Original Article Variation Within the Gene Encoding the Upstream Stimulatory Factor 1 Does Not Influence Susceptibility to Type 2 Diabetes in Samples From Populations With Replicated Evidence of Linkage to Chromosome 1q Eleftheria Zeggini, 1,2 Coleen M. Damcott, 3 Robert L. Hanson, 4 Mohammad A. Karim, 5,6 N. William Rayner, 1,2 Christopher J. Groves, 1 Leslie J. Baier, 4 Terri C. Hale, 5,6 Andrew T. Hattersley, 7 Graham A. Hitman, 8 Sarah E. Hunt, 9 William C. Knowler, 4 Braxton D. Mitchell, 3 Maggie C.Y. Ng, 10,11 Jeffrey R. O’Connell, 3 Toni I. Pollin, 3 Martine Vaxillaire, 12 Mark Walker, 13 Xiaoqin Wang, 5,6 Pamela Whittaker, 9 Xiang Kunsun, 14 Weiping Jia, 14 Juliana C. N. Chan, 11 Philippe Froguel, 12,15 Panos Deloukas, 9 Alan R. Shuldiner, 3 Steven C. Elbein, 5,6 and Mark I. McCarthy, 1,2 for the International Type 2 Diabetes 1q Consortium* The gene encoding the transcription factor upstream stim- ulatory factor (USF)1 influences susceptibility to familial combined hyperlipidemia (FCHL) and triglyceride levels. Phenotypic overlap between FCHL and type 2 diabetes makes USF1 a compelling positional candidate for the widely replicated type 2 diabetes linkage signal on chromo- some 1q. We typed 22 variants in the F11R/USF1 region (1 per 3 kb), including those previously implicated in FCHL- susceptibility (or proxies thereof) in 3,726 samples pref- erentially enriched for 1q linkage. We also examined glucose- and lipid-related continuous traits in an overlap- ping set of 1,215 subjects of European descent. There was no convincing evidence for association with type 2 diabetes in any of seven case-control comparisons, individually or combined. Family-based association analyses in 832 Pima subjects were similarly negative. At rs3737787 (the variant most strongly associated with FCHL), the combined odds ratio, per copy of the rarer A-allele, was 1.10 (95% CI 0.97–1.24, P � 0.13). In 124 Utah subjects, rs3737787 was significantly associated (P � 0.002) with triglyceride lev- els, but direction of this association was opposite to pre- vious reports, and there was no corroboration in three other samples. These data exclude USF1 as a major con- tributor to type 2 diabetes susceptibility and the basis for the chromosome 1q linkage. They reveal only limited evi- dence for replication of USF1 effects on continuous meta- bolic traits. Diabetes 55:2541–2548, 2006 P ositional cloning within regions previously high- lighted by genome-wide linkage analysis repre- sents one of the dominant strategies for identification of sequence variants influencing individual risk of type 2 diabetes. A region of chromosome 1q (from 147 to 175 Mb on the NCBI35 assembly) has emerged as among the strongest signals (1) with linkage to type 2 diabetes demonstrated in diverse populations of European (2–7), East-Asian (8,9), Native-American (10), and African-American origin (S.C.E., unpublished observa- tions). Moreover, signals for several diabetes-related traits have also been mapped to this region (11–14). The Inter- national Type 2 Diabetes 1q Consortium represents a collaborative effort between many of the groups with 1q linkage signals to identify the variant(s) responsible. In addition to dense-map indirect linkage disequilibrium (LD) mapping of the region, the most compelling positional candidates are being targeted for detailed analysis. The gene encoding upstream stimulatory factor (USF)1 is one such candidate. USF1 maps in the middle of the region of interest (�158 Mb), close to the peak of linkage in several of the type 2 diabetes-linked populations From the 1Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, U.K.; the 2Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, U.K.; the 3Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Nutrition, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; the 4Phoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Section, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, Arizona; the 5Endocrinology Section, Medical Service, Central Arkansas Veterans Health- care System, Little Rock, Arkansas; the 6Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas; the 7Institute of Clinical and Biomedical Science, Peninsula Medical School, Exeter, U.K.; the 8Centre for Diabetes and Metabolic Medicine, Bart’s and the London Queen Mary’s School of Medicine and Dentistry, London, U.K.; the 9Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Hinxton, U.K.; the 10Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois; the 11Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong; the 12Institut de Biologie de Lille, Lille, France; the 13Department of Medicine, University of Newcastle, Newcastle, U.K.; the 14Department of Endocrinology and Metabo- lism, Shanghai Diabetes Institute, Shanghai