id sid tid token lemma pos cord-318787-z6q11loy 1 1 key key JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 1 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 2 cord-318787-z6q11loy cord-318787-z6q11loy NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 3 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 4 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 5 Ahmad Ahmad NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 6 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 7 Naim Naim NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 8 title title NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 9 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 11 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 12 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 13 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 14 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 15 Using use VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 17 Modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 18 Susceptible Susceptible NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 19 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 20 Exposed exposed JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 21 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 22 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 23 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 2 24 Recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 2 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 4 Model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 5 date date NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 6 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 7 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 8 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 9 09 09 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 10 - - SYM cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 11 14 14 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 12 journal journal NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 13 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 14 Cureus Cureus NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 15 DOI DOI NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 3 16 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 4 1 10.7759 10.7759 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 4 2 / / SYM cord-318787-z6q11loy 4 3 cureus.10452 cureus.10452 NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 4 4 sha sha NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 4 5 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 5 1 9a7636b55eac36dba1967480b666cf583814b506 9a7636b55eac36dba1967480b666cf583814b506 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 5 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 5 3 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 6 1 318787 318787 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 6 2 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 6 3 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 6 4 z6q11loy z6q11loy NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 2 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 3 disease disease NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 4 2019 2019 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 9 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 10 created create VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 11 unprecedented unprecedented JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 12 healthcare healthcare NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 13 emergencies emergency NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 14 across across IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 16 globe globe NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 7 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 2 World World NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 3 Health Health NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 4 Organization Organization NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 6 WHO who WP cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 8 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 9 proposed propose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 10 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 11 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 13 SD SD NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 15 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 16 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 17 prudent prudent JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 18 measure measure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 19 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 20 contain contain VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 21 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 23 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 24 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 25 hence hence RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 26 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 27 governments government NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 28 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 29 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 30 enacting enact VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 31 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 32 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 33 varied varied JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 34 nature nature NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 8 35 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 1 These these DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 2 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 3 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 4 causing cause VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 5 economic economic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 6 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 7 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 8 strain strain NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 10 warrant warrant VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 12 development development NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 13 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 14 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 15 models model NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 16 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 17 optimally optimally RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 18 manage manage VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 9 21 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 3 extensive extensive JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 4 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 5 aids aids NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 6 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 7 early early JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 8 detection detection NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 12 hence hence RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 13 containing contain VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 15 spread spread NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 16 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 10 19 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 1 Compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 2 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 3 models model NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 4 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 5 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 6 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 7 extensively extensively RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 8 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 9 modeling model VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 10 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 12 diseases disease NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 11 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 1 This this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 2 paper paper NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 3 attempts attempt VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 4 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 5 utilize utilize VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 7 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 8 Susceptible Susceptible NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 9 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 10 Exposed exposed JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 11 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 12 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 13 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 14 Recovered recovered JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 16 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 18 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 19 incorporating incorporate VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 20 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 21 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 22 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 23 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 24 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 25 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 26 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 27 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 28 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 29 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 30 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 31 compartments compartment NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 32 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 33 study study VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 34 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 35 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 36 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 37 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 38 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 39 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 12 40 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 1 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 2 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 3 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 4 put put VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 5 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 6 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 8 movement movement NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 10 people people NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 11 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 12 different different JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 13 phases phase NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 14 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 15 ascertain ascertain VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 16 SD SD NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 13 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 1 Time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 2 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 3 dependent dependent JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 5 based base VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 6 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 8 timeline timeline NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 10 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 12 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 13 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 14 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 15 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 16 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 17 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 18 introduced introduce VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 19 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 20 capture capture VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 21 SD SD NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 22 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 23 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 14 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 2 arrived arrive VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 3 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 4 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 5 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 6 validated validate VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 7 through through IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 8 statistical statistical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 9 tests test NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 15 10 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 2 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 3 Formula formula NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 4 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 5 see see VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 6 text text NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 16 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 2 R r NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 3 naught naught NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 5 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 6 basic basic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 7 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 8 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 10 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 11 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 12 ranged range VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 13 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 14 0.6014 0.6014 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 15 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 16 2.7860 2.7860 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 17 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 18 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 19 average average NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 20 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 21 1.4904 1.4904 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 22 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 23 currently currently RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 24 holds hold VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 25 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 26 0.8952 0.8952 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 17 27 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 1 In in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 3 absence absence NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 5 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 6 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 7 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 8 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 11 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 12 predicts predict VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 14 threshold threshold NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 15 herd herd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 16 immunity immunity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 17 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 18 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 19 69.31 69.31 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 20 % % NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 23 Formula formula NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 24 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 25 see see VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 26 text text NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 28 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 29 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 30 3.26 3.26 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 18 31 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 3 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 4 analysis analysis NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 5 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 6 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 7 conducted conduct VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 8 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 9 alleviating alleviate VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 11 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 12 measure measure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 19 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 2 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 3 show show VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 4 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 5 early early JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 6 lifting lifting NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 7 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 8 all all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 9 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 10 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 11 undo undo VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 12 all all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 13 efforts effort NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 14 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 16 containment containment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 17 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 20 21 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 2 outcome outcome NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 4 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 5 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 6 help help VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 7 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 8 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 9 medical medical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 10 practitioners practitioner NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 11 prepare prepare VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 12 better better RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 13 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 14 manage manage VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 17 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 21 19 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 2 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 4 disease disease NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 5 2019 2019 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 10 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 11 spread spread VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 12 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 14 Chinese chinese JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 15 city city NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 16 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 17 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 22 18 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 2 mainly mainly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 3 causes cause VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 5 common common JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 6 cold cold NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 7 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 8 could could MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 9 cause cause VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 10 severe severe JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 11 acute acute JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 12 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 13 syndrome syndrome NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 15 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 16 develop develop VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 17 into into IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 18 fatal fatal JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 19 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 21 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 23 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 2 transmits transmit VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 3 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 4 person person NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 5 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 6 person person NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 7 through through IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 8 direct direct JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 10 indirect indirect JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 11 contact contact NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 14 fecal fecal JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 15 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 16 oral oral JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 17 route route NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 19 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 20 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 21 aerosolized aerosolize VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 22 droplets droplet NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 24 2 2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 27 3 3 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 24 29 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 2 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 3 first first RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 4 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 5 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 6 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 7 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 8 late late JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 9 December December NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 10 2019 2019 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 14 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 15 case case NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 16 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 17 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 18 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 19 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 20 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 21 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 22 March March NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 23 2 2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 24 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 25 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 27 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 25 29 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 1 As as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 2 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 3 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 4 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 5 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 6 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 7 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 8 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 9 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 10 total total NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 