 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 22 approximates approximate VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 24 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 25 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 26 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 27 caused cause VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 28 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 29 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 30 infectious infectious JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 31 individual individual NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 32 entering enter VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 33 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 34 immunologically immunologically RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 35 naïve naïve JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 36 population population NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 53 37 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 1 Readers reader NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 2 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 3 referred refer VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 4 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 6 13 13 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 9 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 12 15 15 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 14 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 15 more more JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 16 technical technical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 17 details detail NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 18 regarding regard VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 20 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 21 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 54 22 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 2 basic basic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 3 premise premise NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 4 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 6 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 7 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 8 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 9 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 11 incidence incidence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 12 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 13 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 14 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 15 single single JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 16 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 17 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 18 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 19 consists consist VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 20 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 21 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 22 single single JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 23 peak peak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 24 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 25 high high JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 26 incidence incidence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 27 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 28 resulting result VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 29 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 30 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 31 S s NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 32 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 33 shaped shape VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 34 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 35 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 36 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 37 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 38 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 39 single single JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 40 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 41 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 42 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 43 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 44 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 55 45 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 56 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 56 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 56 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 56 4 t t NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 1 i i PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 2 can can MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 3 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 4 easily easily RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 5 pinpointed pinpoint VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 6 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 7 locating locate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 9 inflection inflection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 10 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 14 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 15 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 17 i.e. i.e. FW cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 18 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 20 moment moment NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 21 at at IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 22 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 24 trajectory trajectory NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 25 begins begin VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 26 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 27 decline decline VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 57 28 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 1 This this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 2 quantity quantity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 3 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 4 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 5 has have VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 6 obvious obvious JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 7 epidemiologic epidemiologic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 8 importance importance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 9 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 10 indicating indicate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 11 either either CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 13 beginning beginning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 15 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 16 new new JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 17 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 18 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 19 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 21 i.e. i.e. FW cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 23 moment moment NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 24 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 25 acceleration acceleration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 26 after after IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 27 deceleration deceleration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 29 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 30 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 31 end end NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 32 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 33 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 34 current current JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 35 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 36 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 37 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 39 i.e. i.e. FW cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 40 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 41 moment moment NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 42 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 43 deceleration deceleration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 44 after after IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 45 acceleration acceleration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 58 47 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 1 One one CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 2 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 4 advantages advantage NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 5 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 6 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 7 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 8 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 9 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 11 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 12 modeling modeling NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 13 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 14 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 15 fit fit VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 17 accumulative accumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 18 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 19 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 21 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 22 helps help VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 23 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 24 smooth smooth VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 25 out out RP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 26 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 27 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 28 variations variation NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 29 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 30 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 31 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 32 owing owe VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 33 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 34 variations variation NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 35 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 36 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 37 collection collection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 59 38 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 1 When when WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 2 there there EX cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 3 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 4 indeed indeed RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 5 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 6 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 7 more more JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 8 waves wave NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 10 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 12 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 13 variation variation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 15 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 16 S S NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 17 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 18 shaped shape VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 19 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 20 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 21 has have VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 22 been be VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 23 proposed propose VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 24 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 25 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 26 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 27 distinguishes distinguish VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 28 between between IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 29 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 30 types type NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 31 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 32 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 33 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 34 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 35 one one CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 36 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 38 initial initial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 39 S S NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 40 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 41 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 42 signifies signify VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 43 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 44 first first JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 45 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 46 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 47 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 48 ends end VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 49 initial initial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 50 exponential exponential JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 51 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 53 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 54 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 55 downturn downturn NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 56 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 57 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 58 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 60 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 61 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 62 second second JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 63 type type NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 64 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 65 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 66 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 67 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 68 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 69 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 70 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 71 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 72 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 73 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 74 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 75 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 76 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 77 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 78 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 79 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 80 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 81 begin begin VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 82 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 83 increase increase VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 84 again again RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 85 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 86 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 87 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 88 upturn upturn NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 89 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 90 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 91 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 92 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 93 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 94 signifying signify VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 95 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 96 beginning beginning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 97 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 98 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 99 next next JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 100 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 101 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 102 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 60 103 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 1 This this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 2 variation variation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 5 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 6 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 7 provides provide VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 8 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 9 systematic systematic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 10 method method NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 12 determining determine VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 13 whether whether IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 14 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 16 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 17 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 18 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 19 multi multi JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 20 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 21 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 22 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 23 nature nature NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 24 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 25 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 26 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 27 designed design VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 28 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 29 isolate isolate VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 30 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 31 main main JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 32 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 33 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 34 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 35 those those DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 36 peaks peak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 37 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 38 valleys valley NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 39 resulting result VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 40 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 41 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 42 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 43 stochasticity stochasticity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 61 44 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 1 More More JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 2 details detail NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 3 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 5 multi multi JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 6 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 7 wave wave JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 8 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 9 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 10 can can MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 11 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 12 found find VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 13 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 16 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 19 15 15 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 22 16 16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 24 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 25 2003 2003 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 26 SARS SARS NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 27 incidence incidence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 28 curves curve NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 29 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 30 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 31 Great Great NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 32 Toronto Toronto NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 33 Area Area NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 34 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 35 Singapore Singapore NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 36 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 37 shown show VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 38 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 39 contain contain VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 40 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 41 peaks peak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 43 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 44 maximum maximum NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 45 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 46 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 47 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 48 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 49 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 50 first first JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 51 type type NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 53 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 54 one one CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 55 valley valley NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 56 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 57 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 58 minimum minimum NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 59 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 60 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 61 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 62 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 63 second second JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 64 type type NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 65 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 62 66 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 2 readers reader NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 3 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 4 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 5 referred refer VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 6 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 7 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 8 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 10 application application NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 11 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 12 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 13 dengue dengue NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 15 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 16 Taiwan Taiwan NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 17 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 18 2007 2007 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 63 19 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 2 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 3 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 5 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 7 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 8 0 0 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 9 should should MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 10 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 11 valid valid JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 12 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 14 new new JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 15 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 16 strain strain NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 17 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 18 although although IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 19 discrepancy discrepancy NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 20 might may MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 21 exist exist VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 22 because because IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 24 prior prior JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 25 immunity immunity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 64 26 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 1 17 17 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 2 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 4 no no DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 5 mass mass NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 6 intervention intervention NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 7 measures measure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 9 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 11 community community NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 12 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 13 level level NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 14 isolation isolation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 65 15 ⁄ ⁄ . