id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-285061-7vah0pjm	Khosravi, A.	The basic reproduction number and prediction of the epidemic size of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in Shahroud, Iran	2020-06-10		.txt	text/plain	2919	146	58	title: The basic reproduction number and prediction of the epidemic size of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in Shahroud, Iran The aim of this study was to estimate the basic reproduction number (R(0)) of COVID-19 in the early stage of the epidemic and predict the expected number of new cases in Shahroud in Northeastern Iran. The basic reproduction number (R 0 ) is the average expected number of new cases infected by a primary case and must be estimated early during an epidemic [4, 5] . Given the high incidence rate in the region, the aim of this report is to estimate the R 0 of the COVID-19 in the early stage of the epidemic (20 February to 04 March) and predict the trajectory of the epidemic and new cases in Shahroud. During the first 42 days of the epidemic (20 February to 01 April 2020), a total of 993 suspected samples were tested for COVID-19 in Shahroud, and 424 (42.7%) of them tested positive.	./cache/cord-285061-7vah0pjm.txt	./txt/cord-285061-7vah0pjm.txt