11 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 12 303,973 303,973 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 14 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 16 out out IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 17 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 18 which which WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 19 275,476 275,476 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 20 people people NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 21 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 22 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 23 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 24 3,548 3,548 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 25 died die VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 26 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 27 leaving leave VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 28 24,949 24,949 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 29 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 30 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 32 4 4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 26 34 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 3 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 4 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 5 created create VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 6 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 7 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 9 movement movement NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 10 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 11 people people NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 13 everyday everyday JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 14 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 15 activities activity NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 17 which which WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 18 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 19 termed term VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 20 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 21 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 22 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 24 SD SD NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 27 26 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 1 As as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 3 World World NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 4 Health Health NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 5 Organization Organization NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 7 WHO who WP cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 9 endorses endorse VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 10 physical physical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 11 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 13 wearing wear VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 14 masks mask NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 16 washing wash VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 17 hands hand NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 18 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 19 soap soap NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 22 cleaning clean VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 23 hands hand NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 24 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 25 alcohol alcohol NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 26 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 27 based base VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 28 hand hand NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 29 rubs rub NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 30 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 31 some some DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 32 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 33 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 34 solutions solution NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 35 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 36 contain contain VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 37 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 38 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 39 until until IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 40 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 41 effective effective JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 42 drug drug NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 43 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 44 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 45 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 46 available available JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 28 47 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 1 This this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 2 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 3 resulted result VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 4 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 5 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 6 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 7 severe severe JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 8 strains strain NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 9 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 11 economic economic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 12 activities activity NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 13 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 15 mental mental JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 16 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 17 psychological psychological JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 18 well well NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 19 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 20 being being NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 21 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 22 many many JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 29 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 3 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 4 strike strike VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 5 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 6 balance balance NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 7 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 8 healthcare healthcare NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 10 economy economy NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 12 decision decision NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 13 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 14 makers maker NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 15 need need VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 16 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 17 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 18 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 19 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 20 predict predict VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 21 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 23 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 24 order order NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 25 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 26 ease ease VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 27 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 28 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 29 resume resume VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 30 economic economic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 31 activities activity NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 32 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 33 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 34 protect protect VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 35 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 36 mental mental JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 37 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 38 psychological psychological JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 39 well well NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 40 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 41 being being NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 42 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 43 people people NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 30 44 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 1 Compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 2 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 3 models model NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 4 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 5 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 6 widely widely RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 7 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 8 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 9 quantify quantify VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 11 trends trend NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 12 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 13 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 14 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 15 diseases disease NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 31 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 1 This this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 2 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 3 aims aim VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 4 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 5 using use VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 6 such such PDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 7 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 8 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 9 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 10 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 11 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 12 analyze analyze VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 14 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 15 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 19 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 20 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 21 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 32 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 2 base base NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 3 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 4 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 5 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 7 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 8 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 9 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 10 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 11 Recovered recovered JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 16 5 5 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 18 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 20 extension extension NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 21 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 23 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 24 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 25 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 26 Exposed exposed JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 27 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 28 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 29 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 30 Recovered recovered JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 32 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 33 34 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 1 To to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 2 study study VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 5 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 10 several several JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 11 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 12 SEIR seir NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 13 models model NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 14 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 15 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 16 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 17 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 18 incorporate incorporate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 19 various various JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 20 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 21 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 22 especially especially RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 23 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 24 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 25 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 26 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 28 public public JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 29 responses response NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 30 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 31 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 32 mobility mobility NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 33 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 35 2 2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 36 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 37 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 38 6 6 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 39 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 40 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 41 7 7 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 42 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 43 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 44 8 8 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 45 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 46 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 47 9 9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 48 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 34 49 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 2 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 3 models model NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 4 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 5 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 6 large large JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 7 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 8 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 10 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 11 increase increase VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 12 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 13 complexity complexity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 35 14 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 1 Incorporation incorporation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 2 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 3 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 4 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 5 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 6 essential essential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 7 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 8 Hubbs Hubbs NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 10 10 10 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 12 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 13 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 14 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 15 single single JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 16 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 17 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 18 incorporate incorporate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 19 SD SD NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 36 20 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 3 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 5 measure measure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 6 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 7 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 8 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 9 varies vary VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 10 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 11 time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 13 hence hence RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 14 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 15 De De NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 16 Falco Falco NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 17 et et NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 18 al al NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 19 . . NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 20 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 21 introduced introduce VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 22 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 23 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 25 11 11 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 37 27 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 1 Dur Dur NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 2 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 3 e e NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 4 - - NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 5 Ahmad Ahmad NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 6 et et NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 7 al al NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 38 8 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 2 9 9 LS cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 4 incorporate incorporate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 6 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 7 among among IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 9 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 10 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 11 similar similar JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 12 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 13 that that DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 17 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 18 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 19 identified identify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 20 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 21 He -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 22 et et FW cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 23 al al NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 39 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 40 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 40 2 12 12 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 40 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 40 4 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 1 And and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 2 Berger Berger NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 3 et et NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 4 al al NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 5 . . NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 6 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 7 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 9 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 10 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 11 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 12 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 13 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 15 7 7 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 41 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 2 objective objective NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 4 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 5 paper paper NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 7 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 8 model model VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 12 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 13 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 14 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 15 using use VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 16 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 17 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 18 including include VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 19 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 21 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 22 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 23 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 24 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 25 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 26 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 27 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 28 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 29 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 30 populations population NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 42 31 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 1 For for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 3 simulation simulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 6 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 7 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 8 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 10 Python Python NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 11 language language NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 12 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 13 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 14 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 15 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 16 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 17 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 18 validated validate VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 19 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 20 statistical statistical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 21 analysis analysis NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 43 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 4 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 5 analysis analysis NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 6 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 7 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 8 done do VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 9 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 10 calculate calculate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 11 threshold threshold NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 12 herd herd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 13 immunity immunity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 15 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 16 study study VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 18 effects effect NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 19 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 20 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 21 alleviation alleviation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 22 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 23 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 44 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 2 