id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_hfikjnwuobdzpdex7cwnrg4db4 Darren Bradley Everettian Confirmation and Sleeping Beauty: Reply to Wilson: Figure 1 2014 11 .pdf application/pdf 4716 474 77 halfers are right about Sleeping Beauty, and that thirders cannot avoid easy confirmation kind of easy confirmation of EQM by paying attention to observation selection effects, that halfers are right about Sleeping Beauty, and that thirders to, first, defend Elga's ([2000]) thirder argument on Sleeping Beauty and, second, argue that the analogy I draw between Sleeping Beauty and EQM Wilson and I agree that modifying the original Sleeping Beauty problem by changing the coin to Titelbaum ([2008]), that the total evidence Sleeping Beauty has on waking (A) Elga's ([2000]) argument for the thirder position, based on the principal principle, fails. 3 Wilson's Argument for i in Sleeping Beauty 3 Wilson's Argument for i in Sleeping Beauty let's grant Wilson that the coin flip in Sleeping Beauty is chancy. being a thirder in the original Sleeping Beauty and a halfer in Non-chancy thirder arguments do still apply to Non-chancy Sleeping Beauty. ./cache/work_hfikjnwuobdzpdex7cwnrg4db4.pdf ./txt/work_hfikjnwuobdzpdex7cwnrg4db4.txt