Jiaotong University No.6 People’s Hospital, Shanghai, China; and the 15Faculty of Life Sciences, Imperial College, London, U.K. Address correspondence and reprint requests to Mark McCarthy, Robert Turner Professor of Diabetes, Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Churchill Hospital, Old Road, Headington, Oxford OX3 7LJ, U.K. E-mail: mark.mccarthy@drl.ox.ac.uk. Received for publication 19 January 2006 and accepted in revised form 19 June 2006. *A list of additional members of the consortium can be found in the ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. Additional information for this article can be found in an online appendix at http://diabetes.diabetesjournals.org. DI, disposition index; FCHL, familial combined hyperlipidemia; FSIGT, frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance test; LD, linkage disequilib- rium; MAF, minor allele frequency; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphism; USF, upstream stimulatory factor. DOI: 10.2337/db06-0088 © 2006 by the American Diabetes Association. The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked “advertisement” in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact. DIABETES, VOL. 55, SEPTEMBER 2006 2541 (2,3,8,10). The gene encodes a ubiquitously expressed member of the basic helix-loop-helix leucine zipper tran- scription family, which, either as a homodimer or through heterodimerization with the related USF2 protein, binds the E-box motif found in the promoters of many genes involved in glucose and lipid metabolism (15,16). Although the relative functional importance of USF1 and USF2 (and of sterol regulatory element– binding protein 1, which interacts with the same motif) remains unclear (17,18); considerable evidence implicates the USFs in the regula- tion of key metabolic genes including liver pyruvate kinase (19), fatty acid synthase (16,20), glucokinase (21), and pyruvate dehydrogenase complex component X (22). The biological plausibility of USF1 as a positional candidate for type 2 diabetes is enhanced by evidence implicating the gene in susceptibility to familial combined hyperlipidemia (FCHL) (23,24). In Finnish pedigrees seg- regating FCHL, in which prior evidence for 1q linkage had been reported (25), several single nucleotide polymor- phisms (SNPs) within USF1 (and to a lesser extent, within the neighboring F11R [or JAM] gene) were associated with FCHL and triglyceride levels. Though no single caus- ative variant was identified, the strongest associations involved the common allele at two highly correlated SNPs, rs3737787 (within the 3� untranslated region) and rs2073658 (within intron 7). These findings were recently replicated in families from Utah (24). Given the strong phenotypic overlap between FCHL and type 2 diabetes (which is characterized by an FCHL-like dyslipidemia) and growing suggestions that the �-cell dysfunction and insulin resistance of type 2 diabetes may, in fact, be secondary to disturbances of lipid metabolism, USF1 emerges as a strong candidate vis-à-vis the 1q linkage signal. There have been only limited studies addressing the role of USF1 variation and glucose metabolism to date. In 800 young men from the European Atherosclerosis Research Study, Putt et al. (26) tested three intronic USF1 SNPs (one of which, rs2073655, was in complete LD with the SNPs displaying the strongest FCHL association signal in Finns) reporting weak haplotypic associations with glu- cose levels during an oral glucose tolerance test. A recent study in Hong Kong Chinese reported associations of USF1 SNPs (including rs3737787) with type 2 diabetes and metabolic syndrome in one case-control analysis (using family cases showing 1q linkage), but these were not replicated in a second Chinese sample (27). Most recently, a study of eight USF1 SNPs (including rs3737787 and rs2073658) reported no association with type 2 diabetes in 1,475 French case-control samples (28). The present study has made use of dense-map, large- scale genotyping data from the consortium’s mapping efforts on chromosome 1q to evaluate the influence of USF1 variation on type 2 diabetes risk and related meta- bolic traits, making explicit use of populations and sam- ples selected because of their prior evidence for linkage to the region. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We used three complementary approaches to the analysis of USF1 variation: 1) a large multiethnic case-control analysis in seven 1q-linked populations, 2) family-based association analyses in an enlarged Pima dataset, and 3) analysis TABLE 1 Characteristics of the samples studied n Male (%) Ethnicity Age at diagnosis or age at study (years)* BMI (kg/m2) U.K. Sibpair probands 449 54 European descent 54.7 � 8.1 28.8 � 5.1 Control subjects 450 56 European descent — — French Diabetic case subjects 259 47 European descent 43.2 � 9.5 26.2 � 3.8 Control subjects 288 37 European descent 59.9 � 13.6* 24.9 � 4.2 Shanghai Sibpair probands 80 50 East Asian 35.3 � 3.9 23.1 � 3.4 Chinese control subjects 80 69 East Asian 74.2 � 5.5* 21.1 � 2.3 Hong Kong Sibpair probands 64 42 East Asian 38.0 � 8.7 27.8 � 4.0 Control subjects 64 42 East Asian 42.2 � 8.9* 21.5 � 2.0 Utah Case subjects 182 70 European descent 62.7 � 9.8 31.5 � 5.8 Control subjects 167 39 European descent 51.3 � 14.9* 28.1 � 6.3 Intermediate trait 124 43 European descent 40.0 � 11.1* 27.9 � 6.0 Amish Familial case subjects 150 32 European descent 59.6 � 11.2 29.4 � 5.7 Control subjects 361 52 European descent 51.7 � 10.5* 27.4 � 4.6 Other samples 203 38 European descent 50.5 � 16.7* 28.3 � 5.3 Pima Early-onset case subjects 200 35 Native American 17.8 � 4.5 35.1 � 8.1 Elderly control subjects 199 50 Native American 61.3 � 9.3* 32.1 � 6.3 Other family members 733 37 Native American 36.3 � 10.4 33.6 � 8.1 49.6 � 6.9* Arkansas Intermediate trait 181 38 European descent 35.7 � 9.1* 29.7 � 6.0 Data as means � SD. Age at diagnosis was taken for case subjects only. *Age at study was taken for control subjects or other nondiabetic subjects. USF1 AND TYPE 2 DIABETES 2542 DIABETES, VOL. 55, SEPTEMBER 2006 of diabetes-related quantitative traits in Amish, Utah, and Arkansas subjects of European origin. Multiethnic case-control study. We examined 2,993 case-control samples from seven populations with evidence for 1q linkage (Table 1 and online appendix [available at http://diabetes.diabetesjournals.org]). For five of the populations, cases included probands from some (U.K.) or all (French, Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Utah) pedigrees from the relevant genome scans (2–5,8,9), allowing us to exploit the increase in power when cases are selected for membership of a multiplex sibship (29). In French and Utah samples, additional cases were recruited from other sources (online appendix). In these five samples, cases were unrelated, and ethnically matched locally recruited control subjects were used (online appendix). All of the Amish and a quarter of the Pima case-control samples were recruited from the pedigrees typed in the relevant linkage studies (7,10). The Pima case-control sample compared 200 case (age of diagnosis �25 years) with 199 control subjects (nondiabetic after age 45 years). No case or control subject was a first-degree relative of another individual in the sample. The Amish case-control set consisted of 150 type 2 diabetic case and 361 control subjects (normal glucose tolerance beyond the age of 38 years). Given sustained endogamy within Amish communities, ascertainment of unrelated case and control subjects was not feasible. Thus, analyses in the Amish take account of the correlations among related individuals (see below). Differences in clinical parameters of case and control subjects (Table 1) are consistent with recognized ethnic and geographic variation in anthropometry and the clinical presentation of type 2 diabetes (for example, the early onset of diabetes in Pima Indians and the relatively low adiposity of Chinese subjects). Note that the Hong Kong and French samples reported here represent a subset of those separately analyzed for USF1 variation at selected SNPs by Ng et al. (27) (64 case and 64 control subjects in common) and Gibson et al. (28) (172 case and 282 control subjects in common). Family-based association study. A further 733 Pima samples from the original linkage pedigrees were typed and, with 99 individuals from the case-control sample, analyzed using family-based association methods. These 832 Pima samples include 570 type 2 diabetic subjects (diagnosed before age 45 years), 104 nondiabetic siblings (aged �45 years), and 158 parents (to reconstruct family relationships). Quantitative trait study: Amish. In addition to case-control samples, the 1q consortium genotyped a further 203 Amish individuals from the same pedi- grees, including 159 with impaired glucose tolerance and/or impaired fasting glucose and 44 “linking” individuals to allow pedigree reconstruction. Fasting levels of (serum) total and HDL cholesterol and triglycerides (Quest Diagnos- tics, Baltimore, MD) were available for 631 of 714 individuals, including 103 type 2 diabetic case subjects, 342 subjects with normal glucose tolerance, 150 subjects with impaired glucose homeostasis, and 36 of the linking subjects (24 with normal and 12 with unknown glucose tolerance). Utah and Arkansas. To examine the impact of USF1 SNPs on insulin sensitivity (Si), insulin secretion (AIRg), and �-cell function (disposition index [DI]), we analyzed two samples. The first consisted of 124 nondiabetic