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 3 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 4 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 5 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 6 divides divide VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 8 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 10 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 11 into into IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 12 four four CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 13 compartments compartment NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 14 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 15 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 17 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 22 recovered recover VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 45 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 2 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 3 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 4 represents represent VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 5 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 6 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 7 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 8 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 9 prone prone JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 10 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 11 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 13 whereas whereas IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 15 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 16 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 17 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 18 acquired acquire VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 19 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 20 but but CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 21 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 22 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 46 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 1 An an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 3 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 4 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 5 symptoms symptom NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 6 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 8 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 9 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 10 fever fever NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 12 cough cough NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 15 fatigue fatigue NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 16 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 17 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 18 infect infect VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 20 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 21 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 47 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 1 Finally finally RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 4 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 5 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 6 represents represent VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 7 Individuals individual NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 8 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 9 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 10 either either CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 11 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 12 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 13 died die VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 48 14 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 1 Mathematically mathematically RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 2 different different JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 3 compartments compartment NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 4 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 5 governed govern VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 6 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 7 following follow VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 8 differential differential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 9 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 11 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 14 2 2 LS cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 17 3 3 LS cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 20 4 4 LS cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 49 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 2 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 3 assumed assume VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 4 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 6 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 7 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 10 remains remain VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 11 fixed fix VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 13 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 14 individuals individual NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 15 remain remain VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 16 immune immune JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 17 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 19 disease disease NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 20 during during IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 21 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 22 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 23 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 50 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 2 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 3 represents represent VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 5 average average JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 6 contact contact NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 7 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 8 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 10 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 12 inverse inverse NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 13 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 15 central central JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 16 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 17 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 18 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 19 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 20 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 21 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 22 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 51 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 1 There there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 2 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 3 also also RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 4 one one CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 5 important important JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 6 index index NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 7 R r NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 8 Naught naught NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 10 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 11 known know VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 12 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 14 basic basic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 15 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 16 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 17 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 18 signifies signify VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 20 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 21 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 23 individuals individual NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 24 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 25 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 26 get get VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 27 infected infect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 28 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 29 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 30 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 31 individual individual NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 52 32 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 4 needs need NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 5 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 6 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 7 less less JJR cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 8 than than IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 9 one one CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 10 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 11 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 13 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 14 die die VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 15 out out RP cord-318787-z6q11loy 53 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 1 In in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 3 SEIR seir NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 4 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 5 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 6 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 7 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 8 one one CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 9 more more JJR cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 10 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 11 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 12 introduced introduce VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 13 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 14 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 15 SD SD NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 16 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 17 varies vary VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 18 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 19 0 0 NFP cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 21 ideal ideal JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 22 isolation isolation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 24 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 25 1 1 LS cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 27 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 28 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 31 10 10 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 54 33 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 1 And and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 2 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 3 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 4 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 5 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 6 case case NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 7 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 9 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 10 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 11 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 12 vary vary VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 13 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 14 time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 15 based base VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 16 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 18 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 19 measure measure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 20 variations variation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 22 11 11 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 55 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 3 Dur Dur NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 4 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 5 e e NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 6 - - NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 7 Ahmad Ahmad NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 8 et et NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 9 al al NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 10 . . NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 11 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 12 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 13 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 14 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 15 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 17 relative relative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 18 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 19 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 20 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 22 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 23 compartments compartment NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 24 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 25 respectively respectively RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 27 9 9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 56 29 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 3 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 4 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 5 studies study NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 6 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 7 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 8 added add VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 9 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 10 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 11 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 12 testing test VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 14 7 7 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 57 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 1 Hence hence RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 3 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 4 composite composite JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 5 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 6 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 7 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 8 net net JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 9 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 10 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 11 computed compute VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 12 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 15 mathematically mathematically RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 18 positive positive JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 19 part part NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 20 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 21 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 22 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 25 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 26 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 28 meaning mean VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 29 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 30 negative negative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 31 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 32 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 33 it -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 34 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 35 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 36 zero zero CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 58 37 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 5 formulation formulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 6 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 8 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 9 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 10 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 11 adopted adopt VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 12 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 14 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 15 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 16 changes change VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 17 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 19 1,2 1,2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 21 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 22 follows follow VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 23 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 24 whereas whereas IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 25 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 26 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 28 3,4 3,4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 30 remain remain VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 31 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 32 same same JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 59 33 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 2 basic basic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 4 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 7 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 8 " " `` cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 9 defined define VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 10 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 12 expected expect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 13 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 15 secondary secondary JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 16 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 17 produced produce VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 18 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 19 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 20 single single JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 22 typical typical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 24 infection infection NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 25 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 26 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 27 completely completely RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 28 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 29 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 30 " " '' cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 32 13 13 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 60 34 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 1 A a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 2 nextgeneration nextgeneration NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 3 matrix matrix NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 4 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 5 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 6 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 7 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 8 drive drive VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 10 equation equation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 11 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 13 14 14 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 61 15 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 1 Using use VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 2 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 4 6 6 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 5 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 6 3 3 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 8 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 9 new new JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 10 functions function NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 12 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 13 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 14 defined define VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 15 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 16 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 18 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 19 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 20 new new JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 21 infections infection NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 22 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 23 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 24 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 25 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 26 transfer transfer NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 27 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 28 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 29 out out IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 30 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 31 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 32 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 33 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 34 compartments compartment NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 62 35 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 4 matrices matrix NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 5 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 6 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 7 defined define VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 8 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 9 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 10 shown show VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 11 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 12 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 14 7 7 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 16 8) 8) NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 63 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 1 And and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 3 next next JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 4 generation generation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 5 matrix matrix NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 7 defined define VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 8 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 64 9 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 2 largest large JJS cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 3 eigenvalue eigenvalue NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 7 spectral spectral JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 8 radius radius NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 10 gives give VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 12 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 13 given give VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 14 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 15 equation equation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 17 9 9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 65 19 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 1 There there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 2 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 3 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 4 total total NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 5 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 6 seven seven CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 8 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 10 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 16 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 17 one one CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 18 derived derived JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 19 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 66 20 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 1 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 2 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 3 disease disease NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 4 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 5 specific specific JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 6 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 7 calculated calculate VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 8 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 9 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 10 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 12 periods period NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 67 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 1 signifies signify VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 3 contact contact NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 4 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 5 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 7 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 8 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 10 accounting account VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 11 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 12 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 13 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 15 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 17 respectively respectively RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 19 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 20 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 21 net net JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 22 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 68 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 1 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 2 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 3 modification modification NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 5 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 7 relative relative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 8 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 10 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 13 populations population NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 69 14 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 2 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 3 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 5 ): ): NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 6 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 7 time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 8 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 9 during during IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 10 which which WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 12 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 13 people people NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 14 become become VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 16 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 17 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 18 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 19 called call VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 20 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 21 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 22 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 70 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 2 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 3 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 4 ranges range VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 5 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 6 two two CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 7 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 8 14 14 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 9 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 11 15 15 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 71 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 1 Generally generally RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 4 mid mid NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 5 - - NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 6 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 7 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 8 7 7 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 9 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 10 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 12 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 13 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 14 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 15 considered consider VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 16 but but CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 17 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 19 case case NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 20 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 21 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 22 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 23 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 24 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 25 median median JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 26 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 27 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 28 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 29 identified identify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 30 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 31 six six CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 32 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 34 16 16 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 72 36 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 2 inverse inverse NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 5 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 6 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 7 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 8 known know VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 9 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 11 incubation incubation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 12 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 73 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 74 1 Infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 74 2 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 2 ): ): NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 3 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 4 time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 5 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 6 during during IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 7 which which WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 8 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 9 individual individual NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 10 remains remain VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 13 thereafter thereafter RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 14 recovers recover VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 15 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 16 dies die VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 75 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 1 This this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 2 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 3 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 4 given give VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 5 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 6 zero zero CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 7 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 8 10 10 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 9 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 11 17 17 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 14 three three CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 15 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 16 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 17 seven seven CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 18 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 20 18 18 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 22 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 23 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 24 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 25 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 27 19 19 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 76 29 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 2 inverse inverse NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 5 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 6 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 7 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 8 known know VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 9 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 11 recovery recovery NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 12 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 77 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 4 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 5 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 6 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 7 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 8 taken take VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 9 within within IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 11 acceptable acceptable JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 12 range range NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 13 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 14 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 15 conjunction conjunction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 16 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 17 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 18 fitting fitting NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 19 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 20 simulation simulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 78 21 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 79 1 Net net JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 79 2 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 79 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 79 4 ): ): XX cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 2 net net JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 3 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 7 mathematically mathematically RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 9 positive positive JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 10 part part NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 11 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 12 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 13 difference difference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 15 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 16 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 19 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 20 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 80 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 2 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 3 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 6 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 7 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 8 implemented implement VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 9 differently differently RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 10 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 11 countries country NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 13 vary vary VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 14 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 15 time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 81 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 1 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 2 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 3 firstly firstly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 4 suspended suspend VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 5 overseas overseas JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 6 Umrah Umrah NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 7 visitors visitor NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 8 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 9 February February NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 10 26 26 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 14 20 20 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 82 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 2 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 3 case case NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 6 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 7 detected detect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 8 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 9 March March NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 10 2 2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 14 16 16 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 83 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 1 Thereafter thereafter RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 3 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 5 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 6 different different JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 7 nature nature NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 8 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 9 implemented implement VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 10 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 11 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 12 curfews curfew NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 14 classroom classroom NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 15 learning learning NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 16 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 17 schools school NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 18 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 19 institutions institution NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 21 closure closure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 22 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 23 private private JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 24 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 25 public public JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 26 sectors sector NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 28 inter inter JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 29 - - JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 30 city city JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 31 movements movement NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 32 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 33 hot hot JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 34 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 35 spot spot NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 36 isolation isolation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 37 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 38 suspension suspension NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 39 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 40 sports sport NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 41 events event NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 42 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 43 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 44 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 45 public public JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 46 gatherings gathering NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 47 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 48 prayers prayer NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 49 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 50 Masjids masjid NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 51 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 52 suspension suspension NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 53 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 54 domestic domestic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 55 air air NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 56 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 57 road road NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 58 transport transport NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 59 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 60 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 61 others other NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 84 62 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 2 intensity intensity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 4 these these DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 5 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 6 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 7 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 9 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 10 during during IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 11 March March NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 12 23 23 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 13 - - SYM cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 14 27 27 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 16 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 17 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 18 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 20 Eid Eid NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 21 festival festival NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 22 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 23 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 24 24 24 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 25 hours hour NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 26 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 27 curfew curfew NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 85 28 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 1 After after IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 2 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 3 relaxation relaxation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 4 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 5 started start VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 6 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 7 three three CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 8 phases phase NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 10 May May NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 11 28 28 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 12 - - SYM cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 13 30 30 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 14 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 15 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 17 May May NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 18 31 31 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 19 -June -June NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 20 20 20 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 21 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 22 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 23 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 24 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 25 June June NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 26 21 21 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 28 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 29 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 30 onward onward RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 86 31 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 1 During during IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 3 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 4 phase phase NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 5 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 6 curfew curfew NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 7 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 8 relaxed relax VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 9 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 10 6 6 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 11 AM am NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 13 3 3 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 14 PM pm NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 16 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 18 second second JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 19 phase phase NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 22 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 23 extended extend VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 24 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 25 8 8 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 26 PM pm NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 28 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 29 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 30 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 31 third third JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 32 phase phase NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 33 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 34 it -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 35 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 36 relaxed relax VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 37 completely completely RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 87 38 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 1 And and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 2 all all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 5 economic economic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 6 activities activity NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 7 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 8 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 9 allowed allow VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 10 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 11 precautionary precautionary JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 12 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 14 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 15 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 16 face face NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 17 masks mask NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 19 sanitization sanitization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 22 physical physical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 23 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 88 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 1 But but CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 3 still still RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 4 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 5 international international JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 6 flights flight NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 7 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 8 overseas overseas JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 9 Umrah Umrah NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 10 