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 66 1 quarantine quarantine NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 66 2 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 1 closure closure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 3 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 4 implemented implement VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 5 at at IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 6 any any DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 7 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 8 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 10 course course NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 13 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 15 although although IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 16 some some DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 17 measures measure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 18 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 19 taken take VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 20 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 21 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 22 country country NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 23 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 24 varying vary VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 25 degrees degree NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 26 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 27 impact impact NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 67 28 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 1 To to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 2 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 3 conservative conservative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 4 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 6 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 9 will will MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 10 henceforth henceforth RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 11 denote denote VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 13 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 14 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 15 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 16 here here RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 17 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 18 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 19 effective effective JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 20 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 21 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 22 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 24 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 25 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 26 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 27 question question NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 68 28 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 2 fit fit VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 4 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 5 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 6 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 7 A a NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 9 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 11 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 12 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 13 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 14 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 15 various various JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 16 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 17 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 18 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 19 described describe VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 20 earlier early RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 21 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 23 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 24 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 25 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 26 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 27 multi multi JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 28 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 29 wave wave JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 30 variants variant NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 69 31 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 2 country country NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 3 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 4 wise wise JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 5 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 7 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 8 parameter parameter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 9 estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 11 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 12 least least JJS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 13 squares square NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 14 techniques technique NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 15 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 16 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 17 detailed detail VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 18 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 20 following follow VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 21 text text NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 70 22 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 3 purpose purpose NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 4 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 5 computing compute VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 6 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 7 0 0 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 8 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 10 make make VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 11 use use NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 14 mean mean JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 15 estimated estimated JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 16 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 17 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 19 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 21 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 22 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 23 CI CI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 25 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 26 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 27 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 28 1AE91 1ae91 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 29 days day NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 31 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 32 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 33 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 34 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 35 1AE30 1ae30 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 36 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 37 2AE71 2ae71 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 39 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 40 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 41 in in RP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 42 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 43 18 18 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 44 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 45 was be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 46 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 47 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 48 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 49 Mexico Mexico NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 50 novel novel NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 51 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 52 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 53 before before IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 54 April April NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 55 30 30 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 71 56 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 2 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 3 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 4 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 5 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 6 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 8 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 11 all all DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 12 severe severe JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 13 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 14 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 15 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 16 sever sever VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 17 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 18 infection infection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 20 SRI SRI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 23 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 24 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 25 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 26 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 27 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 28 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 29 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 30 4 4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 31 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 32 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 33 19 19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 34 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 35 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 36 23 23 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 37 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 38 fitted fit VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 39 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 40 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 41 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 42 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 72 43 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 2 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 4 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 5 parameter parameter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 6 estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 7 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 8 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 9 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 10 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 11 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 12 Tables table NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 13 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 14 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 15 2 2 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 73 16 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 1 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 2 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 3 shows show VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 4 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 6 daily daily NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 7 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 8 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 9 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 10 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 11 fit fit VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 12 both both DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 13 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 14 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 15 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 16 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 17 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 74 18 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 1 Using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 3 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 5 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 6 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 9 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 10 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 11 fit fit NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 12 gives give VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 13 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 14 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 15 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 16 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 17 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 18 26 26 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 19 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 20 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 21 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 22 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 23 yields yield VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 24 3 3 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 25 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 26 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 27 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 28 one one CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 29 ' ' `` cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 30 downturn downturn NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 31 ' ' '' cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 32 tuning tuning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 33 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 34 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 35 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 36 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 37 around around IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 38 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 39 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 40 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 41 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 42 24 24 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 43 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 44 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 45 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 46 ' ' `` cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 47 upturn upturn NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 48 ' ' POS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 49 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 50 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 51 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 52 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 53 4 4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 54 signifying signify VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 55 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 56 start start NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 57 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 58 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 59 second second JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 60 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 75 61 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 2 comparison comparison NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 4 both both CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 6 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 7 SRI SRI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 8 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 9 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 11 6 6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 12 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 13 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 14 - - SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 15 7 7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 16 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 17 25 25 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 19 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 20 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 21 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 22 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 23 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 25 6 6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 26 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 27 12 12 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 28 - - SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 29 8 8 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 30 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 31 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 33 fit fit VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 34 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 35 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 36 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 38 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 39 2 2 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 76 41 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 4 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 5 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 6 SRI SRI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 7 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 8 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 9 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 10 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 11 28 28 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 13 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 14 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 15 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 16 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 17 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 18 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 19 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 20 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 21 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 22 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 23 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 24 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 25 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 77 26 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 3 purpose purpose NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 4 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 5 comparison comparison NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 6 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 7 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 8 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 9 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 11 final final JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 12 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 13 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 14 K k NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 15 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 16 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 17 wave wave NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 18 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 22 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 23 provide provide VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 24 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 25 actual actual JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 26 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 27 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 28 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 29 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 30 table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 31 legends legend NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 78 32 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 3 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 5 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 6 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 8 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 10 daily daily NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 11 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 12 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 13 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 14 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 15 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 16 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 79 17 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 80 1 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 80 2 1AE41 1AE41 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 80 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 80 4 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 80 5 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 1 CI CI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 2 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 3 1AE23 1ae23 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 4 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 5 1AE60 1ae60 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 8 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 81 9 1AE84 1ae84 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 6 0AE86 0AE86 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 8 2AE82 2ae82 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 10 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 82 11 1AE34 1ae34 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 4 CI CI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 6 1AE19 1ae19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 8 1AE48 1ae48 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 83 10 , , . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 1 respectively respectively RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 3 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 5 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 6 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 84 7 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 2 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 4 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 5 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 6 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 85 7 1AE27 1AE27 . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 6 1AE16 1ae16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 8 1AE38 1ae38 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 86 10 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 1 1AE28 1ae28 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 3 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 4 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 5 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 6 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 7 1AE16 1ae16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 8 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 9 1AE39 1ae39 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 12 respectively respectively RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 14 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 15 SRI SRI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 16 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 17 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 18 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 19 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 20 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 87 21 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 2 graphs graph NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 5 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 6 curves curve NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 7 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 8 shown show VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 9 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 10 Figure Figure NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 11 1A 1a CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 88 12 -D. -D. . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 2 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 3 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 4 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 5 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 6 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 7 onset onset NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 8 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 10 eweek eweek JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 11 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 12 - - SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 13 33 33 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 15 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 16 10 10 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 17 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 18 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 19 15 15 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 21 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 22 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 23 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 24 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 25 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 26 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 27 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 28 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 29 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 30 18 18 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 31 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 32 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 33 6 6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 34 fit fit VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 35 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 36 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 37 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 39 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 40 3 3 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 41 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 42 Figure figure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 43 1E 1E NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 44 -F -f ADD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 89 46 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 5 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 6 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 7 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 8 data data NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 9 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 10 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 11 - - : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 12 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 13 26 26 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 15 whereas whereas IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 17 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 18 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 19 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 20 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 21 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 22 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 23 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 24 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 25 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 26 11 11 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 90 27 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 91 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 91 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 91 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 91 4 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 91 5 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 91 6 1AE24 1ae24 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 6 1AE14 1ae14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 8 1AE35 1ae35 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 11 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 12 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 13 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 14 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 15 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 92 16 1AE29 1ae29 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 93 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 93 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 93 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 93 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 93 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 1 1AE17 1ae17 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 3 1AE41 1ae41 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 5 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 7 daily daily JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 8 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 9 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 94 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 1 Note note VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 2 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 5 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 6 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 7 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 8 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 9 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 10 did do VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 11 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 12 converge converge VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 13 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 14 earlier early JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 15 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 16 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 17 Health Health NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 18 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 19 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 20 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 21 Virus Virus NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 22 Report Report NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 23 reported report VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 24 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 25 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 26 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 27 most most RBS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 28 likely likely RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 29 attributable attributable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 30 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 31 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 32 transient transient JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 33 state state NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 34 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 35 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 36 collection collection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 37 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 38 earlier early JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 39 stages stage NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 40 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 41 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 42 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 44 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 45 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 46 changing change VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 47 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 48 definitions definition NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 49 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 50 level level NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 51 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 52 surveillance surveillance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 54 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 55 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 56 was be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 57 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 58 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 59 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 60 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 61 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 62 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 63 Report Report NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 64 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 65 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 66 5 5 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 67 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 68 onward onward RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 95 69 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 2 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 3 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 4 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 5 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 6 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 7 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 8 onset onset NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 9 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 11 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 12 - - : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 13 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 14 21 21 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 15 - - SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 96 16 33 33 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 2 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 3 17 17 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 4 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 5 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 6 15 15 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 8 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 9 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 10 6 6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 11 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 12 fits fit VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 13 both both DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 14 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 15 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 16 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 17 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 18 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 20 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 21 4 4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 97 23 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 5 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 6 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 7 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 8 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 9 - - : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 10 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 11 31 31 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 13 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 14 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 15 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 16 respective respective JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 17 ' ' `` cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 18 downturn downturn NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 19 ' ' POS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 20 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 21 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 22 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 24 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 25 waves wave NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 26 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 27 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 28 - - : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 29 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 30 26 26 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 31 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 32 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 33 - - : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 34 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 35 31 31 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 98 36 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 99 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 99 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 99 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 99 4 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 99 5 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 99 6 1AE53 1ae53 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 4 CI CI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 6 1AE22 1ae22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 8 1AE84 1ae84 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 11 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 12 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 14 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 15 1AE66 1ae66 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 17 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 18 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 19 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 20 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 21 1AE23 1ae23 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 23 2AE09 2ae09 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 100 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 1 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 2 1AE39 1ae39 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 4 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 5 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 6 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 7 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 8 0AE99 0ae99 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 9 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 10 1AE79 1ae79 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 12 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 14 respective respective JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 15 two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 16 waves wave NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 17 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 18 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 19 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 20 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 101 21 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 2 graph graph NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 3 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 4 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 5 fit fit NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 6 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 7 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 8 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 9 Figure figure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 10 1 1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 11 G g NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 12 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 102 13 _SP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 2 first first RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 3 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 4 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 6 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 7 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 8 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 9 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 10 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 11 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 12 calendar calendar NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 13 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 14 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 15 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 16 Sundays Sundays NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 17 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 18 7 7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 19 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 20 opposed oppose VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 21 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 22 e e NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 23 - - NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 24 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 25 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 26 end end VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 27 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 28 Saturdays Saturdays NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 103 29 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 2 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 3 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 4 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 5 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 6 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 7 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 8 onset onset NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 9 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 11 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 12 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 13 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 14 April April NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 15 12-September 12-september CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 16 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 17 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 18 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 104 19 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 1 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 2 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 3 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 4 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 5 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 6 onset onset NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 8 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 9 report report NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 10 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 12 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 13 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 14 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 15 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 16 7-September 7-September NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 17 13 13 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 18 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 19 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 20 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 21 7 7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 22 fit fit JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 23 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 24 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 25 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 27 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 28 5 5 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 29 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 30 Figure figure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 31 2A 2a CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 32 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 33 D d NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 105 35 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 4 sentinel sentinel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 5 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 6 non non JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 7 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 8 sentinel sentinel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 9 surveillance surveillance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 10 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 11 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 12 reporting report VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 13 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 15 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 16 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 17 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 18 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 19 14-September 14-september CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 20 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 21 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 22 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 23 3-September 3-september CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 24 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 25 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 26 respectively respectively RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 27 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 28 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 29 fit fit VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 30 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 31 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 32 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 106 33 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 6 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 7 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 8 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 9 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 10 data data NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 11 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 13 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 14 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 15 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 16 5 5 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 17 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 18 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 20 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 21 data data NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 22 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 24 succeeding succeed VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 25 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 26 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 27 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 28 12 12 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 29 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 30 giving give VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 31 strong strong JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 32 evidence evidence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 33 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 34 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 35 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 36 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 37 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 38 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 39 better well RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 40 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 41 occurred occur VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 42 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 43 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 44 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 107 45 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 6 sentinel sentinel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 7 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 8 non non JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 9 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 10 sentinel sentinel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 11 surveillance surveillance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 12 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 13 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 14 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 15 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 16 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 17 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 18 19 19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 19 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 20 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 21 12 12 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 23 respectively respectively RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 108 24 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 109 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 109 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 109 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 109 4 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 109 5 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 109 6 1AE22 1ae22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 6 1AE13 1ae13 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 