members of Utah families with evidence of chromosome 1q linkage (2,5). The second sample included 181 unrelated Arkansas Caucasians with normal glucose tolerance tests, ascertained primarily for age 18 –50 years. Character- istics of the latter population, not previously reported, are summarized in Table 1. All Utah subjects and 105 of those from Arkansas underwent a tolbut- amide-modified frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance test (FSIGT) (30,31). Subjects on lipid-lowering medications were excluded from analysis. Tolbutamide became unavailable during the Arkansas study, and the remaining 76 were studied with an insulin-modified FSIGT. After baseline sampling, the FSIGT was initiated with a 11.4 g/m2 50% dextrose bolus over 1 min; a further 25 samples were collected over 3 h. At 20 min, subjects were given tolbutamide (125 mg/m2) or insulin (0.04 units/kg). If the glucose between 120 and 180 min differed by �0.25 mmol/l or showed a clear upward or downward trend, sampling was continued to 240 min. In addition, we analyzed trait data from those members of the Utah case-control population (see above) with BMI, cholesterol, and triglyceride measures (116 case and 163 control subjects). Subjects from this group on lipid-lowering medications were not excluded from analyses. For Utah samples, insulin was measured with a radioimmunoassay with appreciable proinsulin crossreactivity. For Arkansas samples, insulin was measured by the General Clinical Research Center Core Laboratory using an insulin-specific immunochemilluminometric assay (MLT Assay, Wales, U.K.). Plasma glucose was measured by a glucose oxidase assay, and blood lipids were measured using standard clinical assays by LabCorp (Burlington, NC). Ethical information. All samples were ascertained with written informed consent under protocols approved by respective local ethics committees or institutional review boards. Use of samples for 1q consortium purposes was, where necessary, supplemented by further specific approval. The Oxfordshire Local Research Ethics Committee assessed all ethical documentation and provided specific approval for each sample genotyped in the U.K. SNPs and genotyping. 1q consortium samples were typed for 22 SNPs covering USF1 and F11R (Fig. 1). These included 15 SNPs typed as part of the consortium’s effort to cover the 1q region of interest at 5 kb density and 7 SNPs specifically chosen given the FCHL association data (23). All SNPs were typed using the Illumina Golden Gate assay (32) at the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, as part of two 1536-plex assays. The Utah and Arkansas intermediate trait samples were independently genotyped at the University of Arkansas using Pyrosequencing (PSQ-96; Biotage, Uppsala, Sweden). Using genotypes gathered in 96 Utah subjects for 10 USF1 SNPs selected from prior data (23), six tag SNPs (rs1556259, rs2516838, rs2516839, rs2516840, rs2516841, and rs3737787) were defined using pairwise LD methods (LDSelect; r2 � 0.9) (33). Further details of primer sequences and assay conditions are available from the authors. Data quality control. Consortium genotyping data from the Illumina plat- form were subjected to extensive quality control, which required SNPs to pass criteria for call rates, Illumina quality score, and duplicate error rates. We also tested for departures from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium and expected allele frequencies, for excessive within-sample plate-to-plate variation, and, in Pima and Amish samples, for Mendelian inconsistency. As a result, SNPs rs3813609 and 7556492 were excluded from analysis in all populations; rs790055 from Pima, French, Shanghai, and U.K. populations; rs2988726 from French, Shanghai, and U.K. populations; and rs2774279 from the Hong Kong popula- tion. For SNPs passing this quality control pipeline, we estimate, on the basis of �450,000 cryptic duplicate genotypes, an overall genotyping error rate of �0.2%. Statistical methods Multiethnic case-control study. For the case-control samples, between- group differences in genotype frequency were evaluated on a population- specific basis using standard contingency table methods with the additive model as default. Exact P values were calculated, where necessary, using Stata SE version 8 and STATXACT (Cytel, Cambridge, MA). In the Amish sample, population structure results in substantial relatedness within (and between) case and control subjects; failure to allow for this will underestimate the variance and upwardly bias the test statistic. We therefore repeated case-control comparisons in the Amish by modeling a residual familial effect as a random effect using SOLAR. Specifically, we used the measured genotype approach to assess the effect of genotype