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 12 school school NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 13 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 14 colleges college NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 15 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 16 closed closed JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 17 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 18 precautionary precautionary JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 19 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 20 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 21 being be VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 22 observed observe VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 89 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 1 Based base VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 2 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 3 these these DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 4 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 5 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 6 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 7 time time NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 8 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 9 varying vary VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 10 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 11 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 12 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 13 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 14 defined define VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 16 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 17 shown show VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 18 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 19 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 20 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 90 21 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 2 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 3 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 4 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 5 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 6 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 7 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 8 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 9 taken take VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 10 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 12 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 13 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 15 Health Health NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 17 4 4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 19 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 20 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 21 Oxford Oxford NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 23 Government Government NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 24 Response Response NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 25 Tracker Tracker NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 27 21 21 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 29 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 30 indexed index VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 31 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 32 0 0 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 33 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 34 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 35 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 36 compute compute VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 38 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 39 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 91 41 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 1 Both both DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 2 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 3 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 4 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 5 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 6 chosen choose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 7 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 8 represent represent VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 10 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 11 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 13 testing test VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 14 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 15 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 16 conjunction conjunction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 17 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 18 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 19 fitting fitting NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 20 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 21 simulation simulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 92 23 _SP cord-318787-z6q11loy 93 1 techniques technique NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 93 2 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 93 3 9 9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 93 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 93 5 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 4 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 5 higher high JJR cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 6 than than IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 8 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 94 10 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 4 contact contact NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 5 ratio ratio NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 8 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 9 also also RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 11 through through IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 12 optimizations optimization NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 13 techniques technique NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 15 8 8 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 95 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 4 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 5 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 6 taken take VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 7 near near IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 8 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 11 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 12 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 13 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 14 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 15 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 16 derived derive VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 17 through through IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 18 simulation simulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 19 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 20 optimization optimization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 21 techniques technique NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 96 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 2 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 3 represented represent VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 4 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 5 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 6 differential differential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 7 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 9 5,6,3,4 5,6,3,4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 11 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 12 utilized utilize VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 13 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 15 simulation simulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 16 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 19 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 20 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 21 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 97 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 1 Coding code VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 2 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 3 done do VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 4 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 6 Python Python NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 7 language language NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 9 22 22 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 11 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 12 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 13 environment environment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 15 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 16 Notebook Notebook NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 18 23 23 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 98 20 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 2 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 3 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 4 solved solve VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 5 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 7 help help NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 8 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 10 function function NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 11 solve_ivp solve_ivp RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 12 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 14 scipy.integrate scipy.integrate JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 15 sub sub NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 16 - - JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 17 package package NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 99 18 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 4 minimize minimize NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 5 function function NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 6 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 8 scipy.optimize scipy.optimize NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 9 sub sub NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 10 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 11 package package NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 12 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 13 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 14 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 15 minimize minimize VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 17 difference difference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 18 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 19 predicted predict VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 20 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 21 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 22 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 23 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 24 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 25 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 26 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 27 estimate estimate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 28 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 100 29 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 2 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 4 other other JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 6 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 7 given give VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 8 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 9 defined define VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 10 previously previously RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 11 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 12 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 101 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 1 For for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 3 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 5 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 6 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 7 discrete discrete JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 8 events event NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 10 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 12 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 13 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 14 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 15 smoothed smooth VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 16 out out RP cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 17 slightly slightly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 18 using use VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 20 UnivariateSpline UnivariateSpline NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 21 function function NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 22 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 23 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 24 smoothing smoothing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 25 factor factor NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 26 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 27 .001 .001 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 29 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 30 1 1 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 102 32 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 1 Thereafter thereafter RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 4 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 5 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 6 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 7 computed compute VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 8 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 10 smoothed smooth VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 11 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 12 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 13 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 103 14 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 2 initial initial JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 3 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 4 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 5 solving solve VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 7 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 8 differential differential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 9 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 10 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 11 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 12 follows follow VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 14 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 15 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 16 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 17 day day NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 19 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 21 assumed assume VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 22 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 23 five five CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 24 times time NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 25 individuals individual NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 26 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 27 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 28 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 29 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 30 day day NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 32 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 34 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 35 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 36 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 37 day day NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 39 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 40 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 41 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 42 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 43 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 44 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 45 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 46 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 47 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 48 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 49 34,813,867 34,813,867 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 104 50 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 2 Levene Levene NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 3 statistical statistical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 4 tests test NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 5 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 6 performed perform VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 7 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 8 validate validate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 9 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 10 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 11 against against IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 12 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 14 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 15 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 16 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 18 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 19 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 20 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 21 Health Health NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 23 4 4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 105 25 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 2 resultant resultant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 3 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 4 identified identify VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 6 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 7 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 8 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 9 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 10 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 11 0.4016 0.4016 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 13 0.6170 0.6170 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 14 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 15 fitting fit VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 17 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 18 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 19 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 20 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 21 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 22 against against IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 23 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 24 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 25 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 26 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 27 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 28 up up IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 29 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 30 August August NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 31 19 19 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 32 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 106 33 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 107 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 107 2 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 107 3 2 2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 107 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 107 5 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 2 Levene Levene NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 3 test test NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 5 statistic=0.0229 statistic=0.0229 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 6 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 7 p p NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 8 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 9 value=0.8798 value=0.8798 NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 11 shows show VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 12 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 13 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 14 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 15 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 16 significant significant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 17 difference difference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 18 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 19 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 20 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 22 reported report VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 23 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 108 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 3 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 4 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 5 2 2 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 6 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 8 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 9 evident evident JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 10 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 12 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 13 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 14 fitting fitting JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 15 closely closely RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 16 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 18 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 19 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 20 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 21 as as RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 22 well well RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 109 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 1 As as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 3 Levene Levene NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 4 test test NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 6 statistic=0.0308 statistic=0.0308 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 7 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 8 p p NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 9 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 10 value=0.8608 value=0.8608 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 12 confirms confirm VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 13 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 14 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 15 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 16 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 17 significant significant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 18 difference difference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 19 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 20 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 21 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 22 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 23 reported report VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 24 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 110 25 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 4 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 5 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 