id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_6xrhdf2yivah7d4jcmve5jrpha William N. Goetzmann Bubble Investing: Learning from History 2016 19 .pdf application/pdf 6371 730 79 during periods of market booms, focusing attention on a few salient crashes in financial history only are bubbles rare but conditional upon a market boom (i.e. increasing by 100% in a one to Dutch bubbles subsequently burst in late 1720, and by the end of the year, the boom in stock market panel one shows the unconditional counts of market-years and the frequency of doubling and Data sources: (1) Total return indices for stock markets in 21 countries over the period 1900 to 2014, converted to U.S. dollars, provided by Dimson, Marsh and Staunton [DMS A boom is defined as either (1) a return of more than 100% to a stock market index within a single year, defied according to availability in real or dollar-valued and total or capital appreciation only or (2) a return of more than 100% to a stock market index within a three year ./cache/work_6xrhdf2yivah7d4jcmve5jrpha.pdf ./txt/work_6xrhdf2yivah7d4jcmve5jrpha.txt