on diabetes status while simulta- neously estimating the residual correlations in phenotype among related individuals (34). Single-point data from the seven case-control samples were combined using the Mantel-Haenszel fixed-effects method (Stata SE version 8 and STATXACT). For these analyses, we first established the homogeneity of odds ratios (ORs) across combined strata before generating combined ORs under dominant, additive, and recessive models. The Mantel-Haenszel method assumes independence of case and control data. To account for departures from this assumption in the Amish, this analysis was repeated using an inverse variance-based method (35). The logarithm of the OR (logOR) (under the additive model) and its variance were calculated for each population by logistic regression and the study-wide common logOR estimated as the weighted sum of the study-specific values, with weights taken as the inverse of the variance estimates. In the Amish, the corrected value of the logOR variance was taken as the P value for the measured genotype approach using the Wald statistic. Pairwise measures of LD were calculated, and haplotype analyses were performed using haplotype trend regression (36) implemented in HelixTree (GoldenHelix, Bozeman, MT). Family-based association analysis. Analysis of the extended Pima data set (n � 832) was conducted in two ways. First, case-control comparisons were made across the full resource (using a cutoff for age at diagnosis of 45 years) using binomial generalized estimating equations to control for family membership. Second, we conducted an explicit family-based association analysis using the method of Abecasis (37) to partition the association into between- and within-family components. Quantitative trait analyses. In the Amish, full pedigree structure was explicitly specified and analyses conducted in a regression framework with trait measures as the dependent variable. In Utah and Arkansas datasets, Si was estimated from glucose and insulin measures during the FSIGT using the MinMod (Utah) or MinMod Millennium (Arkansas) programs (38,39). AIRg was calculated as the mean insulin response above basal from 2 to 10 min following the glucose bolus and DI as Si � AIRg. Genotypic effects on Si, AIRg, DI, and lipids were tested using mixed-effect general linear models in SPSS version 12. Primary tests were conducted under an additive model unless homozygosity for the rare allele was observed in �10 cases, in which case a recessive model for the common allele was tested. Skewed variables (Si, AIRg, DI, BMI, triglycerides, and free fatty acid levels) were ln-transformed to normality before analysis. All models included age (and BMI, as appropriate) E. ZEGGINI AND ASSOCIATES DIABETES, VOL. 55, SEPTEMBER 2006 2543 as covariates and sex and genotype as fixed factors. Additionally, diagnosis and pedigree membership were included in analysis of family members from the Utah study and protocol type (tolbutamide or insulin) as a fixed factor for Arkansas subjects. The significance of associations detected was examined by comparison of marginal means using the least significant difference test. We considered P � 0.05 to be significant throughout without correction for multiple testing. RESULTS Multiethnic case-control study. Following quality con- trol, between 18 and 20 (depending on the population) of the original 22 SNPs (covering a 60-kb range) were avail- able for analysis. Within the immediate USF1 region (�11 kb), complete data were available from nine SNPs. These include three of four SNPs showing association in the Finnish FCHL study (23) (rs3737787, rs2516839, and rs2516838 but not rs2073658 for which assay design failed). Using deep resequencing and genotype data from Seattle SNPs (http://pga.mbt.washington.edu/), these typed SNPs discriminate over 93% of all USF1 haplotypes observed in 46 chromosomes of European origin (SNPs with minor allele frequency [MAF] �5%) and tag �95% of all SNPs with MAF �5% (the exception being rs10908821 and its associated haplotype, both with a frequency of 7%) with a r2 � 0.8. The untyped FCHL-associated SNP (rs2073658) is in almost complete LD with rs3737787 in samples of European descent (23,26). LD plots for the seven samples are shown in online appendix Table 1. Single-point results for each of the seven case-control populations are summarized in Fig. 1 and detailed in online appendix Table 2. The Amish case-control data shown were derived using the measured genotype ap- proach to allow for family structure (34). There was no suggestion of association with rs3737787 in any popula- tion. In the U.K. case-control analysis, nominally signifi- cant (P � 0.05) associations were seen for several variants, including a pool of highly correlated SNPs within F11R