6 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 7 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 8 include include VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 9 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 10 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 12 populations population NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 13 fit fit VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 14 closely closely RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 15 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 17 Levene Levene NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 18 test test NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 20 statistic=0.5088 statistic=0.5088 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 21 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 22 p p NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 23 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 24 value=0.4758 value=0.4758 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 26 proves prove VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 27 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 28 same same JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 111 29 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 2 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 4 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 5 simulation simulation NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 6 show show VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 7 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 8 very very RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 9 significant significant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 10 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 11 fitting fitting NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 13 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 14 all all PDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 16 three three CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 17 publicly publicly RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 18 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 19 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 21 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 22 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 23 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 24 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 25 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 26 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 27 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 28 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 29 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 30 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 31 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 32 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 33 show show VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 34 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 35 significant significant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 36 difference difference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 37 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 38 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 39 respective respective JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 40 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 41 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 42 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 112 43 _SP cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 2 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 3 results result VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 4 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 6 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 7 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 8 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 9 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 10 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 11 testings testing NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 12 depict depict VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 13 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 14 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 15 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 16 multiple multiple JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 17 peaks peak NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 18 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 19 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 20 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 22 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 23 3 3 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 113 25 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 2 identifies identify VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 3 two two CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 4 visible visible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 5 peaks peak NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 6 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 7 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 8 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 10 20 20 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 11 days day NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 12 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 13 neighborhood neighborhood NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 14 data data NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 15 settings setting NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 16 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 17 identify identify VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 19 local local JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 20 maxima maxima NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 114 21 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 1 This this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 2 pattern pattern NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 3 also also RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 4 closely closely RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 5 resembles resemble VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 7 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 8 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 9 although although IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 11 absolute absolute JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 12 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 13 differ differ VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 14 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 16 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 17 data datum NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 18 within within IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 19 statistical statistical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 20 non non JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 21 - - JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 22 significant significant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 23 limits limit NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 115 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 3 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 4 ranged range VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 5 between between IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 6 0.6014 0.6014 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 7 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 8 2.7860 2.7860 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 10 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 11 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 12 average average NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 13 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 14 1.4904 1.4904 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 16 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 17 currently currently RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 18 holds hold VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 19 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 20 0.8952 0.8952 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 116 21 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 1 As as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 3 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 4 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 5 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 7 less less JJR cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 8 than than IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 9 one one CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 10 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 13 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 14 expected expect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 15 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 16 decline decline VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 17 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 19 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 20 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 21 already already RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 22 passed pass VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 24 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 25 3 3 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 117 27 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 2 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 3 important important JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 4 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 5 achieve achieve VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 6 herd herd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 7 immunity immunity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 8 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 9 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 11 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 12 decline decline VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 13 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 15 absence absence NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 16 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 17 any any DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 18 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 118 19 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 1 As as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 2 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 3 now now RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 4 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 5 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 6 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 7 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 8 proven prove VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 9 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 10 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 12 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 13 therefore therefore RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 14 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 15 herd herd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 16 immunity immunity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 17 can can MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 18 only only RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 19 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 20 achieved achieve VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 21 when when WRB cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 22 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 23 substantial substantial JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 24 proportion proportion NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 25 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 26 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 27 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 28 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 29 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 30 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 31 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 32 assumption assumption NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 33 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 34 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 35 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 36 become become VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 37 immune immune JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 38 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 39 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 119 40 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 3 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 4 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 5 removes remove VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 7 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 8 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 9 testing test VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 10 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 12 recomputes recompute VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 14 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 15 results result VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 16 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 18 parameter parameter NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 19 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 20 identified identify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 21 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 22 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 23 fitted fit VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 24 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 25 previously previously RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 120 26 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 2 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 3 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 4 come come VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 5 out out RP cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 6 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 7 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 8 3.26 3.26 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 9 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 10 threshold threshold NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 11 herd herd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 12 immunity immunity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 15 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 16 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 17 achieved achieve VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 18 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 19 69.31 69.31 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 20 % % NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 21 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 22 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 23 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 25 Figure Figure NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 26 4 4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 121 28 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 4 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 5 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 6 infect infect VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 7 95.56 95.56 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 8 % % NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 11 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 12 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 14 end end NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 15 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 122 16 _SP cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 1 Further further RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 4 SD sd NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 5 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 6 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 7 varied varied JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 8 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 9 two two CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 10 possibilities possibility NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 12 compared compare VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 13 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 15 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 16 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 18 low low JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 19 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 20 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 21 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 123 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 2 first first JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 3 possibility possibility NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 4 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 5 gradual gradual JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 6 full full JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 7 normalization normalization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 8 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 9 December December NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 10 31 31 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 11 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 14 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 15 termed term VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 16 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 17 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 18 high high JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 19 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 20 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 21 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 124 22 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 1 And and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 3 second second JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 4 possibility possibility NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 5 could could MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 6 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 7 gradual gradual JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 8 partial partial JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 9 normalization normalization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 10 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 11 June June NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 12 30 30 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 14 2021 2021 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 15 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 16 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 17 expected expect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 18 date date NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 19 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 20 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 22 medium medium JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 23 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 24 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 25 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 28 whereas whereas IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 29 COVID-19 covid-19 DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 30 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 31 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 32 assumed assume VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 33 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 34 continue continue VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 35 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 36 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 37 same same JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 38 level level NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 125 39 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 2 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 4 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 5 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 7 above above RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 8 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 9 mentioned mention VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 10 three three CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 11 scenarios scenario NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 12 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 13 shown show VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 14 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 15 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 16 5 5 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 126 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 2 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 3 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 4 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 5 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 6 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 7 47,389 47,389 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 8 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 9 1,898,879 1,898,879 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 10 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 11 7,710,855 7,710,855 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 12 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 13 low low JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 14 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 15 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 17 medium medium NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 18 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 19 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 22 high high JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 23 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 24 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 25 scenarios scenario NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 26 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 27 respectively respectively RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 29 Figure figure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 30 6 6 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 127 32 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 1 These these DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 2 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 3 values value NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 4 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 5 supposed suppose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 6 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 7 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 8 achieved achieve VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 9 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 11 124 124 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 12 th th CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 13 day day NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 15 July July NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 16 4 4 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 