id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt blog-dshr-org-6796 DSHR's Blog: Falling Research Productivity .html text/html 3214 414 80 Assuming a constant growth rate for Moore's Law, the implication is that research productivity has fallen by this same factor of 18, an average rate of 6.8 percent per year. If the null hypothesis of constant research productivity were correct, the growth rate underlying Moore's Law should have increased by a factor of 18 as well. Put differently, because of declining research productivity, it is around 18 times harder today to generate the exponential growth behind Moore's Law than it was in 1971. This slowing increases the rate at which research productivity falls. Or put another way, the economy has to double its research efforts every 13 years just to maintain the same overall rate of economic growth. Inflation-adjusted cost of a university education was something like $2000/year in 1980. Even so, the productivity growth that drives cost disease could make everyone better off. ./cache/blog-dshr-org-6796.html ./txt/blog-dshr-org-6796.txt