and rs2073653 and rs1556259 within USF1 but none was replicated in the other samples (see Fig. 1). In the Hong Kong sample, there was nominal evidence of an association with type 2 diabetes at rs2516838 (P � 0.03, additive model); again, this was not substantiated in other samples. Finally, haplotype analyses of the nine core USF1 FIG. 1. Single-point case-control association analyses for the USF1 gene region. The central part of the figure shows the regional gene structure (for USF1, F11R, and ARHGAP30), the SNPs typed, and those associated with FCHL or triglycerides (Pajukanta et al. [23]), as well as the SNPs attempted in this study (n � 22) and those successfully typed in at least one population (n � 20). SNPs rs7556492 and 3813609 are shown in parentheses, as they failed quality control in all populations. The three asterisked SNPs failed only in some populations. The right panel displays the case-control association P values for the four samples from European descent. For the Amish, these are corrected for family structure by the measured genotype method. The left panel displays the case-control association P values for the East-Asian and Pima samples. The dotted vertical lines define P � 0.05 (�log 10 P � 1.3). USF1 AND TYPE 2 DIABETES 2544 DIABETES, VOL. 55, SEPTEMBER 2006 SNPs (from rs4339888 to rs1556259) showed no associa- tion with type 2 diabetes in any of the populations studied (online appendix Table 3). Analyses combining data from these seven case-control comparisons are summarized in Table 2 (additive model only). At rs3737787, no evidence for association was observed under the additive (Table 2), dominant (for the rarer allele A: OR 1.08 [95% CI 0.93–1.25], P � 0.32), or recessive (1.15 [0.87–1.51], P � 0.33) models. Nominally significant associations under the additive model were seen for a cluster of highly correlated variants in F11R and for SNPs 3766383 and 2516839 within USF1 (generating ORs between 1.10 and 1.15). With the exception of rs3766383 (model recessive for G, P � 0.02), combined analyses under the dominant and recessive models were not significant (data not shown). Family-based association study. The same set of 19 SNPs were also typed in the full Pima dataset (n � 832). Case-control analysis (allowing for family structure) re- vealed no significant associations (online appendix Table 4). The most significant P value was seen at rs7516231 (MAF 0.33 in control subjects, 0.42 in cases, P � 0.10). At rs3737787, the equivalent allele frequencies were 0.35 (unaffected) and 0.33 (affected) (P � 0.96). The explicit test of within-family association was again nonsignificant for all SNPs (including rs3737787, P � 0.22). Quantitative trait study. In the full set of 714 Amish subjects (631 with trait measures), there was no evidence of association with lipid or adiposity traits. For example, at rs3737787, there was no hint of association with lipid (triglycerides P � 0.51; HDL cholesterol P � 0.80) or anthropometric (BMI P � 0.36; waist-to-hip ratio P � 0.10; leptin P � 0.19) measures. The Utah and Arkansas FSIGT subjects were genotyped separately for six tag SNPs. No associations with Si, AIRg, DI, or free fatty acid levels were seen among the 124 nondiabetic Utah family members. However, in this sam- ple, several SNPs (rs2516838, rs2516839, and rs2516841) showed associations with cholesterol levels (P � 0.001, P � 0.01, and P � 0.03, respectively) when corrected for age, sex, BMI, and family membership (Table 3). Further- more, SNPs rs2516839 and 3737787 were associated with triglyceride levels (P � 0.03 and P � 0.007, respectively). Crucially, however, it is the rare allele (A) at rs3737787 that is associated with raised triglycerides (in contrast with other reports [23,24]). In the second FSIGT sample (Arkansas), we found no significant associations with mea- sures of Si, �-cell function, glycemia, or lipids for any SNP. Finally, we tested each of these six SNPs in the Utah case-control subjects with BMI, cholesterol, and triglycer- ide measures (116 case and 163 control subjects) after adjusting for BMI (in the lipid analyses), sex, and diabetes status. In contrast to the younger nondiabetic Utah family members, we found no association of any USF1 SNP with cholesterol or triglyceride concentrations. DISCUSSION The main finding is that analysis of �3,700 subjects (using case-control and family-based association methods) found no reproducible evidence that variation within the USF1 gene (or its neighbor F11R) is associated with type 2 diabetes. Though several nominally significant associa- tions were found in the case-control study, these were not observed in the family-based association analysis. In any event, the variants displaying these associations have low prior odds for