17 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 18 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 21 494 494 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 22 th th XX cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 23 day day NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 25 July July NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 26 9 9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 27 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 28 2021 2021 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 30 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 31 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 32 297 297 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 33 th th XX cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 34 day day NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 36 December December NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 37 24 24 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 38 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 39 2020 2020 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 41 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 42 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 43 respective respective JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 44 scenarios scenario NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 128 45 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 1 In in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 3 low low JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 4 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 5 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 6 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 7 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 9 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 10 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 11 already already RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 12 passed pass VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 13 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 14 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 15 relatively relatively RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 16 very very RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 17 low low JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 18 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 19 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 20 47,389 47,389 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 21 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 22 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 23 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 24 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 25 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 26 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 27 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 129 28 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 1 In in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 2 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 3 second second JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 4 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 5 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 6 mediumrisk mediumrisk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 7 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 9 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 10 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 11 flattened flatten VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 12 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 13 delayed delay VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 14 beyond beyond IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 16 arrival arrival NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 17 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 19 expected expect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 20 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 21 date date NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 22 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 23 although although IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 24 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 25 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 26 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 27 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 28 almost almost RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 29 1.9 1.9 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 30 million million CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 31 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 32 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 33 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 34 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 35 which which WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 36 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 37 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 38 huge huge JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 39 number number NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 40 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 41 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 42 managed manage VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 130 43 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 2 third third JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 3 scenario scenario NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 4 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 5 high high JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 6 risk risk NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 7 will will MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 8 bring bring VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 9 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 10 very very RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 11 high high JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 12 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 13 value value NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 15 almost almost RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 16 7.7 7.7 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 17 million million CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 18 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 19 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 20 before before IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 21 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 22 end end NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 23 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 24 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 25 year year NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 26 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 27 way way NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 28 before before IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 29 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 30 expected expect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 31 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 32 date date NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 33 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 131 34 _SP cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 1 This this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 2 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 3 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 4 modeled model VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 5 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 7 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 8 using use VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 9 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 10 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 11 version version NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 12 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 14 base base NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 15 compartment compartment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 16 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 17 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 18 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 19 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 132 20 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 2 modification modification NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 3 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 4 achieved achieve VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 5 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 7 introduction introduction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 8 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 9 four four CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 11 accounting account VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 12 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 14 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 15 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 16 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 17 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 19 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 20 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 21 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 22 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 23 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 24 infectious infectious JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 25 populations population NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 133 26 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 3 equations equation NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 4 corresponding correspond VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 5 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 7 modified modify VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 8 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 9 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 10 simulated simulate VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 11 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 12 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 13 Python Python NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 14 environment environment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 134 15 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 2 optimization optimization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 3 technique technique NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 4 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 5 used use VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 6 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 7 fit fit VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 9 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 10 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 11 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 12 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 13 by by IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 15 varying vary VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 16 contact contact NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 17 rate rate NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 18 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 19 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 20 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 21 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 22 exposed expose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 23 population population NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 135 24 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 2 remaining remain VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 3 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 5 were be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 6 chosen choose VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 7 within within IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 9 acceptable acceptable JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 10 range range NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 12 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 13 conjunction conjunction NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 14 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 15 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 16 fitting fitting NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 136 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 2 statistical statistical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 3 analysis analysis NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 4 shows show VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 5 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 6 good good JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 7 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 8 fit fit NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 10 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 12 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 13 results result VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 14 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 15 total total JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 16 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 17 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 18 recovered recover VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 19 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 20 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 21 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 22 active active JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 23 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 24 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 25 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 26 significant significant JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 27 difference difference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 28 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 29 those those DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 30 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 31 reported report VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 32 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 137 33 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 1 As as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 2 per per IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 3 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 4 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 5 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 6 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 7 peak peak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 8 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 9 already already RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 10 passed pass VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 12 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 14 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 15 expected expect VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 16 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 17 decline decline VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 18 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 19 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 20 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 21 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 22 place place NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 138 23 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 1 Hence hence RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 4 current current JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 5 measures measure NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 6 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 7 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 8 proven prove VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 9 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 10 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 11 very very RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 12 effective effective JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 13 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 14 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 15 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 139 16 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 2 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 3 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 4 been be VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 5 run run VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 6 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 7 different different JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 9 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 10 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 11 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 12 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 13 predict predict VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 14 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 15 possible possible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 16 outcomes outcome NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 140 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 2 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 3 indicate indicate VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 4 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 5 early early JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 6 complete complete JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 7 normalization normalization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 8 efforts effort NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 9 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 10 undo undo VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 12 successful successful JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 13 containment containment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 14 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 15 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 141 17 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 4 decision decision NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 5 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 6 alleviate alleviate VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 7 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 8 has have VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 9 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 10 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 11 well well RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 12 worked work VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 13 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 14 other other JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 15 mechanisms mechanism NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 16 such such JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 17 as as IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 18 increasing increase VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 19 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 20 testing testing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 21 capacity capacity NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 22 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 23 throughput throughput NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 24 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 25 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 26 availability availability NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 27 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 28 effective effective JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 29 drugs drug NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 30 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 31 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 142 32 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 1 Nonetheless nonetheless RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 2 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 3 due due IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 4 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 5 unavoidable unavoidable JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 6 assumptions assumption NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 7 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 10 nature nature NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 11 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 12 functions function NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 13 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 14 all all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 15 categories category NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 16 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 17 cases case NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 19 actual actual JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 20 numbers number NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 21 may may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 22 vary vary VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 23 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 24 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 25 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 26 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 27 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 28 care care NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 29 should should MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 30 be be VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 31 taken take VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 32 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 33 interpreting interpret VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 34 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 35 results result NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 143 36 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 1 Human human JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 2 subjects subject NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 3 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 4 All all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 5 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 6 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 7 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 8 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 9 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 10 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 11 did do VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 12 not not RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 13 involve involve VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 14 human human JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 15 participants participant NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 16 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 17 tissue tissue NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 144 18 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 1 Animal animal NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 2 subjects subject NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 3 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 4 All all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 5 