8 1AE31 1ae31 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 12 weekly weekly NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 14 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 15 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 16 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 17 1AE29 1ae29 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 19 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 20 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 21 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 22 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 23 1AE16 1ae16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 24 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 25 1AE41 1ae41 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 27 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 28 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 29 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 30 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 31 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 110 32 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 111 1 1AE18 1ae18 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 6 1AE10 1ae10 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 8 1AE25 1ae25 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 12 sentinel sentinel NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 13 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 14 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 112 15 1AE22 1ae22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 6 1AE13 1ae13 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 8 1AE31 1ae31 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 10 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 12 non non JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 13 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 14 sentinel sentinel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 15 surveillance surveillance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 16 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 113 17 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 2 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 3 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 4 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 5 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 6 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 7 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 8 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 9 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 10 onset onset NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 11 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 12 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 13 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 14 8 8 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 15 fit fit VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 17 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 18 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 19 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 21 Table Table NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 22 6 6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 23 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 24 Figure figure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 25 2E 2E NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 26 -F -f ADD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 114 28 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 5 both both CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 7 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 8 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 9 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 10 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 11 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 14 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 15 data data NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 16 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 17 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 18 - - : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 19 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 20 30 30 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 21 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 22 showing show VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 23 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 24 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 25 down down JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 26 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 27 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 28 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 29 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 30 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 31 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 32 occurred occur VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 33 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 34 late late JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 35 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 115 36 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 116 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 116 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 116 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 116 4 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 116 5 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 116 6 1AE19 1ae19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 117 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 117 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 117 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 117 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 117 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 1 1AE11 1ae11 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 3 1AE26 1ae26 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 5 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 7 weekly weekly NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 9 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 10 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 11 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 12 1AE16 1ae16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 14 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 15 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 16 CI CI NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 17 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 18 1AE09 1ae09 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 19 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 20 1AE22 1ae22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 22 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 23 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 24 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 25 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 26 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 118 27 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 2 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 3 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 4 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 5 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 6 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 7 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 8 weeks week NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 9 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 10 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 11 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 12 5 5 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 13 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 14 September September NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 15 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 17 South South NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 18 Africa Africa NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 19 9 9 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 20 fit fit VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 21 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 22 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 23 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 24 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 26 Table Table NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 27 7 7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 28 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 29 Figure figure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 30 2 2 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 31 G g NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 119 33 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 2 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 3 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 6 weekly weekly JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 7 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 8 confirmed confirm VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 9 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 10 data data NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 11 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 13 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 14 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 15 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 16 16 16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 120 17 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 121 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 121 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 121 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 121 4 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 121 5 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 121 6 1AE22 1ae22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 2 95 95 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 3 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 4 CI ci NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 5 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 6 1AE11 1ae11 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 8 1AE33 1ae33 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 122 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 1 Several several JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 2 alternate alternate JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 4 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 6 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 7 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 8 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 9 have have VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 10 been be VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 11 reported report VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 123 12 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 1 Hence hence RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 4 perform perform VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 5 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 6 analysis analysis NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 7 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 8 R R NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 9 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 10 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 124 11 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 1 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 2 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 3 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 4 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 5 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 7 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 9 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 10 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 11 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 12 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 13 US US NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 14 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 15 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 16 = = NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 18 2AE6 2ae6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 19 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 20 3AE2 3ae2 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 22 19 19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 23 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 24 T t NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 25 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 26 2AE5 2ae5 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 27 20 20 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 28 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 29 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 30 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 31 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 32 T t NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 33 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 34 2AE7 2ae7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 36 SD sd NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 37 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 38 1AE1 1ae1 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 40 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 41 21 21 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 42 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 43 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 44 Japan Japan NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 45 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 46 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 47 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 48 2AE83 2ae83 NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 50 Variance variance NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 51 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 52 1AE26 1ae26 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 125 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 2 Nishiura Nishiura NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 4 personal personal JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 5 communications communication NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 126 7 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 2 resulting result VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 5 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 6 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 7 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 8 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 9 Tables Tables NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 10 8 8 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 11 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 12 9 9 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 127 13 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 1 Reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 2 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 3 23 23 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 4 as as RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 5 well well RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 6 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 7 numerous numerous JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 8 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 9 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 128 10 spring spring NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 129 1 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 1 summer summer NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 2 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 4 other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 5 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 6 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 7 literature literature NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 9 see see VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 10 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 11 2 2 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 13 23 23 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 130 15 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 3 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 4 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 5 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 6 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 7 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 8 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 9 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 11 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 12 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 13 different different JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 14 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 15 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 16 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 17 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 19 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 21 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 22 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 131 23 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 1 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 3 literature literature NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 4 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 5 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 6 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 7 close close JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 8 agreement agreement NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 10 Tables Tables NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 11 8 8 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 13 9 9 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 132 15 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 2 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 3 indicate indicate VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 4 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 5 higher high JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 6 values value NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 7 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 8 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 9 will will MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 10 raise raise VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 11 all all PDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 13 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 14 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 15 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 17 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 18 can can MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 19 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 20 expected expect VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 21 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 23 formula formula NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 24 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 25 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 26 given give VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 27 earlier early RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 133 28 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 3 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 4 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 5 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 6 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 7 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 8 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 9 1AE91 1ae91 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 10 18 18 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 12 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 13 = = SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 14 1AE27 1ae27 NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 15 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 16 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 17 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 18 whereas whereas IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 19 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 20 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 21 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 22 value value NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 24 around around RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 25 2AE7 2ae7 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 26 21 21 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 28 have have VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 29 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 134 30 = = NFP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 135 1 1AE40 1ae40 LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 136 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 136 2 see see VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 136 3 Table Table NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 136 4 8B 8b NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 136 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 136 6 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 1 Both both DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 3 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 4 within within IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 5 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 6 range range NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 137 7 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 1 However however RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 4 discrepancy discrepancy NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 5 becomes become VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 6 larger large JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 7 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 8 larger large JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 9 values value NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 11 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 13 see see VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 14 next next RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 15 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 16 last last JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 17 row row NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 18 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 19 Table Table NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 20 8A 8a NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 23 thus thus RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 24 indicating indicate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 25 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 26 dependence dependence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 27 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 28 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 29 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 30 accurate accurate JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 31 estimate estimate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 32 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 138 33 T. t. NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 2 corresponding correspond VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 5 other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 6 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 7 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 8 similar similar JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 9 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 10 hence hence RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 11 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 12 omitted omit VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 13 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 14 brevity brevity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 139 15 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 3 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 4 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 5 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 6 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 7 substantially substantially RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 8 lower low JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 9 than than IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 11 range range NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 13 1AE49 1ae49 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 14 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 15 2AE55 2ae55 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 16 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 17 