functional involvement (since none was strongly associated with FCHL) (23), and the estimated effect sizes are modest, particularly in the context of the 1q consortium’s ongoing LD mapping efforts across the re- gion, which have already identified many variants display- ing far stronger replicated associations with type 2 TABLE 2 Single SNP analyses for association with type 2 diabetes for all seven samples combined Additive Additive (inverse variance) rs no. NCBI35 position Alleles (1,2) OR (95% CI)* P* OR (95% CI)† P† 836 157781297 C,T 0.91 (0.83–1.01) 0.07 0.88 (0.78–0.99) 0.03 790055 157784219 A,G 0.96 (0.65–1.43) 0.83 0.90 (0.66–1.23) 0.50 2481080 157789410 C,T 0.93 (0.85–1.02) 0.10 0.89 (0.79–1.00) 0.06 2988726 157791827 A,G 1.01 (0.98–1.03) 0.61 0.91 (0.75–1.10) 0.33 2251597 157800920 C,G 1.10 (0.99–1.22) 0.06 1.15 (1.01–1.29) 0.03 2481084 157802687 C,T 1.10 (0.99–1.22) 0.07 1.14 (1.01–1.29) 0.04 7546890 157808465 A,G 0.91 (0.83–1.00) 0.06 0.90 (0.80–1.01) 0.06 11799478 157809827 C,T 1.11 (1.00–1.23) 0.06 1.15 (1.02–1.31) 0.02 4339888 157820399 C,G 1.09 (0.99–1.21) 0.09 1.14 (1.01–1.28) 0.04 3766383 157821645 G,T 1.18 (1.01–1.38) 0.03 1.14 (0.99–1.31) 0.06 3737787 157822596 A,G 1.06 (0.96–1.16) 0.23 1.10 (0.97–1.24) 0.13 2516840 157824390 C,T 1.05 (0.85–1.30) 0.65 1.04 (0.92–1.18) 0.50 2073656 157824428 C,G 0.97 (0.90–1.04) 0.35 0.93 (0.82–1.05) 0.23 2073653 157825833 A,G 1.17 (1.00–1.37) 0.05 1.13 (0.98–1.30) 0.08 2516839 157826194 A,G 1.11 (1.01–1.23) 0.04 1.14 (1.02–1.28) 0.02 2516838 157827443 C,G 0.92 (0.79–1.07) 0.27 0.94 (0.83–1.06) 0.29 1556259 157827722 C,T 0.88 (0.75–1.02) 0.09 0.90 (0.78–1.03) 0.12 2774279 157830629 A,G 1.07 (0.88–1.29) 0.49 1.04 (0.92–1.18) 0.49 3813610 157835712 C,G 1.10 (1.00–1.21) 0.05 1.11 (1.00–1.24) 0.05 7516231 157839152 A,T 1.24 (1.03–1.49) 0.02 1.17 (1.01–1.35) 0.04 Allele designations (1,2) are in line with Illumina convention (i.e., alphabetical for base name; see third column). *P values based on assumptions of independence. Where appropriate (any cell with fewer than six observations), exact methods were used. OR and 95% CIs are calculated per copy of allele 1 (with reference to genotype 22) by modification of the method by Liu and Agresti (40). †P values estimated using inverse-variance method to take into account of lack of independence in the Amish sample. OR is calculated per copy of allele 1. E. ZEGGINI AND ASSOCIATES DIABETES, VOL. 55, SEPTEMBER 2006 2545 diabetes (41). Crucially, the direction of these weak asso- ciations (favoring haplotypes carrying the more rare allele at rs3737787) is opposite to that reported in previous studies (23–27). While we cannot formally exclude the possibility that these nominal associations reflect true susceptibility effects (perhaps involving LD with other untyped variants), it is clear that previously reported type 2 diabetes susceptibility effects involving rs3737787 and other USF1 variants (26,27) are not substantiated in this larger, more informative dataset in which cases were selected to be enriched for evidence of linkage to the USF1 region. In any study of this type, it is vital to be explicit about the extent to which the variants analyzed allow exclusion of effects at other untyped variants. In terms of capturing common variation in the USF1 region, the 20 SNPs typed provide excellent coverage, as shown by their high density (close to one per kilobase in the USF1 coding region), their documented capacity to tag hidden variation (at least in Europeans and East Asians), and by comparison to variants typed in previous studies (23,24,26). Recent evi- dence (42) suggests that rs2073658 has the best credentials as a functional etiological variant within USF1. Though we were unable to generate a working assay for this SNP, it is clear (from genotypes in Finns [23], French [26], and Caucasians [http://pga.mbt.washington.edu/]) that rs2073658 and rs3737787 are in almost complete LD (r2 exceeding 0.99) in Europeans. LD patterns in the region suggest the same is likely to be true in the other popula- tions studied. Thus, failure to type this SNP directly will have had minimal adverse effect on power. As with any indirect association study using common tag SNPs, we cannot exclude a role for rare variation within the gene (MAFs �5%) (43). In terms of effect size, our study focused on populations with documented 1q linkage and preferentially sampled cases from multiplex families contributing to that linkage signal. Both maneuvers substantially boost power to de- tect variation contributing to the linkage signal (28,44). Taking these factors into account, we estimate that the current sample has (for � 10 3, MAF of 10%, multipli- cative model), 55% power for a variant with an allelic OR of 1.2 and 96% for an OR of 1.3. Given