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 6 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 7 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 8 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 9 this this DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 10 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 11 did do VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 12 not not RB cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 13 involve involve VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 14 animal animal NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 15 subjects subject NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 16 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 17 tissue tissue NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 145 18 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 1 Conflicts conflict NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 2 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 3 interest interest NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 4 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 5 In in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 6 compliance compliance NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 7 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 8 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 9 ICMJE ICMJE NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 10 uniform uniform JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 11 disclosure disclosure NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 12 form form NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 13 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 14 all all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 15 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 16 declare declare VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 17 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 18 following follow VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 19 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 20 Payment payment NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 21 / / SYM cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 22 services service NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 23 info info NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 24 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 25 All all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 26 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 27 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 28 declared declare VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 29 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 30 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 31 financial financial JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 32 support support NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 33 was be VBD cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 34 received receive VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 35 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 36 any any DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 37 organization organization NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 38 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 39 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 40 submitted submit VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 41 work work NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 146 42 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 1 Financial financial JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 2 relationships relationship NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 3 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 4 All all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 5 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 6 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 7 declared declare VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 8 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 9 they -PRON- PRP cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 10 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 11 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 12 financial financial JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 13 relationships relationship NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 14 at at IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 15 present present JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 16 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 17 within within IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 18 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 19 previous previous JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 20 three three CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 21 years year NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 22 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 23 any any DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 24 organizations organization NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 25 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 26 might may MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 27 have have VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 28 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 29 interest interest NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 30 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 31 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 32 submitted submit VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 33 work work NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 147 34 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 1 Other other JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 2 relationships relationship NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 3 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 4 All all DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 5 authors author NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 6 have have VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 7 declared declare VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 8 that that IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 9 there there EX cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 10 are be VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 11 no no DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 12 other other JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 13 relationships relationship NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 14 or or CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 15 activities activity NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 16 that that WDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 17 could could MD cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 18 appear appear VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 19 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 20 have have VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 21 influenced influence VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 22 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 23 submitted submit VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 24 work work NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 148 25 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 1 Preparedness preparedness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 2 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 3 response response NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 4 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 5 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 6 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 7 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 8 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 9 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 10 building build VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 11 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 12 MERS MERS NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 13 experience experience NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 14 Dynamics Dynamics NNPS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 15 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 16 SARS SARS NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 17 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 18 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 20 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 21 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 22 Kingdom Kingdom NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 23 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 24 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 25 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 26 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 27 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 28 predictive predictive JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 29 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 30 Fecal fecal JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 31 transmission transmission NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 32 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 33 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 34 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 35 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 36 potential potential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 37 shedding shedding NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 38 route route NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 39 Protection Protection NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 40 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 41 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 42 A a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 43 contribution contribution NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 44 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 45 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 46 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 47 theory theory NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 48 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 49 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 50 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 51 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 52 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 53 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 54 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 55 outbreak outbreak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 56 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 57 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 58 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 59 government government NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 60 interventions intervention NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 61 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 62 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 63 data data NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 64 - - HYPH cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 65 driven drive VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 66 analysis analysis NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 67 An an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 68 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 69 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 70 Disease Disease NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 71 Model Model NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 72 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 73 Testing Testing NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 74 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 75 Conditional Conditional NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 76 Quarantine Quarantine NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 77 Outbreak Outbreak NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 78 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 79 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 80 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 81 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 82 Europe Europe NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 83 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 84 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 85 effect effect NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 86 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 87 travel travel NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 88 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 89 Transmission transmission NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 90 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 91 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 92 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 149 93 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 1 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 2 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 3 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 5 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 6 most most RBS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 7 affected affected JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 8 countries country NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 9 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 10 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 11 world world NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 12 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 13 Covid-19 covid-19 VBP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 14 spreading spread VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 15 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 16 Italy Italy NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 17 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 18 optimizing optimize VBG cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 19 an an DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 20 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 21 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 22 with with IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 23 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 24 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 25 distancing distancing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 26 through through IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 27 differential differential JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 28 evolution evolution NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 29 Temporal Temporal NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 30 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 31 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 32 viral viral JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 33 shedding shedding NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 34 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 35 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 36 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 37 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 38 Notes Notes NNPS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 39 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 40 R0 R0 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 41 Perspectives Perspectives NNPS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 42 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 43 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 44 basic basic JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 45 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 46 ratio ratio NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 47 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 48 period period NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 49 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 50 2019 2019 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 51 novel novel JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 52 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 53 ( ( -LRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 54 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 56 infections infection NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 57 among among IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 58 travellers traveller NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 59 from from IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 60 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 61 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 62 China China NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 63 Clinical clinical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 64 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 65 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 66 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 67 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 68 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 69 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 70 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 71 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 72 national national JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 73 retrospective retrospective JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 74 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 75 On on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 76 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 77 statistical statistical JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 78 transmission transmission NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 79 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 80 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 81 analysis analysis NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 82 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 83 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 84 early early JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 85 phase phase NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 86 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 87 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 150 88 outbreak outbreak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 2 effect effect NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 3 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 4 control control NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 5 strategies strategy NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 6 to to TO cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 7 reduce reduce VB cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 8 social social JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 9 mixing mixing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 10 on on IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 11 outcomes outcome NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 12 of of IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 13 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 16 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 17 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 18 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 19 China China NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 20 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 21 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 22 modelling modelling NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 23 study study NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 24 SEIR seir NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 25 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 26 regression regression NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 27 model model NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 28 based base VBN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 29 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 30 outbreak outbreak NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 31 predictions prediction NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 151 32 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 152 1 India India NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 152 2 Oxford Oxford NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 152 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 152 4 government government NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 152 5 response response NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 152 6 tracker tracker NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 153 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 153 2 Python Python NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 153 3 Language Language NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 153 4 Reference reference NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 154 1 Manual Manual NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 1 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 2 Notebooks Notebooks NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 3 - - : cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 4 a a DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 5 publishing publishing NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 6 format format NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 7 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 8 reproducible reproducible JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 9 computational computational JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 10 workflows workflow NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 155 11 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 1 Positioning Positioning NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 2 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 3 Power Power NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 4 in in IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 5 Academic Academic NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 6 Publishing Publishing NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 7 : : : cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 8 Players player NNS cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 9 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 10 Agents Agents NNPS cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 11 and and CC cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 12 Agendas Agendas NNPS cord-318787-z6q11loy 156 13 . . . cord-318787-z6q11loy 157 1 Loizides Loizides NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 157 2 F F NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 157 3 , , , cord-318787-z6q11loy 157 4 Schmidt Schmidt NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 157 5 B B NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 1 The the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 2 author author NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 3 is be VBZ cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 4 thankful thankful JJ cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 5 to to IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 6 King King NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 7 Khalid Khalid NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 8 University University NNP cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 9 for for IN cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 10 all all PDT cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 11 the the DT cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 12 support support NN cord-318787-z6q11loy 158 13 . . .