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 18 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 19 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 20 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 21 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 22 24 24 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 23 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 24 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 25 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 26 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 27 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 28 585 585 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 29 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 30 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 31 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 32 38 38 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 33 probable probable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 34 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 35 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 36 28 28 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 37 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 38 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 39 28 28 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 40 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 140 41 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 2 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 4 however however RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 5 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 6 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 7 63 63 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 8 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 9 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 10 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 11 first first RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 12 removed remove VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 13 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 14 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 15 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 141 17 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 142 1 24 24 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 1 This this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 2 omission omission NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 3 most most RBS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 4 likely likely RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 5 resulted result VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 6 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 7 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 8 overestimation overestimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 11 initial initial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 12 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 13 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 15 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 16 ignoring ignore VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 17 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 18 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 19 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 20 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 21 must must MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 22 have have VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 23 collectively collectively RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 24 played play VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 25 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 26 significant significant JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 27 role role NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 28 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 29 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 30 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 31 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 32 transmissions transmission NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 33 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 34 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 35 island island NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 36 nation nation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 143 37 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 2 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 3 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 5 role role NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 7 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 8 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 9 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 10 problematic problematic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 11 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 12 quantitate quantitate VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 13 when when WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 14 estimating estimate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 15 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 17 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 18 there there EX cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 19 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 20 no no DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 21 ' ' `` cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 22 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 23 ' ' '' cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 24 source source NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 25 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 26 infection infection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 27 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 28 these these DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 29 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 30 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 144 31 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 1 However however RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 3 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 4 discounting discount VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 6 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 7 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 8 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 9 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 10 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 12 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 13 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 14 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 15 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 16 data data NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 17 accounts account VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 18 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 19 more more JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 20 than than IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 21 10 10 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 22 % % NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 24 total total JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 25 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 26 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 27 one one PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 28 ignores ignore VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 29 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 30 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 31 caused cause VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 32 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 33 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 34 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 35 infective infective NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 36 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 37 hence hence RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 38 inevitably inevitably RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 39 overestimates overestimate VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 40 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 41 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 42 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 43 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 44 remaining remain VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 45 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 46 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 145 47 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 1 There there EX cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 2 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 3 several several JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 4 factors factor NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 5 relating relate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 6 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 7 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 8 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 9 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 10 might may MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 11 impact impact VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 13 estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 15 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 16 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 17 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 18 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 20 timing timing NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 21 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 23 size size NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 24 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 25 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 26 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 27 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 28 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 29 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 30 nature nature NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 31 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 32 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 33 resulting result VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 34 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 35 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 37 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 38 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 39 household household NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 40 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 41 community community NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 42 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 43 nosocomial nosocomial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 45 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 46 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 47 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 48 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 49 least least JJS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 50 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 51 all all PDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 52 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 53 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 54 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 55 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 56 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 57 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 58 under under IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 59 consideration consideration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 146 60 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 2 example example NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 4 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 5 few few JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 6 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 7 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 8 at at IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 10 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 11 stages stage NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 12 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 13 set set VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 14 off off RP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 15 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 16 fast fast RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 17 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 18 spreading spread VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 19 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 20 locally locally RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 22 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 23 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 24 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 25 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 27 would would MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 28 have have VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 29 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 30 decidedly decidedly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 31 different different JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 32 effect effect NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 33 when when WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 34 compared compare VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 35 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 36 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 37 situation situation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 38 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 39 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 40 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 41 scattered scatter VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 42 over over IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 43 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 44 long long JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 45 period period NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 46 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 47 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 48 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 49 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 50 less less RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 51 transmissible transmissible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 52 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 53 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 54 no no DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 55 apparent apparent JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 56 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 57 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 58 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 59 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 60 SARS SARS NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 61 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 62 unless unless IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 63 there there EX cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 64 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 65 very very RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 66 fastdeveloping fastdeveloping JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 67 local local JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 68 clusters cluster NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 69 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 70 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 71 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 72 nosocomial nosocomial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 73 spread spread NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 74 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 75 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 76 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 77 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 78 2003 2003 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 79 SARS SARS NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 80 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 147 81 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 1 A a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 2 study study NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 3 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 4 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 6 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 7 Victoria Victoria NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 8 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 9 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 11 indicates indicate VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 12 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 14 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 15 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 16 methods method NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 17 designed design VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 18 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 19 account account VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 20 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 21 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 22 undetected undetected JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 23 transmission transmission NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 24 caused cause VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 25 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 26 unidentified unidentified JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 27 imported import VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 28 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 29 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 30 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 31 mean mean JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 32 estimate estimate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 33 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 34 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 35 reduces reduce VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 36 dramatically dramatically RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 37 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 38 2AE4 2ae4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 39 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 40 1AE6 1ae6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 148 41 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 149 1 26 26 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 2 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 3 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 4 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 5 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 6 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 7 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 8 only only RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 9 slightly slightly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 10 higher high JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 11 than than IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 12 other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 13 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 14 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 15 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 16 studied study VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 18 see see VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 19 Figure figure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 20 3 3 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 23 but but CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 24 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 25 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 26 much much RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 27 larger large JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 28 confidence confidence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 29 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 150 30 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 1 In in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 2 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 3 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 4 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 5 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 6 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 7 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 8 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 9 both both DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 10 1-wave 1-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 11 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 12 2-wave 2-wave CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 13 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 14 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 15 fit fit VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 17 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 18 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 19 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 21 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 22 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 23 always always RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 24 larger large JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 25 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 26 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 27 first first JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 28 phase phase NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 29 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 30 May May NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 31 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 32 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 33 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 34 perhaps perhaps RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 35 indicative indicative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 36 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 38 initial initial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 39 severity severity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 40 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 41 lack lack NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 42 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 43 immunity immunity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 151 44 ⁄ ⁄ . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 1 intervention intervention NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 2 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 3 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 4 stages stage NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 5 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 6 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 7 novel novel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 8 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 152 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 2 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 3 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 4 higher high JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 5 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 6 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 7 earlier early JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 8 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 9 was be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 10 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 11 observed observe VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 12 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 14 22 22 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 15 after after IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 16 correction correction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 17 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 18 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 19 bias bias NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 153 20 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 2 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 3 particularly particularly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 4 interesting interesting JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 5 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 6 note note VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 7 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 8 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 9 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 10 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 11 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 12 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 14 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 15 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 16 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 17 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 18 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 19 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 20 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 21 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 22 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 23 multiple multiple JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 24 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 25 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 26 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 27 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 28 distinct distinct JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 30 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 32 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 33 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 34 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 35 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 36 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 37 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 39 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 40 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 41 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 42 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 43 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 44 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 45 highly highly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 46 comparable comparable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 154 47 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 3 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 4 events event NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 5 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 7 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 9 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 10 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 11 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 12 readily readily RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 13 available available JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 14 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 15 does do VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 16 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 17 converge converge VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 19 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 20 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 21 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 22 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 23 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 24 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 26 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 27 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 28 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 29 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 30 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 31 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 32 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 33 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 34 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 35 necessarily necessarily RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 36 accurate accurate JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 37 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 38 detecting detect VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 39 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 40 Among among IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 41 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 42 South south JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 43 American american JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 44 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 45 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 46 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 47 downturn downturn NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 48 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 49 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 50 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 51 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 52 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 53 occurred occur VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 54 earlier early RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 55 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 56 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 57 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 58 Chile Chile NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 59 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 60 June June NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 61 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 62 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 63 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 64 did do VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 65 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 66 experience experience VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 67 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 68 downtown downtown NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 69 until until IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 70 late late JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 71 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 155 72 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 1 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 2 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 4 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 5 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 7 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 8 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 9 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 10 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 11 slightly slightly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 12 ahead ahead RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 13 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 14 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 16 late late JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 17 July July NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 156 19 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 2 South South NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 3 Africa Africa NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 5 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 6 did do VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 7 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 8 turn turn VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 9 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 11 better well JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 12 until until IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 13 mid mid NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 14 - - NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 15 August August NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 157 16 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 3 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 4 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 5 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 6 multiple multiple JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 8 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 10 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 12 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 14 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 15 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 17 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 18 available available JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 19 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 20 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 21 fit fit NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 24 resulting result VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 25 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 26 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 27 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 28 reporting reporting NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 29 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 30 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 31 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 32 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 33 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 34 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 35 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 36 always always RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 37 follow follow VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 38 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 39 proper proper JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 40 chrono- chrono- NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 41 logical logical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 42 order order NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 43 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 44 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 45 progression progression NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 47 Table table NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 48 10 10 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 49 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 50 Figure Figure NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 51 4 4 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 53 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 54 including include VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 55 that that DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 56 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 57 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 58 where where WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 59 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 60 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 61 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 62 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 63 reporting reporting NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 64 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 65 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 66 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 67 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 68 fall fall VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 69 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 70 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 71 same same JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 72 e e NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 73 - - NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 74 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 158 75 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 1 This this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 2 gives give VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 3 further further JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 4 credence credence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 5 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 7 detection detection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 8 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 9 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 10 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 12 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 15 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 16 only only RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 17 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 18 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 19 incidence incidence NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 20 but but CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 21 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 22 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 24 temporal temporal JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 25 changes change NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 26 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 27 disease disease NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 28 progression progression NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 29 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 30 treatment treatment NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 31 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 32 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 33 infected infected JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 34 individuals individual NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 159 35 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 2 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 3 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 4 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 5 general general JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 7 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 8 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 10 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 11 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 12 correspond correspond VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 13 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 14 peaks peak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 15 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 16 valleys valley NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 17 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 18 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 20 curve curve NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 160 21 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 1 However however RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 3 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 4 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 5 result result NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 7 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 8 variations variation NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 9 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 10 multiple multiple JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 11 spikes spike NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 12 often often RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 13 appear appear VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 14 around around IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 15 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 16 peaks peak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 161 17 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 3 some some DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 4 temporary temporary JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 5 deceleration deceleration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 6 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 7 acceleration acceleration NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 8 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 10 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 11 rate rate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 12 might may MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 13 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 14 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 15 related relate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 16 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 17 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 18 declining decline VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 162 20 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 2 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 3 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 4 has have VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 6 advantage advantage NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 7 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 8 isolating isolate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 9 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 10 small small JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 11 range range NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 13 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 14 period period NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 15 during during IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 16 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 18 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 19 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 21 up up IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 22 turns turn NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 23 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 24 down down RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 25 turns turn NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 27 may may MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 28 have have VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 29 occurred occur VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 163 30 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 164 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 164 2 13 13 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 164 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 164 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 164 5 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 164 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 2 15 15 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 5 16 16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 165 7 25 25 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 2 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 3 note note VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 4 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 6 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 7 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 10 sizes size NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 12 K K NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 13 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 14 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 15 closely closely RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 16 approximate approximate VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 18 actual actual JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 19 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 20 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 21 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 23 periods period NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 24 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 25 Table Table NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 26 9 9 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 166 27 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 1 Estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 2 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 3 effective effective JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 5 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 6 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 7 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 8 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 9 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 10 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 11 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 12 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 13 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 14 T T NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 15 obtained obtain VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 16 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 17 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 18 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 19 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 20 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 21 US US NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 22 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 24 a a LS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 26 T t NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 27 = = NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 29 2AE6 2ae6 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 30 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 31 3AE2 3ae2 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 33 19 19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 34 14 14 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 35 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 36 16 16 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 37 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 38 hence hence RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 39 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 40 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 41 repeated repeat VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 42 here here RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 167 43 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 1 In in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 2 addition addition NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 3 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 4 existing exist VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 5 pre pre JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 6 - - NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 7 immunity immunity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 8 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 9 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 10 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 11 R R NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 12 may may MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 13 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 14 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 15 influenced influence VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 16 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 17 factors factor NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 18 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 19 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 20 social social JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 21 mixing mix VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 22 patterns pattern NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 23 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 24 access access NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 25 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 26 medical medical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 27 care care NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 28 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 29 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 30 level level NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 31 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 32 intervention intervention NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 33 measures measure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 34 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 35 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 36 country country NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 168 37 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 1 To to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 2 address address VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 3 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 4 issue issue NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 5 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 6 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 7 specific specific JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 8 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 9 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 10 country country NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 11 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 12 required require VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 