id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-003360-mkv1jc7u Chen, Yirong The Effect of School Closure on Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Transmission in Singapore: A Modeling Approach 2018-10-22 .txt text/plain 4339 216 55 title: The Effect of School Closure on Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Transmission in Singapore: A Modeling Approach Singapore implements a school closure policy for institutional hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) outbreaks, but there is a lack of empirical evidence on the effect of closure on HFMD transmission. The effects of school closure due to 1) institutional outbreaks, 2) public holidays, and 3) school vacations were assessed using a Bayesian time series modeling approach. These policies provide data that enable us to obtain three sources of information on the effect of school closure: 1) the reduction in the numbers of cases after a public holiday, when childcare centers and schools close; 2) the reduction during school vacations; and 3) the impact within childcare centers of school closure in response to an ongoing outbreak. To measure the effect of school vacations on HFMD transmission, we built time series models, fit Bayesianly, for the weekly number of children with HFMD aged 12 years and younger. ./cache/cord-003360-mkv1jc7u.txt ./txt/cord-003360-mkv1jc7u.txt