the relative power of linkage and association approaches when the etiologi- cal variants are typed (45), we can demonstrate, using reasonable assumptions, over 95% power to detect a variant contributing to at least 10% of the 1q linkage signal. While the conclusions regarding USF1 variation and type 2 diabetes seem clear, interpretation of the findings with respect to the other traits (especially lipid parame- ters) is less straightforward. In one sample (124 nondia- betic relatives of type 2 diabetic subjects from Utah), we did detect statistically strong associations with certain USF1 SNPs (including rs3737787). However, the associa- tion between rs3737787 and triglycerides lies in the oppo- site direction to that described in Finns (23) and a different set of Utah pedigrees (24), and none of these associations could be replicated in the other samples (combined n � 1,091) or in a recent study of USF1 variation in French subjects (28). The possibility should also be considered that USF1 variants having modest effects on lipid param- eters in other populations may be relatively less penetrant in the Amish, owing to the generally higher degree of physical activity in this population. While the analysis of lipid traits was not a major aim of our study, our data certainly suggest that the trait associations evident in several previous studies (23–27) are not reproducible in all other samples. Despite the strong biological candidacy of USF1 and its location within the well-replicated peak of linkage on chromosome 1q, we conclude, with confidence engen- dered by the large sample size, comprehensive capture of common variation within and around the gene (and the detailed analytical plan) that common variation within USF1 has no discernible impact on type 2 diabetes sus- ceptibility and that USF1 makes no detectable contribu- tion to the replicated linkage signal on chromosome 1q. TABLE 3 Metabolic traits by USF1 genotype in Utah family members SNP (rs) Allele 1, 2 Model (with respect to allele 1) 1,1 (n) Trait values for 1/1 1,2 (or combined group) (n) Trait values for 1,2 (or combined group) 2,2 (n) Trait values for 2,2 P value Cholesterol (mmol/l) 2516838 C,G General 22 5.08 � 0.19 60 4.29 � 0.14 40 4.79 � 0.15 0.001 Dominant 22 5.09 � 0.19 100 4.53 � 0.11 — 0.010 Recessive — 82 4.45 � 0.13 40 4.84 � 0.16 0.047 2516839 A,G General 52 4.96 � 0.14 62 4.52 � 0.14 11 4.23 � 0.26 0.010 Dominant 52 4.96 � 0.14 73 4.55 � 0.13 — 0.014 2516841 C, T General 65 4.84 � 0.13 45 4.45 � 0.16 5 4.01 � 0.37 0.026 Dominant 65 4.83 � 0.13 50 4.45 � 0.15 — 0.033 Triglycerides (mmol/l) 2516839 A,G General 52 1.41 (1.18–1.69) 62 1.19 (0.99–1.43) 11 0.89 (0.63–1.24) 0.032 3737787 A,G General 11 1.87 (1.31–2.66) 35 1.42 (1.17–1.73) 79 1.08 (0.90–1.28) 0.007 Recessive — 46 1.52 (1.27–1.82) 79 1.07 (0.90–1.26) 0.002 Data are marginal means � SE or means (95% CI). Marginal means, adjusted for age, ln(BMI), sex, and pedigree membership are shown by genotype under general (three genotypes compared), dominant, and recessive models (with respect to allele 1 as designated in the second column). All values are in mmol/l. To convert to mass units, multiply cholesterol by 38.67 and triglycerides by 88.57. P values are shown for comparison of marginal means using the least significant difference test with 2 df under general and 1 df under dominant or recessive models. Triglycerides, which were ln-transformed for analysis, were converted back to a linear scale. Only statistically significant findings at P � 0.05 are shown. USF1 AND TYPE 2 DIABETES 2546 DIABETES, VOL. 55, SEPTEMBER 2006 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The principal funding was provided as a supplement to National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases award U01-DK58026. Other major support has been provided by the National Institutes of Health (T32- AG00219, R01-DK54261, K24-DK02673, K07-CA67960, R01- DK39311, and intramural funds), the University of Maryland and Arkansas General Clinical Research Cen- ters, the National Center for Research Resources (M01RR14288), the Department of Veteran Affairs, and the American Diabetes Association (U.S.); “200 Familles pour vaincre le Diabète et l’Obésité” and the Association Fran- çaise des Diabétiques (France); Diabetes UK (U.K.); The Hong Kong Research Grants Committee (CUHK 4292/99M; 1/04C), the Chinese University of Hong Kong Strategic Grant Program (SRP9902) and the Hong Kong Innovation and Technology Support Fund (ITS/33/00) (Hong Kong); and the National Nature Science Foundation of China (39630150), the Shanghai Medical Pioneer Development Project (96-3-004; 996024), and the Shanghai Science Tech- nology Development Foundation (01ZB14047) (China). 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