13 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 14 account account VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 15 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 17 social social JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 18 mixing mixing NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 19 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 20 healthcare healthcare NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 21 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 22 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 23 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 24 country country NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 25 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 26 as as RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 27 well well RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 28 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 29 any any DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 30 specific specific JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 31 interventions intervention NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 32 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 33 were be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 34 implemented implement VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 35 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 36 but but CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 37 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 38 beyond beyond IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 39 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 40 scope scope NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 41 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 42 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 43 work work NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 169 44 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 1 Numerous numerous JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 2 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 3 models model NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 4 have have VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 5 been be VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 6 proposed propose VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 8 e.g. e.g. RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 9 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 10 27 27 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 11 - - SYM cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 12 30 30 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 14 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 15 give give VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 16 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 17 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 18 dependent dependent JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 19 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 20 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 21 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 22 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 23 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 24 could could MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 25 change change VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 26 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 27 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 28 owing owe VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 29 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 30 interventions intervention NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 31 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 32 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 33 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 34 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 35 depletion depletion NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 36 but but CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 37 requires require VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 38 more more RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 39 detailed detailed JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 40 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 41 high high JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 42 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 43 quality quality NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 44 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 170 45 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 4 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 5 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 6 provides provide VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 7 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 8 swift swift JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 9 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 10 viable viable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 11 method method NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 12 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 13 quick quick JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 14 estimate estimate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 15 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 16 R r NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 17 as as RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 18 well well RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 19 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 20 identifying identify VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 21 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 22 important important JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 23 turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 24 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 25 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 26 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 27 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 28 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 29 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 30 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 31 minimal minimal JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 32 requirement requirement NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 33 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 34 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 35 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 36 that that WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 37 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 38 typically typically RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 39 available available JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 40 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 41 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 42 public public NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 171 43 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 2 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 3 interesting interesting JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 4 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 5 note note VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 6 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 7 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 8 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 9 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 12 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 13 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 14 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 15 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 16 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 17 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 18 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 19 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 20 available available JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 21 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 23 web web NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 24 ; ; : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 25 therefore therefore RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 26 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 28 used use VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 29 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 30 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 31 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 32 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 33 severe severe JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 34 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 35 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 36 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 37 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 38 include include VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 39 but but CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 40 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 41 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 42 limited limited JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 43 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 44 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 45 confirmed confirm VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 46 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 47 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 172 48 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 1 However however RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 4 resulting result VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 5 estimate estimate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 6 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 7 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 8 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 9 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 10 surprisingly surprisingly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 11 similar similar JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 12 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 14 estimates estimate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 15 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 16 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 17 case case NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 18 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 19 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 20 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 21 death death NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 22 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 173 23 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 5 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 6 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 7 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 8 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 9 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 10 also also RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 11 consistent consistent JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 12 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 13 those those DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 14 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 15 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 16 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 17 deaths death NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 174 18 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 1 Most Most JJS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 2 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 4 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 5 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 6 countries country NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 7 studied study VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 8 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 10 substantial substantial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 11 size size NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 13 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 14 thus thus RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 15 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 17 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 18 different different JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 19 timings timing NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 20 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 21 different different JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 22 regions region NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 175 23 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 1 For for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 2 example example NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 4 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 5 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 6 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 7 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 9 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 10 Victoria Victoria NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 11 was be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 12 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 13 full full JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 14 month month NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 15 ahead ahead RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 16 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 17 some some DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 18 other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 19 states state NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 20 might may MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 21 well well RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 22 have have VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 23 impacted impact VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 24 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 26 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 27 other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 28 states state NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 176 29 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 1 In in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 2 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 3 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 4 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 5 instead instead RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 6 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 7 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 8 national national JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 9 totals total NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 10 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 12 detailed detailed JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 13 data datum NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 14 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 15 each each DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 16 region region NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 17 are be VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 18 needed need VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 19 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 20 account account VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 21 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 23 regional regional JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 24 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 177 25 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 1 However however RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 3 other other JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 4 factors factor NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 5 such such JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 6 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 7 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 8 level level NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 10 mobility mobility NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 11 between between IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 12 regions region NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 13 must must MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 14 then then RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 15 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 16 considered consider VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 17 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 18 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 19 would would MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 20 call call VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 21 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 22 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 23 complicated complicated JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 24 model model NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 25 with with IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 26 spatial spatial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 27 elements element NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 28 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 29 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 30 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 31 again again RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 32 beyond beyond IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 33 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 34 scope scope NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 35 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 36 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 37 study study NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 178 38 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 1 In in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 2 summary summary NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 5 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 6 suggest suggest VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 7 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 8 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 9 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 11 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 13 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 18 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 19 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 21 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 22 indicated indicate VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 23 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 24 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 25 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 26 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 27 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 28 was be VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 29 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 30 dissimilar dissimilar JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 31 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 32 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 33 earlier early JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 34 spring spring NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 35 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 36 23 23 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 37 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 38 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 39 fall fall NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 179 40 ⁄ ⁄ . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 180 1 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 180 2 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 180 3 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 180 4 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 180 5 northern northern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 180 6 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 1 based base VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 2 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 3 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 4 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 5 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 6 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 7 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 8 study study NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 9 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 11 fall fall NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 181 12 ⁄ ⁄ . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 1 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 2 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 3 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 4 Taiwan Taiwan NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 5 using use VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 7 same same JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 8 modeling modeling NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 9 approach approach NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 182 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 2 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 3 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 4 current current JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 5 strain strain NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 6 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 7 while while IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 8 circulating circulate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 9 around around IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 10 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 11 globe globe NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 12 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 13 has have VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 14 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 15 become become VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 16 more more RBR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 17 severe severe JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 18 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 19 transmissible transmissible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 20 either either CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 21 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 22 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 23 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 24 or or CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 25 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 26 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 27 northern northern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 28 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 29 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 30 as as IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 31 some some DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 32 experts expert NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 33 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 34 cautioned caution VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 183 35 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 2 results result NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 3 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 4 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 5 corroborate corroborate VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 6 earlier early JJR cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 7 findings finding NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 8 that that IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 10 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 12 had have VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 13 not not RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 14 been be VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 15 severe severe JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 17 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 18 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 19 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 20 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 21 31 31 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 22 will will MD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 23 be be VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 24 useful useful JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 25 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 26 global global JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 27 preparedness preparedness NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 28 planning planning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 29 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 30 possible possible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 31 tertiary tertiary JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 32 waves wave NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 33 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 34 pH1N1 pH1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 35 infections infection NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 36 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 38 fall fall NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 184 39 ⁄ ⁄ . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 1 winter winter NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 2 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 3 both both CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 4 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 5 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 6 northern northern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 7 hemispheres hemisphere NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 8 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 9 2010 2010 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 10 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 185 11 _SP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 1 Swine Swine NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 2 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 3 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 5 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 7 Infection infection NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 8 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 9 Two two CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 186 10 Children child NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 187 1 -Southern -Southern NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 188 1 California California NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 188 2 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 188 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 188 4 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 188 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 188 6 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 1 -update -update JJS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 2 88 88 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 3 Managing manage VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 4 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 5 Reducing reduce VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 6 Uncertainty Uncertainty NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 7 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 8 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 9 Emerging Emerging NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 10 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 11 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 12 INFLUENZA influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 13 PANDÉ PANDÉ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 14 MICA MICA NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 16 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 189 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 1 Brazilian Brazilian NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 2 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 3 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 4 Health Health NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 5 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 6 Surveillance Surveillance NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 7 Report Report NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 8 No no NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 9 . . NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 10 19 19 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 12 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 14 week week NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 15 ending end VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 16 18 18 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 17 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 18 National National NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 19 Institute Institute NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 20 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 21 Communicable communicable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 22 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 24 NICD NICD NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 26 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 27 South South NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 28 Africa Africa NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 190 29 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 1 NICD NICD NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 2 Weekly Weekly NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 3 Situation Situation NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 4 Report Report NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 5 A a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 6 flexible flexible JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 7 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 8 function function NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 9 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 10 empirical empirical JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 191 11 use use NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 1 How how WRB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 2 generation generation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 3 intervals interval NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 4 shape shape VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 5 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 6 relationship relationship NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 7 between between IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 8 growth growth NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 9 rates rate NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 10 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 11 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 192 12 numbers number NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 2 ideal ideal JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 3 reporting reporting NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 4 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 5 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 6 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 8 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 9 objectively objectively RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 10 interpret interpret VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 11 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 12 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 13 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 14 course course NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 15 Real real JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 16 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 17 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 18 forecast forecast NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 19 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 20 multi multi JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 21 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 22 wave wave JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 24 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 25 Richards Richards NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 26 Model Model NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 27 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 28 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 29 simple simple JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 30 procedure procedure NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 31 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 32 real real JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 33 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 34 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 35 prediction prediction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 36 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 37 outbreak outbreak NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 38 severity severity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 39 Turning turn VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 40 points point NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 41 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 42 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 43 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 44 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 45 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 46 impact impact NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 47 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 48 climatological climatological JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 49 events event NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 50 on on IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 51 multi multi JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 52 - - JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 53 wave wave JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 54 dengue dengue NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 55 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 56 Understanding understand VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 57 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 58 transmission transmission NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 59 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 60 immunity immunity NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 61 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 62 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 63 threats threat NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 64 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 65 potential potential NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 66 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 67 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 68 strain strain NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 69 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 70 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 71 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 72 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 73 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 74 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 75 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 76 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 77 findings finding NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 78 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 79 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 80 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 81 control control NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 82 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 193 83 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 1 influenza influenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 2 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 4 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 6 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 7 Estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 8 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 9 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 10 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 11 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 13 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 14 serial serial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 15 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 17 early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 18 phase phase NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 19 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 20 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 21 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 22 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 23 A a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 24 ⁄ ⁄ NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 25 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 26 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 27 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 28 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 29 USA USA NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 30 Epidemiology Epidemiology NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 31 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 32 control control NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 33 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 34 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 35 A(H1N1)v A(H1N1)v NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 36 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 37 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 38 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 39 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 40 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 41 first first JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 42 115 115 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 43 cases case NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 44 Initial initial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 45 human human JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 46 transmission transmission NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 47 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 48 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 49 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 50 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 194 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 1 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 3 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 4 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 5 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 6 North North NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 7 America America NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 8 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 10 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 11 impact impact NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 14 infl infl XX cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 15 uenza uenza NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 16 A A NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 18 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 20 2009 2009 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 21 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 22 Estimating estimate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 23 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 24 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 25 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 26 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 27 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 28 novel novel JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 29 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 30 A a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 31 virus virus NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 33 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 35 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 36 a a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 37 Southern Southern NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 38 Hemisphere Hemisphere NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 39 setting setting NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 40 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 41 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 42 estimate estimate NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 43 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 44 New New NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 45 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 46 Intervention Intervention NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 47 measures measure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 48 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 49 turning turning NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 50 point point NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 51 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 52 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 53 reproduction reproduction NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 54 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 55 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 56 dengue dengue NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 57 Early early JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 58 transmission transmission NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 59 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 60 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 61 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 62 A(H1N1)v a(h1n1)v NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 63 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 64 Australia Australia NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 65 : : : cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 66 Victorian victorian JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 195 67 state state NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 1 Different different JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 3 curves curve NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 4 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 5 severe severe JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 6 acute acute JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 7 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 8 syndrome syndrome NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 9 reveal reveal VBP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 10 similar similar JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 11 impacts impact NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 12 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 13 control control NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 14 measures measure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 15 Estimating estimate VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 16 in in IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 17 real real JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 18 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 19 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 20 efficacy efficacy NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 21 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 22 measures measure NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 23 to to TO cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 24 control control VB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 25 emerging emerge VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 26 communicable communicable JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 27 diseases disease NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 28 Real real JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 29 Time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 30 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 31 estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 32 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 33 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 34 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 35 potential potential NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 36 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 37 emerging emerge VBG cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 38 infectious infectious JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 196 39 diseases disease NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 1 A a DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 2 likelihood likelihood NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 3 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 4 based base VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 5 method method NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 6 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 7 real real JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 8 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 9 time time NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 10 estimation estimation NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 11 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 12 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 13 serial serial JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 14 interval interval NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 15 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 16 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 17 number number NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 18 of of IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 19 an an DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 197 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 1 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 2 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 3 influenza influenza NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 4 lessons lesson NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 5 from from IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 7 southern southern JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 8 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 9 YHH YHH NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 10 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 11 supported support VBN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 12 by by IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 13 grants grant NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 15 NSC NSC NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 198 16 97 97 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 1 -2314-B-039 -2314-B-039 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 2 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 3 013-MY3 013-MY3 NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 4 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 5 NSC NSC NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 6 97 97 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 7 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 8 2118-M-039 2118-m-039 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 9 - - HYPH cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 10 004 004 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 11 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 13 CMU CMU NNP cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 14 97 97 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 15 323 323 CD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-003298-vojbn0p4 199 17 . . . cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 1 The the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 2 author author NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 3 is be VBZ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 4 grateful grateful JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 5 to to IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 6 the the DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 7 reviewers reviewer NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 8 for for IN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 9 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 10 insightful insightful JJ cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 11 comments comment NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 12 and and CC cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 13 suggestions suggestion NNS cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 14 , , , cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 15 which which WDT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 16 significantly significantly RB cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 17 improved improve VBD cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 18 this this DT cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 19 manuscript manuscript NN cord-003298-vojbn0p4 200 20 . . .